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Hall of Merit
— A Look at Baseball's All-Time Best

Thursday, January 11, 2018

Lance Berkman

Eligible in 2019

DL from MN Posted: January 11, 2018 at 02:39 PM | 4 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. DL from MN Posted: January 12, 2018 at 10:08 AM (#5605342)
The last of the Killer B's to become eligible
   2. Jaack Posted: January 12, 2018 at 11:18 AM (#5605385)
I expect Berkman to slot in in the 3-5 range on my ballot. His bat looks at least as good, if not better than Vlad. Good first baseman and a decent outfield in his younger years. Adequate baserunner.

Shorter career but he was an elite hitter for nearly all of it.
   3. Bleed the Freak Posted: January 17, 2018 at 06:27 PM (#5608416)
Lance Berkman might have a hill to climb with the default setting often being Baseball-Reference context neutral WAR, where he falls a bit shy/borderline of HOM level (99.5 rating at Adam Darowski's Hall of Stats).

Baseball Reference at 51.7 WAR, 38.9 WAR7
Baseball Gauge at 53.9 WAR, 38.5 WAR7
Kiko's W-L at 32.8 2/3 p, 1/3 e wins, ~57 translated WAR.

He adds ~ 2 WAR and 1 championship probability (cWPA) in his illustrious post-season career.

Contextual measures:
Neutral 468 runs, 565 RE24, or ~8.5 wins; +1.6 clutch score.

Lance will be in the running for a lower third ballot spot and is personal hall of merit.
   4. Eric J can SABER all he wants to Posted: January 17, 2018 at 07:00 PM (#5608425)
If you like postseason credit, Berkman should come in for some of that. By Championship Probability Added (WPA weighted for game importance), he is third all-time among hitters, trailing only Mantle and Rose. (You can take or leave the specific metric as you will, but he was really good in October either way; he just did it in a way that seems to have almost been designed to avoid notice.)

I've written about Berkman's October heroics in a few threads around these parts but am having trouble finding one now, so I'll link this instead:

Lance Berkman: Stealth October Superstar

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