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1. OCF Posted: July 11, 2003 at 11:56 PM (#515430)The upshot is that if you are ranking Sutton by looking at adjusted win shares, it would make sense to credit him with another 8-10, to make 1876 match 1877 more closely, a correspondence which seems amply justified by the fact that Sutton performed just as well under extremely similar conditions.
Signficant Oversights--All-Time 110-160
(4) Glasscock
(5) Sutton
andrew may be the new best friend of Ezra Sutton. Can Joe Dimino take back the title?
Notes from the biography by Richard Puff in 19c Stars (1989).
- Sutton moved to first base in 1876 because of a sore arm.
- Sporting Life (estab. 1883) once called him "especially apt in judging and catching foul flies".
- After his mlb career he played for Rochester IA 1888 (his home town) and Milwaukee WA 1889.
- He died 20 Jun 1907 "after suffering form paralysis of his limbs since 1890".
Notes gleaned from data in Marshall Wright, NABBP 1857-1870.
1869
- The Forest City BBC of Cleveland went professional in 1869, the first year that was permitted. W-L record 18-0 against amateurs, 1-6 against pros. The close calls against amateurs were all at home, beating teams from Syracuse, Rochester, and Buffalo by 6, 5, and 4 runs. On tour in September, they beat the same three clubs by 28, 10, and 10 runs. The same Alerts of Rochester lost their home-and-home to the Cincinnati Red Stockings 9-18 and 19-32.
- Sutton did not shine in the eight games with known box scores, five against professionals. Sutton made 26 outs (3.25 per game), sixth best among the eight regular players, and scored 19 runs (2.375), fifth.
- Forest City Cleveland hired Sutton and Gene Kimball from the Alerts for 1870. Kimball was fourth and third on the team in outs and runs. They were both 19.0 years old in September and they would be the two youngest on a young FC Cleveland team in 1871.
1870
- FC Cleveland improved to 16-1 against amateurs, 9-15 against pros. Because the strongest teams played more games, that is a good pro record, 2-9 against the top five and 7-4 against others.
- Eight men played almost every game and another played about half. Sutton did shine in his 35 games played on record (among records for at least 37 of 41 team games). He led in hits with 3.54 per game, James Deacon White 3.00, Art Allison 2.72. White led in total bases with 5.11 per game, Sutton 5.00, Allison 4.08. Only White and Allison surpassed 1.5 bases per hit.
In Sutton's numbers, 1876 looks like a good year -- 140 OPS+, almost identical to his 1877 performance offensively. The difference comes from the fact that Sutton was a good player on a terrible team. His Athletics went 14-45, underperforming a Pythagorean record of 20-39. Win Shares becomes less accurate for players on teams in this range of winning percentage, esp. when the Pythagorean record is so far off from the actual.
Take a look at Harry Wright's 1878 pennant winners. 41-19, excellent but not extreme, with Pythagorean W-L 36-24, still best in league.
Boston 1878
OPS+ _79 with Jim O'Rourke 122 the only one above average, and five of nine players below 70!
ERA+ 101 in 60 games
ERA+ 114 with Tommy Bond pitching 59 games, 57 complete
Say what?
It's in the fielding. Here is OPS+ around the field
- 89 - 122 - 86 -
68 - 57 - 98 - 68
p : 43
c : 43
That's Sutton and George Wright on the left side, glove maestro Pop Snyder behind the plate.
Unearned Run Average, NL 1878 (order by W-L standings)
1.70 Boston
2.77 Cincinnati
2.89 Indianapolis
3.06 Chicago
3.06 Providence
3.73 Milwaukee
Blame it on me, but this discussion has migrated to the McPhee/Richardson thread.
Thus OCF opened "Bid McPhee and Hardy Richardson":
1. OCF Posted: July 11, 2003 at 11:56 AM (#515285)
For me, this is a 4-man question rather than a 2-man question.
Clearly, third base was a key defensive position, maybe a slightly more defense-oriented position than 2B - but a second baseman with strong defense still meant a lot to a team. I feel comfortable considering 2B and 3B more or less together.
So I'd rather start with McPhee versus Sutton, and then Richardson versus Williamson, and only then try to cross these two pairs.
Sutton turned them down flat and re-signed with the Athletics. Anson accepted and signed, but without consulting his wife; later tried to back out in favor of returning to Philadelphia but Hulbert played hardball.
In effect this was an all-star cast of players not presumed to be wed to the East Coast. Here is one plausible arrangement of the 1876 White Stockings, although it would have been a return to 1874 for Anson and Sutton.
3B Anson - SS Sutton - 2B Barnes - 1B McVey (backup P, backup C)
P Spalding
C White (some rest at 3B)
In the event, incumbent SS John Peters retained his position.
Counting pure batting games (dh, ph) for Molitor, Nettles, Brett, and Evans, without counting 1870 for Sutton, knocks him down to sixth among the Hall of Merit thirdbasemen; with credit for 1870 he remains second behind Brooks.
That's also sixth and second among all so-called 3Bmen. Cross, Gaetti, Boggs, Bell, Killebrew, Schmidt, and Mathews all played between 16 and 15 seasons games.
Sutton had one of the longest careers that looks short by raw counting statistics.
Regarding Sutton the question is whether the Boston players were better batters and worse fielders than the official numbers imply. (all relative to players on the other five teams) Is there any reason to suppose so?
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