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Hall of Merit
— A Look at Baseball's All-Time Best

Wednesday, January 09, 2019

Roy Halladay, Mariano Rivera, and “Cannonball” Dick Redding elected - Hall of Merit Class of 2019

Congrats to the class of 2019, Roy Halladay, Mariano Rivera, and “Cannonball” Dick Redding!

Halladay and Rivera each garnered 9 of 27 first place votes, with Redding carrying 6 others. There was strong consensus this year - no other player received more than four top 3 votes. Halladay had 25, Rivera 19, and Redding 15. Todd Helton (5th), Jeff Kent (9th) and Jim McCormick (41st) also received first place votes.

Halladay was the only player named on all 27 ballots. Rivera was named on 26 and Redding 22. Others named on at least half of the ballots include Luis Tiant (4th), who was named on 20, Helton on 19, Kenny Lofton (6th) on 18, Johan Santana (10th) on 16, Andruw Jones (7th) and Ben Taylor (8th) on 15.

Redding vaulted from 20th to 3rd on the strength of new MLEs. It was his 83rd year of eligibility a great testament to perpetual eligibility. The system works!

All of the top ten were mentioned above. Players also requiring comment next year (top 10 returning players) include Wally Schang, Sammy Sosa, and Lance Berkman.

Players in the top 30 moving up or down at least 5 places include:

Wally Schang from 19 to 11
Sammy Sosa from 6 to 12
Lance Berkman debuting at 13
Thurman Munson from 24 to 14
Phil Rizzuto from 23 to 15
Buddy Bell from 12 to 17
Jorge Posada from 14 to 19
Bobby Bonds from 13 to 20
Sal Bando from 16 to 21
Don Newcombe from 32 to 22
Andy Pettitte debuting at 24
Art Fletcher from 36 to 25
Tommy Bridges from 21 to 26
Urban Shocker from 18 to tied for 30th
Hilton Smith from 25 to 52T
Hugh Duffy from 29 to 58T

RK   LY  Player             PTS  Bal   1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9 10 11 12 13 14 15
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1  n/e  Roy Halladay       612   27   9 10  6  2                                 
 2  n/e  Mariano Rivera     549   26   9  7  3  3  1  1  1           1            
 3   20  Dick Redding       442   22   6  4  5  1  1     1  2  1  1               
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 4    5  Luis Tiant         263   20      1  1  1  2  3  3     2     1  3  1  1  1
 5  n/e  Todd Helton        244   19   1        1  3  1  3  1     3  1  2  3      
 6    7  Kenny Lofton       217   18         1  1  1  3  1  2     2  2     2  1  2
 7    8  Andruw Jones       201   15      2  1  2  1  1           2     2  1  2  1
 8   10  Ben Taylor         196   15            4  2        2  1  1  3  1  1      
 9    9  Jeff Kent          188   12   1     3     1  1  2     1  1     1     1   
10   11  Johan Santana      179   16         1     1  2  1     2  1  1  3     1  3
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
11   19  Wally Schang       153   12         1     1  3     2     1  1  1  1     1
12    6  Sammy Sosa         148   13            1     2  2  1     1  1  1  3     1
13  n/e  Lance Berkman      135    9         2  1  1        2  1  1     1         
14   24  Thurman Munson     105    9         1           2  2     1              3
15   23  Phil Rizzuto       102    9            1  1  1  1  1                 3  1
16   17  Bob Johnson         99   11                        1     2  2  1  2  1  2
17   12  Buddy Bell          97    8            1  2  1     1              1     2
18   15  Vic Willis          94    9                           4  2     1  1  1   
19   14  Jorge Posada        91    7      1        1           2  1  1        1   
20   13  Bobby Bonds         78    6            1     2        1     1  1         
21   16  Sal Bando           75    6            2        1  1              1     1
22   32  Don Newcombe        66    6               1     1        1  1     1  1   
23   22  Tommy John          66    5            2     1              1        1   
24  n/e  Andy Pettitte       59    5               1  1              2     1      
25   36  Art Fletcher        55    4         1           1           1  1         
26   21  Tommy Bridges       54    5            1  1                    1        2
27   26  Gavy Cravath        53    5                     1  1  1              2   
28   31  Tommy Leach         50    4         1              1              1  1   
29   28  Bucky Walters       46    5                  1              1  1        2
30T  27  Bert Campaneris     43    4                     1  1           1     1   
30T  18  Urban Shocker       43    4                  1           1     1  1      
32   30  Joe Tinker          36    3               1        1                 1   
33   40  Kevin Appier        35    3               1                 1  1         
34   44T Bobby Veach         34    3                           2     1            
35   35  Bus Clarkson        31    2            1        1                        
36   53T Ed Cicotte          30    2            1           1                     
37   53T Dolf Luque          29    2               1        1                     
38   41  Vern Stephens       26    3                              1        1  1   
39   37  Mickey Welch        24    3                                    1  1  1   
40   44T Fred McGriff        24    2                     1           1            
41   33T Jim McCormick       24    1   1                                          
42T  64T Tommy Bond          23    1      1                                       
42T  47T Addie Joss          23    1      1                                       
44   42  Luke Easter         22    2               1                             1
45   77T Johnny Evers        20    2                           1           1      
46T  61T Dwight Gooden       19    2                        1                    1
46T n/e  Roy Oswalt          19    2                           1              1   
48   50  Bob Elliott         18    2                           1                 1
49   33T Babe Adams          16    1               1                              
50T  58T Ernie Lombardi      15    1                  1                           
50T  71T Frank Tanana        15    1                  1                           
52T  61T Nomar Carciaparra   14    1                     1                        
52T  --  Tommy Henrich       14    1                     1                        
52T  25  Hilton Smith        14    1                     1                        
55   60  John Olerud         13    2                                          1  1
56T  56T Mickey Lolich       13    1                        1                     
56T  58T Lee Smith           13    1                        1                     
58T  39  Frank Chance        12    1                           1                  
58T  29  Hugh Duffy          12    1                           1                  
58T  --  Chuck Finley        12    1                           1                  
58T  --  Carlos Moran        12    1                           1                  
58T  64T Tony Mullane        12    1                           1                  
58T  61T Billy Wagner        12    1                           1                  
64T  46  Dizzy Dean          11    1                              1               
64T  --  Fred Dunlap         11    1                              1               
64T  --  Harry Hooper        11    1                              1               
64T  53T Jack Quinn          11    1                              1               
68T  64T Kiki Cuyler         10    1                                 1            
68T  38  Orel Hershiser      10    1                                 1            
68T  --  Heavy Johnson       10    1                                 1            
71T  --  Dave Bancroft        9    1                                    1         
71T  --  Hurley McNair        9    1                                    1         
73T  --  Silvio Garcia        8    1                                       1      
73T  64T Luis Gonzalez        8    1                                       1      
73T  --  Tony Phillips        8    1                                       1      
76T  77T Luis Aparicio        7    1                                          1   
76T  --  Sam Bankhead         7    1                                          1   
76T  51T Brian Giles          7    1                                          1   
76T  51T Dale Murphy          7    1                                          1   
80   71T Robin Ventura        6    1                                             1
Dropped Out: Lou Brock (47T), Ron Cey (70), Dave Concepcion (77T), Andy Cooper (56T),
Ray Dandridge (43), Willie Davis (73), Carlos Delgado (74T), Lefty Gomez (77T), Gil Hodges (74T),
Trevor Hoffman (49), Jamie Moyer (68T), Kirby Puckett (68T), Hack Wilson (74T).
Ballots Cast: 27
JoeD has the Imperial March Stuck in His Head Posted: January 09, 2019 at 08:21 PM | 12 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. JoeD has the Imperial March Stuck in His Head Posted: January 09, 2019 at 08:48 PM (#5803918)
Big thanks to Ron Wargo for counting the ballots! And to all of you for your voting, posting, and support.
   2. Kiko Sakata Posted: January 09, 2019 at 09:25 PM (#5803922)
The three guys elected were 1-2-3 on my ballot in the same order as the final vote. I'm pretty sure that's a first and I'm not sure I've been particularly close before. I suppose the oft-discussed problem of too few pitchers in the Hall of Merit is not quite as big a deal. Now, I need to start working on convincing everybody of the merits of Tommy John and Vern Stephens!
   3. Devin has a deep burning passion for fuzzy socks Posted: January 09, 2019 at 09:30 PM (#5803924)
Just wondering - if we'd had these MLEs when Redding had first come on the ballot, when would he have been elected?

He came on in 1937, when Harry Heilmann & Cristobal Torriente were chosen. I'm leaning towards no on that. 1938 was Heinie Groh & Stan Coveleski, and I think he definitely should've been ahead of them.
   4. JoeD has the Imperial March Stuck in His Head Posted: January 09, 2019 at 09:43 PM (#5803928)
Wow Devin, the trickle down from that would be really interesting. I wonder who the odd man out would have been.

I think it's impossible to figure out. We've had a few players get to within one player of getting in and then not get in and fade away. But this player got in. So it's impossible to tell if he would have lost his support if he hadn't gotten in.
   5. JoeD has the Imperial March Stuck in His Head Posted: January 09, 2019 at 09:55 PM (#5803931)
As far as the hats, Halladay is pretty obviously a Blue Jay (.79-.29 based on Pennants Added). Rivera duh. I guess New York Lincoln Giants for Dick Redding? That's a question, I am open to suggestions. His best years were 1911-12, 1915-23, 1927-29. He played all over the place.
   6. Chris Fluit Posted: January 09, 2019 at 10:09 PM (#5803935)
I agree with New York Lincoln Giants for Redding. He spent more seasons with the Brooklyn Royal Giants but that was near the end of his career when he was a swingman/reliever. He definitely had more value with the Lincolns.
   7. progrockfan Posted: January 10, 2019 at 12:42 AM (#5803961)
My 1-2-3 all got in. It's nice to see, as a first-time voter, that my choices had some harmony with the electorate.

+1 on Redding going in as a NY Lincoln Giant.
   8. DL from MN Posted: January 10, 2019 at 03:07 PM (#5804244)
if we'd had these MLEs when Redding had first come on the ballot, when would he have been elected?


Previous MLE Dick Redding made my PHoM in 2008. He would have been elected PHoM first-ballot in 1937 with the new MLE.

For the overall HoM I don't see how he makes it past 1939 when we elected Faber and Carey. The answer is sometime between 1937 and 1939.
   9. DL from MN Posted: January 10, 2019 at 04:11 PM (#5804292)
I would love to page Dan R for an analysis of Todd Helton. I have him as equal to Jack Clark using my best estimate, definitely not at the top of the frontlog.
   10. JoeD has the Imperial March Stuck in His Head Posted: January 10, 2019 at 05:20 PM (#5804310)
I would love to page Dan R for an analysis of Todd Helton. I have him as equal to Jack Clark using my best estimate, definitely not at the top of the frontlog.


I had him #16 this year - and that was using bWAR as the foundation - with a healthy dose of DanR WAR intuition thrown in.

Let me pull his DanR WAR up ... IIRC DanR WAR is not on exactly the same scale as bWAR or fWAR. I believe his replacement level is higher and his WAR is lower.

Todd Helton
Year   WARP2   BWAA2 BRWAA2  FWAA2  Rep2  LgAdj
1997    -0.1    0.0    0.0   -0.1   -0.2  .961
1998     2.2    1.4    0.0    0.6   -0.2  .905
1999     1.5    1.6    0.0   -0.3   -0.3  .918
2000     5.9    5.0    0.3    0.4   -0.2  .934
2001     6.6    4.7    0.4    1.2   -0.3  .961
2002     5.1    4.1   -0.1    0.8   -0.3  .955
2003     7.0    5.5    0.2    1.1   -0.3  .969
2004     6.3    5.8    0.2    0.1   -0.3  .967
2005     5.4    4.0    0.2    0.9   -0.2  .997


   11. DL from MN Posted: January 11, 2019 at 09:59 AM (#5804519)
That leaves out another 12 WAR according to BBREF, though no more WAA. Those league adjustments for 1998 and 1999 are HUGE btw. I've been adding 11 WAR and 3 WAPA to my totals to account for the rest of his career.

Here are the WAPA (wins above positional average) for Helton those years:
-0.4
0.5
-0.4
4.4
4.3
3.4
4.1
4.6
2.9
TOTAL = 23.4


Here's Jack Clark
YEAR WARP2 BWAA2 BRWAA2 FWAA2 Rep2 LgAdj WAPA2
1976 0.4 -0.1 0 0.3 -0.2 0.929 0
1977 1.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 -0.5 0.972 0
1978 6 5 -0.2 0.6 -0.6 0.988 3.8
1979 3.3 3.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.5 0.981 1.3
1980 4.1 4.1 0.1 -0.5 -0.4 0.985 2.5
1981 4.3 2.8 -0.1 0.9 -0.6 0.975 2
1982 3.5 3.7 -0.3 -0.6 -0.7 0.985 1.3
1983 3.6 2.5 0.5 -0.1 -0.6 1.004 1.6
1984 2.3 2.7 -0.2 -0.5 -0.3 0.992 1.4
1985 2.8 4 -0.6 -0.7 -0.2 0.989 1.4
1986 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.3 0 1.001 0.5
1987 5.7 6 -0.1 -0.4 -0.2 0.982 4
1988 2.2 2.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 0.949 1.9
1989 4.4 4.3 -0.1 -0.1 -0.3 0.979 2.5
1990 3.2 3.9 -0.7 -0.3 -0.2 0.973 1.7
1991 1.6 1.9 -0.2 0 0 0.948 1.7
1992 0 -0.2 0.1 0 -0.1 0.955 0.4
TOTAL 50.2 47.7 -2.1 -1.3 -5.7 16.587 28


Clark is 50.2 WAR and 28 WAPA. Helton is 50.1 WAR and 26.7 WAPA.
   12. Dr. Chaleeko Posted: January 11, 2019 at 05:15 PM (#5804813)
OCF, if you're still out there, I miss your analysis of who had the most eccentric ballots.

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