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For me: 1976 Bob Allison and Jimmie Hall. Both tragic figures. Allison the old football player who did everything well. Well, except hit for average I guess. Good power, excellent fielder, could run. Said to be the single most fearsome player at breaking up the double play. Died vey young (50ish) of parkinson's or something like that, a nervous system disorder that put thus hulking man into a wheel chair, unable to speak, etc., the last year or two of his life. When I was in college, I worked nights as a janitor for a while and I cleaned his office at the local Coke bottler.
Hall was an even better baseball player, not as good an athlete, until hit in the face by a pitch. They say he bailed on lefties after that, became a platoon player, traded away. The Twins had a reunion of their 1965 AL champs earlier this summer and everyone still living was there except Hall. Very bitter man, at least toward the Twins.
1977--Pascual, Grant, Chance. As a kid playing pick-up baseball games in the park, all the kids wanted to be "Camilio." Very charismatic player. And it's hard to believe that Mudcat ended up with more career value than Dean Chance. Both were short-timers with the Twins but with very prominent places in the franchise history.
And finally Zoilo, another tragic figure. After his MVP season, his game just collapsed. Reminds me of Christian Guzman in that respect. Then died very very young, in his 40s I would guess.
1978--Don Mincher, a great lefty platoon/pinch hitter.
I wouldn't have remembered that so many of these heroes of the '60s all retired in such rapid succession, most of them with relatively short careers considered how high of peaks they had. Not HoM type peaks, of course, but together the bunch of them (well, with help from Killebrew and Oliva) won a pennant in '65, almost another in '67, and the first two western divisional titles in '69. Not that all of them were on all those teams. A better clutch of talent overall than the '87 and '91 teams I think, the '87 and '91 teams being more of a collection of role players after Kirby and Gaetti and Hrbie.
And speaking of tragic figures, not a Twin of course, but nobody can top Tony C.
Don Mincher = Ken Phelps?
Jimmie Hall = Dickie Thon?
Camilio Pascual= El Duque?
The '87 team was a cinderella story which was great, but as a Twins fan, the '91 victory was nice because that team had a legitimate claim that year to the best team in baseball.
The 60's Twins were a talented bunch, though. Too bad I wasn't born yet. There's a great book from last year or the year before called "Paths To Glory: How Great Baseball Teams Got That Way" by Armour & Levitt which has an interesting chapter on the failed promise of the 1960s Twins. Several other teams from other eras (90s Braves, 30s Red Sox) were also profiled. Great read.
Dan lists Roger Maris (1974), Curt Flood (1975), Julian Javier (1978) and Orlando Cepeda (1980). Mike Shannon (1976, career truncated by kidney disease) escaped Dan's net.
Of course not everyone on those teams becomes eligible by 1980. Yet to come: Dal Maxvill (1981), Bob Gibson (1981), Joe Hoerner (1982), Lou Brock (1985), Bobby Tolan (1985), Tim McCarver (1986), and Steve Carlton (1994).
In case anyone cares, Dick Hughes, 29-year-old rookie extraordinaire, becomes eligible in 1974 with his lifetime 20-9 record. Also Ray Washburn in 1976 and Larry Jaster in either 1976 or 1978.
Actually, he was in the net but I threw him back after looking up the numbers, 78 win shares and 18.6 WARP3.
Lucky you! For me, it's the '69-'75 Cardinals...
Jim Perry is the big mystery. He was a spot starter and mop-up man for years and years before cracking the rotation and having a couple of great years in the early '70s. This was after he had had a great year (or two?) with the Indians. Did the Twins just miss with him, mis-use him, or was there a problem with his pitching somehow?
The other thing about "the failed promise" is the Baltimore Orioles. After the Yankees tanked, the Twins certainly looked good in '65 and were favored in '66 but add F Robby to an already pretty good Orioles club and they (the Twins) probably shouldn't have been (favored). Then in '67 the Orioles are big faves and tank. But then the Red Sox come out of that special nowhere that they were living at the time. The Twins were in first place going into a final weekend 2-game series in Fenway. All they needed was a split. Damn.
Then the Tigers in '68 and they're the ones who are usually tagged with "failed promise," so they got their one year of fame, and then the Orioles again.
Certainly '67 was a missed opp for the Twins but after that it was just some pretty damn tough competition.
Well, 1974 with Brock's 118 SB was a fun ride even if it fell just short of a playoff berth. And I'm sure you can re-create (in the privacy of your living room) exactly what Al Hrabosky did behind the mound. On the other hand ...
[Steve Carlton, transactions] February 25, 1972: Traded by the St. Louis Cardinals to the Philadelphia Phillies for Rick Wise.
Unfortunately, those three words were my paraphrase and not the author's. The book's chapter title is "An Unexpected Drop-off: The 1960s Minnesota Twins".
The book does acknowledge that there was probably just a short window between end of the Yankee Dynasty in 1964 and the start of the big Oriole Dynasty in 1969.
But seriously, they could hit, but they never really had the pitching.
Much of this is probably park effects of the old Met. During the 1966-68 period in question, it was the team OPS+ numbers dropped and not the ERA+ numbers. You left out Jim Kaat from above.
At any rate, they do go over most of the roster of the Twins from about 1963-68 or so and discuss various deals and non-deals. Still a good read. :)
.593 575-394 Baltimore
.572 556-416 Minnesota
.556 540-432 Detroit
.500 486-486 Boston
.491 475-493 New York
You would probably expect Baltimore to win 2 and a fraction, and that's what they did, just that they rounded off the fraction. And the next three won one apiece.
Not exactly what you'd expect but pretty close.
If but for one weekend in '67, it woulda been 3-2-1-0-0. Now that would be more like it.
1965 77-85 .425 -25 6th place
1966 70-89 .440 -26.5 10th place!
1967 72-90 .444 -20 9th place
1968 83-79 .512 -20 5th place
1969 80-81 .497 -28.5 5th in east
1970 93-69 .574 -15 2nd in east
1965-1969 would be different than 1965-70, though they slumped in 1971-73 with 82, 79 and 80 wins. It was '74 before they were better longer term.
So yes, they were horrible '65-'67, though imagine a dead last 10th place team in a 10 team league with 70 wins. I doubt if that happened very much. In fact here is 10th place throughout the short-lived 10 team era 1960-68 in wins:
58-61-60-56-57-59-NY 70-62-65
It seemed like the Yankees were especially horrible being in last place but they were an unsually good last place team. The real news in '66 was that KC and Washington, one or the other of which finished last every other time, both won more than 70 though only 74 and 71 respectively. That was really unheard of. Boston managed also to finish behind the two of them with 72 wins.
The '66 Yankees were 6th in runs with 611 and 6th in ERA, so they must have serious underperformed phythatg. Their .235 BA was pretty bad but their .374 OBA was actually above league average. Mantle only played 108 games but slugged .538 which would have tied Killebrew for 2nd if he had been eligible. But the Yanks gave a ton of PAs to Maris .233/.382, Tresh .233/.421 and Roy White (age 22) .225/.345. Stottlemeyere (M. not T.), Peterson and Downing were pretty good in the rotation but #3 and 4 were weak: Talbot 4.14 after acquired, Friend 4.80 until moved. Ford 2.47 in 9 starts and Bouton 2.70 in 19 starts both hurt. This actually could have been an outstanding staff but for injuries. Bullpen was also pretty good--Pete Ramos of all people the closer.
Some AL managers in '66--Hank Bauer, Chuck Dressen (died with a 16-10 record in Detroit and was replaced by Bob Swift who died with a32-25 record!), Eddie Stanky, Birdie Tebbetts, Bill Rigney, Al Dark, Gil Hodges, Billy Herman, Johnny Keane/Ralph Houk in New York. The better the playing career, the worse the manager apparently.
How 'bout them Tigers losing not one but two managers, but still finished 3rd 10 games out. The O's scored 36 more runs and gave up maybe 80 less, so the Tigers must have been running on auto-pilot, basically doing what they shoulda done without any consistent managerial leadership. The Twins were 2nd 9 games out. Surprisngly they had a better ERA than the O's though not as good as the White Sox, but the O's outscored the Twins by almost 100 runs.
In '67 the Yankees still had pretty good pitching but the offense really tanked. BA of .225 and SA .317! Ouch.
Place in the standings from 1965-70 (gap where div play starts):
The Yankees hit rock bottom in 1966-67 but bounced back fairly quickly and had a strong team again by 1970 with Munson, Murcer, White and Co.
The Indians' abyssmal 1969 weighs them down.
(This website is a great procrastinating tool!)
1965--4th 13 GB under Dressen 2nd in R, 7th in ERA despite McLain's 16-6, 2.42. Lolich, Wickersham and Aguirre were way below league at #3-5 spots.
1966--3rd 10 GB Dressen died Swift died Skaff 2nd in R, 9th in ERA. McLain won 20 but skyed to 3.92, Lolich 4.76. Earl Wilson 2.60 in 23 starts after being acquired basically for Don Demeter (Wilson also 5 HR, .531 SA in 64 ABs).
1967--2nd tie (with Twins) 1 GB Mayo Smith, 2nd in R, 6th in ERA but within .1 of another 2 teams. Big chance. Basically a 4 man rotation: Wilson 22-11, 3.27, McLain 17-16, 3.79 Lolich 145-13, 3.04 Sparma 16-9, 3.76. Kaline missed 30 games with a broken arm , still led the Tigers in everything, Cash .242/.430 SA.
1968--1st 12 GA Mayo Smith. Too bad they didn't move 2 of those wins to '67. 1st in R, 2nd in ERA. Freehan has big year, everybody but Kaline is better than '67. Oh, except SS: Oyler 111 games .135, Tracewski 90 and .156, Matchick 80 and 203. McLain 31-6, 1.96 didn't hurt, Lolich and Wilson again good, Sparma not so good in basically a 4 man rotation again. 9 pitchers had saves, nobody more than 7.
1969--2nd in east 19 GB Smith. 5th in R, 4th in ERA. Obviously the hitting and pitching just didn't peak at the same time other than that overlap in '68. McLain and Lolich 43-20 and about 3.00 between them, Wilson still OK, Sparma in sharp decline. Dick McAuliffe misses half a year with a knee, and still no SS (Tom Tresh .224/.387 SA).
1970--4th 28 GB Smith, dropping under .500 for the first time since '63. 6th in R, 10th in ERA as Wilson and McLain both flop. Freehan and Horton are injured.
1971--2nd 12 GB Billy Martin 91 wins! Back to 2nd in R, but 8th in ERA, just like the mid-'60s. Lolich's big year and Joe Coleman wins 20, but Hiller is "ILL" and it's chaos throughout the rest of the staff. Horton has more injury trouble but Cash and Freehan come up pretty big.
1972--The last hurrah: 1st in east one-half game ahead of Boston. 5th in R but 1st in ERA! Lolich and Coleman start 80 games. They are Fryman (half the year) and Timmerman all under 3.00 and Slayback at 3.18. Seelbach, Scherman and Hiller (half a year) are stellar out of the bullpen. Kaline is injured, Cash leads the team with 61 RBI in 158 games, Freehan is not injured but catches just 105 games at age 30, the offense does squat. So they lose in the playoffs 3-2, 5-0 and 2-1 (and win 3-0 and 4-3 in 10). Lolich goes 19 IP in 2 games with ERA 1.42 and gets only one decision, a loss.
Anyway, no big surprise. Overall they just didn't jell the pitching, which was only really good for a couple years, with the hitting. Only once did both do well at the same time. There were some timely injuries though, frankly, not much more than you'd expect from a bunch of 30-somethings. If anybody seemed to decline a little bit young, it was Sparma and McLain.
Buyt if the Red Sox were the one team during that period that could be considered to be a fluke, as a Twins fan I forget that the Tigers could just as easily have won in '67 as the Twins. If either one had won it, there'd be none of that "failed expectations" about 'em. Damn Red Sox, anyway. Of course they led the league in R that year but were just 8th in ERA.
Amazing stat 1968, 2nd best ERA: Minnesota 3.14. Best ERA: Chicago 2.45! But almost 200 fewer R than Boston and about 150 less than the Twins and Tiggers.
Those were the days.
Looks like he meant 1967. CWS-67 was the lowest ERA team of that whole late-sixties pitching boom.
1981 (July 10)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
317 117.9 1959 Bob Gibson-P
371 99.2 1955 Harmon Killebrew-1B/3B
321 79.5 1958 Vada Pinson-CF (1995)
205 78.9 1959 Jim Perry-P
201 76.5 1960 Claude Osteen-P
199 69.4 1960 Leo Cardenas-SS
186 69.4 1956 Lindy McDaniel-RP
166 59.4 1962 Sam McDowell-P
168 56.0 1963 Dave McNally-P (2002)
144 53.4 1964 Sonny Siebert-P
159 42.2 1964 Johnny Briggs-LF
161 40.1 1965 Jim Northrup-RF
133 46.1 1966 Bill Hands-P
118 35.0 1962 Ed Brinkman-SS
110 36.2 1965 Ken Berry-CF
111 25.7 1964 Danny Cater-1B
1982 (July 24)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
643 199.8 1954 Hank Aaron-RF
519 153.3 1956 Frank Robinson-RF/LF
374 115.8 1961 Billy Williams-LF
322 94.6 1961 Willie Davis-CF
267 78.8 1963 Bill Freehan-C
245 63.9 1964 Tony Oliva-RF
205 66.2 1965 Rico Petrocelli-SS/3B
198 56.8 1958 Tony Taylor-2B
207 52.0 1960 Tommy Davis-LF
173 56.0 1964 Mike Cuellar-P
204 47.5 1963 Tommy Harper-LF/RF
178 40.0 1966 Cesar Tovar-CF/LF (1994)
141 39.9 1966 Cleon Jones-LF
121 45.0 1966 Fritz Peterson-P
130 41.1 1960 Ray Sadecki-P
146 35.5 1961 Deron Johnson-1B (1992)
108 39.0 1961 Jim Brewer-RP (1987)
122 28.6 1964 Alex Johnson-LF
114 30.9 1968 Nate Colbert-1B
1983 (August 7)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
356 111.1 1957 Brooks Robinson-3B
315 102.5 1961 Joe Torre-C/1B
342 90.0 1964 Dick Allen-1B/3B
305 88.6 1963 Jim Wynn-CF
282 69.4 1962 Boog Powell-1B
166 50.1 1967 Doug Rader-3B
175 46.1 1963 Ken McMullen-3B
133 49.2 1965 Larry Dierker-P
152 41.4 1966 Felix Millan-2B
123 47.8 1965 Clay Carroll-RP
144 38.3 1962 Cookie Rojas-2B
118 45.9 1962 Dave Giusti-RP
125 42.0 1963 Al Downing-P
112 41.2 1967 Pat Dobson-P
123 33.5 1965 Willie Crawford-RF (2004)
114 37.5 1966 Tommy Helms-2B
113 37.6 1967 Gary Nolan-P
112 37.7 1967 Bill Singer-P
103 39.1 1962 Diego Segui-RP
122 31.2 1968 Bill Melton-3B
120 31.7 1969 Carlos May-LF
115 28.2 1966 Bobby Tolan-CF/RF
1984 (August 21)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
269 75.3 1959 Ron Fairly-1B/RF
261 68.5 1962 Jim Fregosi-SS
190 78.0 1963 Wilbur Wood-P
189 55.4 1963 Bob Bailey-3B
171 56.3 1966 Davey Johnson-2B
127 44.6 1964 Jerry Grote-C
132 38.1 1966 Tito Fuentes-2B
122 40.8 1965 Jim Lonborg-P
116 41.4 1965 Nelson Briles-P (2005)
122 32.6 1965 Mickey Stanley-CF
110 31.6 1969 Wayne Garrett-3B
102 32.8 1970 Don Gullett-P
104 24.8 1965 Sandy Alomar-2B
1985 (September 4)—elect 3
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
348 82.4 1962 Lou Brock-LF
263 79.8 1966 Roy White-LF
224 80.3 1963 Mickey Lolich-P
206 77.1 1970 Thurman Munson-C (1979)
206 74.4 1965 Catfish Hunter-P (1999)
216 63.6 1966 George Scott-1B
204 60.3 1961 Tim McCarver-C
209 58.1 1964 Rico Carty-LF/DH
169 57.4 1968 Andy Mesersmith-P
157 56.3 1966 Ken Holtzman-P
159 42.1 1965 Don Kessinger-SS
129 47.5 1967 Joe Coleman-P
130 40.5 1969 Ted Sizemore-2B
121 35.7 1962 Manny Mota-LF/PH
115 37.8 1968 Dock Ellis-P
132 30.3 1963 Ed Kranepool-1B
100 39.3 1966 Darold Knowles-RP
100 37.0 1969 Jim Rooker-P
109 29.8 1969 Merv Rettenmund-RF/LF
111 28.7 1963 Vic Davalillo-CF
Sixteen players on the ballot in four years. Criminy.
Wow.
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
643 199.8 1954 Hank Aaron-RF
519 153.3 1956 Frank Robinson-RF/LF
374 115.8 1961 Billy Williams-LF
322 94.6 1961 Willie Davis-CF
267 78.8 1963 Bill Freehan-C
Wow, talk about a tough year for the backlog. Two total NBs. A second-tier HOMer, a long-career HOVG CF, and one of the 15 best catchers ever, plus only an elect-2 year!
I think, when the time comes, that people will find it pretty hard to make a case for Robinson over Aaron.
At first glance, Kaline, Santo, Marichal, Cepeda, Gibson, Cash, Killebrew,Aaron, F. Robinson, Williams, Freehan, B. Robinson, Torre, Allen, and Wynn all make my ballot between 1980-83; maybe Pinson, too.
Sixteen players on the ballot in four years. Criminy.
And by the end of the 1985 election, we'll have inducted about 12 of them. Here's my prediction.
1980 -- Kaline, Santo, Marichal.
1981 -- Gibson, Killebrew
1982 -- Aaron, F. Robinson
1983 -- Allen, B. Williams
1984 -- B. Robinson, Torre
1985 -- Freehan, Brock ?, +1 other from recent or older backlog
Cepeda, Cash, Wynn, and Pinson will have to contend with the backlog, so that I don't find it possible to predict now whom we'll elect in 1985, but I think the top 12 will all go right in over the backlog, so that we'll be electing some from the backlog again in 1986 and 1987, if not in 1985. Having Elect Three years come around frequently will help to clear out top-candidate jams pretty fast . . .
In my own preliminary rankings of 1960s stars, I have B. Robinson, Freehan, and Torre very close together, in that order, but my predictions were based on my sense of the electorate's usual priorities rather than on my own system.
I think, when the time comes, that people will find it pretty hard to make a case for Robinson over Aaron.
Indeed. Frank Robinson was a great, great player. He's in the "of course he's in the HOM, let's elect him as fast as we can" category. And he seems to have drawn the short straw in the fickle memory of history - if you ask a bunch of baseball fans to name several great outfielders, how many would remember and name Clemente but forgot about Robinson? Even though we're likely to have a very strong-looking backlog when he comes onto the ballot (Cash, Cepeda, Marichal, Pinson, Howard, and so on), he'll so tower over that backlog that he's got a shot at unanimous 2nd.
But he is fundamentally the same kind of player as Aaron, playing at the same time, and subject to many of the same influences. It will be unusually simple to make a direct head-to-head comparison of Aaron and Robinson - and as Chris suggests, I don't see any way not to have Aaron come out on top of that.
Musial was a great, GREAT player, and is still living, even still making public appearnces/speeches, but he's almost completely out of the public BASEBALL consciousness vs. Williams, who's seemingly still constantly referred to.
I think, when the time comes, that people will find it pretty hard to make a case for Robinson over Aaron.
When I wrote that first line, I was wondering if an extreme peak voter might make an argument for Robinson.
Well, after checking more carefully, I do think someone could argue that Robinson's two best seasons are slightly better than Aaron's. (82 WS to 79 WS). Any other peak measure that I can think of--three, five, seven, or any consecutive seasons--and Aaron wins, at least by WS. And obviously Aaron trounces Robinson in career, which is really saying something.
An interesting possibility regarding the perception of Musial. Suppose that Albert Pujols were to maintain essentially his current playing ability for another five years, and then stay on for a good long career after that, and to play all or nearly all of his career for the Cardinals. Then - and maybe this discussion only happens in St. Louis - the claim that Pujols is the greatest Cardinal of all time will have to be proved by comparing Pujols to Musial, and the details of that comparison will force people to think about how great Musial truly was. Of course, for this conversation to involve a living Musial, he would have to live into or beyond his mid-90's; not very good actuarial odds there.
The interesting thing about F.Robby is that he is in the public baseball conciousness - as a manager, as an ex-league official, and oh, yeah, I guess he was a player back then.
Meanwhile I'm a huge Bill Freehan fan. Playing in the '60s disadvantages him substantially. But I see him as backlog or HoVG.
Finally, does anybody remember Willie Davis as being half the player that his numbers suggest? Nobody has ever said he was in the Torre-Jimmy Wynn-Vada Pinson class but that is what the numbers say. A backlogger at best but deserving of consideration.
A few thoughts:
1) Davis racks up good career numbers due to his longevity. IIRC, only Mays and Speaker played more games in CF.
2) Davis was snowed under by the extraordinary quality among 1960's-70's NL outfielders. Mays, Aaron, Clemente, Robinson, Stargell, Williams, Brock, Pinson, Flood, Callison, Rose, Staub, the Alous, et al.
3) I don't have the stats in front of me, but Davis played two years in Japan in 1977-78 rather than shoot for 3000 hits.
Real numbers on top, translated numbers on bottom.
The translated years have him with 4 years with 200 hits and 2 more at 196, 197. 2 years over 100
RBI, and 4 more over 90. 8 years hitting over .300, and 4 other over .290.
In a 750-run context, I believe he would have had 3000 hits. The 1976 year (.268 / .295 / .375 / OPS 97) translates to .299 / .328 / .421. The Padres at the time had Randy Jones, Dave Winfield, and Rollie Fingers. They would have kept Davis for another year for a run at 3000 hits. His translated numbers give him an established hits at 159. If I remember the Favorite Toy calculations, it would give him a 97% chance of getting 3000 hits.
Remember, the translated numbers are NOT what James says Davis WOULD hit, but are equivalent in value to Davis' actual production, only in a 750-run context.
Food for thought in 8 months.
Though I can think of tons of star players who didn't work out as managers (Trammel, Hornsby, etc.) and many great managers who were mediocre or even dreadful players (La Russa, Mack, Stengel, etc.)
Bill Russell was the first black NBA coach, Frank Robinson the first black MLB manager. Two of a kind.
Hornsby won the Cardinals' first pennant ever in '26 as player-manager, the Cards had been a joke for most of their history. After that I think his ego got in the way.
Clarke was good. Boudreau had one great year but didn't do much otherwise.
McGraw? Where have I heard that name?
Hornsby might have been a very good manager, but the love of betting on horse races I believe put him in debt much of the time, which always made him a danger that "gambling interests" might pressure him to start throwing games.
Yes, but not so good as Bill James says.
The Willie Davis numbers jump incredibly in 1969: fanning down, hitting up (walking steady, having jumped up in 1967). People of a certain age were focusing on the war just then, or on sex, drugs, and rock and roll. So his prime-age 25-28 years dominate, 1965-68 with OPS+ 93 in 2500 appearances!
Nobody has ever said he was in the Torre-Jimmy Wynn-Vada Pinson class but that is what the numbers say. A backlogger at best but deserving of consideration.
and not so good as Marc sdy2 says! :-)
Pinson was over the hill at age 25-28. People my age can find the good Vada only by internet, so Willie Davis looks better by introspection alone. The numbers say, can we believe it, Vada Pinson was better than Willie Davis!
-- Red Schoendienst is in the HOF as a player but probably with an assist by his managing.
-- Davey Johnson was a pretty good hitting 2B-man
-- Al Lopez had a long and decent career as a catcher
I feel old with Willie Davis and Vada Pinson baseball cars in my closet..
from the Official Baseball Guide 1978, 1979
The question for me will be whether or not Davis was done before he went to Japan.
It will be fun to see what W Cromartie and C Fielder's careers look like with their Japanese years added in.
Beyond that, what does a .300 avg and 43 HR in 200 games in Japan translate to in MLEs in the late 1970s? Let's just say for the sake of example that it translates to 20 HR and .275 and he was still an above average CF. Then the translation says he's not done, right? I mean it's not strictly a question of whether he looked done in '79 if his MLE for '80-'81 says otherwise,right?
I don't know the answer, it's sort of a methodological question.
1967 (December 26)-elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
166 75.6 1948 Ned Garver-P (living)
203 48.1 1948 Ted Kluszewski-1B (1988)
187 53.2 1950 Jackie Jensen-RF (1982)
HF% Career Name-pos (born) BJ – MVP - All-Star
04% 46-61 Bob Boyd-1B (1926) #9 1b – 0 – 1*
00% 43-61 Marvin Williams-2B (1923) – 0 – 1*
1968 (January 9)-elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
329 106.0 1948 Richie Ashburn-CF (1997)
262 85.6 1945 Red Schoendienst-2B (living)
267 65.4 1647 Eddie Yost-3B (living)
1969 (January 23)-elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
604 188.1 1942 Stan Musial-LF/1B (living)
375 119.5 1947 Yogi Berra-C (living)
309 107.9 1941 Early Wynn-P (1999)
263 76.6 1947 Gil Hodges-1B (1972)
209 69.8 1947 Sherm Lollar-C (1977)
1970 (February 6)-elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
352 103.6 1948 Duke Snider-CF (living)
283 79.6 1951 Minnie Minoso-LF (living)
248 88.8 1948 Billy Pierce-P (living)
HF% Career Name-pos (born) BJ – MVP - All-Star
04% 45-64 Minnie Minoso-3B/OF (1922) – 0 – 1*
1971 (February 20)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
412 161.8 1946 Warren Spahn-P (2003)
304 83.7 1949 Nellie Fox-2B (1975)
231 60.9 1949 Roy Sievers-1B/LF
HF% Career Name-pos (born) BJ – MVP - All-Star
00% 46-66 Junior Gilliam-2B (1928) 0 – 0*
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
412 161.8 1946 Warren Spahn-P (2003)
All the references that I've looked at say that Spahn was elected to the HoF in 1973, his first year of eligibility. None of them explain why he wasn't eligible until 1973 if he retired in 1965. Anybody know?
That's my guess, anyway.
Or maybe they just forgot to put him on until 1973?
This is a thowback (as Henderson is a throwback, and also Pat Borders). In an earlier age, it was common for the high minors to be full of former major leaguers, including stars, working their way back down.
However, like everything else the Coop does, this rule has been selectively applied. It only seems to apply to the more famous players (sometimes). Most players I find who ended their career in the minors did not have their eligibility delayed.
The most ridiculous example is Harvey Kuenn, who retired in 1966. He should have been eligible for the 1972 election. However, in September 1971, the Brewers activated him as a player, in order to achieve a service milestone for pension purposes. He was released in October, after not playing in any games. The BBWAA then saw fit to delay his eligibility until 1977!!!!
Don't get me started.
Anyway, the eligibility years that OCF has for Henderson and Raines I agree with, and are consistent with precedent. Although, I can see an argument for Raines possibly being eligible in 2005.
This is the link
Typical Example of the Coop's Blithe Nonchalance
BTW, my alias at Baseball Fever is Freakshow. Enjoy.
I actually know Jack O'Connell; he is a wonderful guy, and I am not surprised you got an honest response from him.
One has to realize a few things:
- Jack works fulltime, long and hard, for the Hartford Courant. In effect, the HOF is 'his' leisure-time activity as well. Not even sure if he gets paid for this extra duty.
- At the risk of beinf indelicate, reporters' brains are not like those of HOM voters and similar baseball fans. Few, if any, of them could even generate a database of the sort suggested. I'm probably as close to a 'liaison' as anyone, I suppose, and I can tell you that I am outclassed in database skills by virtually every voter here. On the other hand, few, if any, of you guys could write a column interesting enough to get you a fulltime job in the business (though you could write something with plenty of valuable information, which is not quite the same thing).
Maybe I've just ticked off both reporters and HOM voters; if so, I apologize. My point is that Jack probably does that HOF job as well as any reporter can do.
With all that said, it IS true that it would be better to be more accurate with the voting. A number of past mistakes are noted in the thread, not just the omission of Caminiti. I guess the BBWAA may be entirely run by "BBW"s, or baseball writers.
Ideally, the BBWAA would cross-reference its list with one generated by an independent source. That way, no one falls through the cracks.
Jack's a pretty fair guy; maybe something can be worked out.
But DanG, you will find yourself having to choose between two paths. I know you get frustrated about these errors, but you have to decide if you want to focus more on slapping the BBWAA upside the head, or seeking a real solution for the future. If you seem like a smart-ass to them, the opportunity likely will be lost. That's just human nature.
Hell, I'll even volunteer. You guys give me your list, I send it over to Jack.
Nobel Peace Prize, here I come!
But, as the saying goes, "If one person could do it, you wouldn't need AARP." That is, if one brilliant "crackpot" came to the HOF with a cure for cancer, or at least a perfect voting procedure, he would get the polite brushoff, and "BTW, are you subscribed to our newsletter" sort of response. That's basically all I've ever gotten from them.
I work for the Catholic church, so I've had a little experience in dealing with monolithic governing bodies. Change must ultimately come from within. A controversy is often an effective way to persuade these organizations that reform is needed.
That's all a long way of saying I've largely given up the direct approach with the HOF and turned to bringing light to the problems (as I perceive them). So, the spin I go for publicly is towards engendering outrage.
We at the HoM should produce a list of players newly eligible for the 2007 election. We should include important data about each candidate, too. Since the BBWAA screens these candidates in June, we should get it to them in the early spring, after the winter's elections are done.
If a person like yourself can pick up this, along with ideas for reform, and be a bridge between divergent cultures, that is always a great thing.
But you do have two very separate entities. The Hall of Fame is the Cooperstown thing. The BBWAA is a collection of baseball writers, who by the way do the voting for the people who get into the Hall of Fame, among other things. Neither one has a hierarchal edge over the other, exactly. It's apples and oranges.
It may be that the Hall leaves it to the BBWAA to keep track of all these things. I suppose they could try to 'order' the BBWAA to do something, but then the BBWAA is not reliant on the Hall to survive. I think both are happy with the current arrangement (although there is a small movement afoot in journalism to stop voting for things like Heisman Trophy, college football top 25, now even MVP awards. The idea is that players' substantial bonuses mean that writers, in effect, could be helping determine the finances of someone they cover - which is not ideal. If that concept starts to spread to the Hall of Fame, changes might be needed someday).
Overall, I think we would agree that they have done a very good job over the years with selections. Nearly every silly HOF member came via Veteran's Committee.
We're just noticing that an extra level of care is needed to round out the details. I would like to see that, too.
It's barely possible that the BBWAA has intended that with Elias. Barely because Jack O'Connell pretty clearly takes the blame.
I make no claims for what the exact process is.
I think we all agree that it can be improved, and that constructive dialogue is the way to achieve it.
1970 (February 6)-elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
352 103.6 1948 Duke Snider-CF (living)
283 79.6 1951 Minnie Minoso-LF (living)
248 88.8 1948 Billy Pierce-P (living)
1971 (February 20)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
412 161.8 1946 Warren Spahn-P (2003)
304 83.7 1949 Nellie Fox-2B (1975)
1972 (March 6)—elect 3
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
339 134.2 1948 Robin Roberts-P
207 87.4 1951 Bob Friend-P
247 65.6 1953 Jim Gilliam-2B/3B (1978)
194 68.9 1955 Sandy Koufax-P
1973 (March 20)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
261 89.5 1950 Whitey Ford-P
225 76.6 1952 Dick Groat-SS
210 78.0 1948 Curt Simmons-P
1974 (April 3)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
565 154.4 1951 Mickey Mantle-CF (1995)
450 130.5 1952 Eddie Mathews-3B (2001)
273 74.3 1956 Rocky Colavito-RF
225 87.6 1955 Larry Jackson-P (1990)
203 63.8 1955 Elston Howard-C (1980)
223 53.7 1957 Roger Maris-RF (1985)
1975 (April 17)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
279 94.7 1955 Ken Boyer-3B (1982)
258 101.9 1956 Don Drysdale-P (1993)
221 68.4 1958 Curt Flood-CF (1997)
139 59.0 1953 Roy Face-RP
1976 (May 1)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
203 54.8 1959 Bob Allison-RF/LF (1995)
181 62.1 1958 Johnny Roseboro-C (2002)
1977 (May 15)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
332 115.0 1954 Ernie Banks-SS/1B
257 90.6 1955 Jim Bunning-P
175 71.3 1954 Camilo Pascual-P
1978 (May 29)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
377 122.4 1955 Roberto Clemente-RF (1972)
256 92.4 1952 Hoyt Wilhelm-RP (2002)
219 86.5 1956 Bill Mazeroski-2B
253 71.6 1959 Maury Wills-SS
1979 (June 12)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
642 208.1 1951 Willie Mays-CF
293 85.0 1956 Luis Aparicio-SS
297 73.9 1960 Frank Howard-LF/RF
210 71.1 1958 Milt Pappas-P
I have done this. The complete lists of 37 position players and 23 pitchers are in an Excel file on the Yahoo site. The data was gleaned mostly from BB-Ref.
http://f1.grp.yahoofs.com/v1/oNTsQ98wapLDl_nsqUOVWLl9_M2KQY2KdzRY9PsUyas8mbw5U5qXM07vcDegTHCbPLRKSIdbHHkmzE75RMNEs84Nk62oKw/2007 newbies.xls
2007 BBWAA Newly Eligible
(Snider, Spahn, Roberts, Mantle, Matthews, Banks, Clemente, Wilhelm, Mays)
Another 5 or so who have a real good shot (Koufax, Ford, Bunning, Drysdale, Boyer)
And a few who may or may not have a backlogish shot (Pierce, Fox, Aparacio, Maz, Friend, Minoso)
Some may bicker with some of the placements, but with 21 election slots in these 10 years,
looks to me like a minimum of 5, and up to 7 or 8 backloggers are coming in during the 70s.
(Missed this the first time.)
Overall, I tend to agree, but...
HOM not HOF thru 1969 (writer's wing)
1939 Sisler
1948 Pennock
1948 Traynor
1953 Dean
1954 Maranville
Sisler will probably be a HOMer someday.
Diz, Pie, and the Rabbit get votes, and each has an argument (Dean:peak, Traynor:prime, Maranville:career); their election campaigns are on life-support, however.
Pennock? Good thing you said "nearly" ;-)
Yeah, I know. I got it backwards. Shoot myself in the foot...
The relief pitcher debate will begin in earnest.
To me there's a lot of Beckley about him.
No question about the career, but is there enough peak/prime?
seasons with an era+ over 170. Only Eck, Gossage, Wagner and Rivera can compare and
only Rivera significantly bests his peak.
If only one reliever could make the HoM, Hoyt would be he. Or Rivera.
This should be the link to the Yahoo group where my list of 2007 BBWAA newbies is posted
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/HallofMerit/files/HoMer Grid.xls
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/HallofMerit/files/2007 newbies.xls
Notes:
1) As in real life, 1989 stands out as an exceptional year for quality candidates.
2) Since we are no longer dealing with Negro leaguers or war credit, and due also to MLB expansion, I’ve slightly raised the threshold for listing candidates. Some players omitted in this period, who would’ve been listed under previous limits, are Billingham, Norman, Milner, Ra. Jones, G. Jackson, Bi. Robinson, Geronimo, Remy and Bibby.
3) Another addition that I should’ve done long ago, there is an asterisk by players who are eligible earlier than the BBWAA rules, due to ignoring token appearances at the end of their career.
4) It’s also possible I missed a death date or two; due to its increasing rarity I sometimes forget to check it.
1986 (October 2)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
408 101.2 1959 Willie McCovey-1B
233 53.2 1964 Willie Horton-LF
212 57.0 1965 Jose Cardenal-CF/RF
183 58.7 1965 Paul Blair-CF
165 55.3 1970 Dave Cash-2B
157 53.3 1969 Manny Sanguillen-C
146 55.9 1967 John Hiller-RP
141 42.7 1966 Bud Harrelson-SS
142 40.6 1965 Ken Henderson-CF/LF
147 31.7 1970 Ralph Garr-LF
114 46.5 1968 Marty Pattin-P
117 32.9 1970 Bernie Carbo-RF/LF
106 35.6 1973 JR Richard-P
1987 (October 16)—elect 3
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
302 88.1 1968 Bobby Bonds-RF (2003)
283 78.3 1967 Sal Bando-3B
178 68.1 1964 Rick Wise-P*
146 61.7 1967 Mike Marshall-RP
150 48.1 1968 Fred Patek-SS
146 47.3 1969 Larry Hisle-CF/LF*
143 44.3 1972 Bill North-CF
135 35.4 1969 Pat Kelly-RF (2005)
121 46.5 1969 Dick Drago-P
116 44.6 1969 Dave Roberts-P
118 42.2 1971 Rennie Stennett-2B
1988 (October 30)—elect 2
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
370 101.3 1963 Willie Stargell-LF/1B (2001)
325 86.4 1967 Reggie Smith-CF/RF
256 97.1 1964 Luis Tiant-P
277 71.9 1969 Bobby Murcer-RF/CF*
225 56.6 1967 Lee May-1B
161 58.9 1967 Sparky Lyle-RP
199 44.2 1970 John Mayberry-1B
162 55.2 1967 Mark Belanger-SS (1998)
173 43.0 1968 Joe Rudi-LF
130 48.8 1968 Stan Bahnsen-P
138 42.5 1968 Del Unser-CF
125 46.8 1969 Bill Lee-P
139 39.7 1974 Ron LeFlore-CF
141 34.3 1971 Willie Montanez-1B
110 41.6 1973 Doc Medich-P
120 31.2 1969 Jim Spencer-1B (2002)
1989 (November 13)—elect 3
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
488 140.1 1961 Carl Yastrzemski-LF/1B
369 136.3 1963 Gaylord Perry-P
356 128.0 1968 Johnny Bench-C
323 121.4 1966 Fergie Jenkins-P
268 102.3 1960 Jim Kaat-P
280 91.4 1964 Bert Campaneris-SS
231 73.9 1970 Gene Tenace-C/1B
197 62.7 1969 Don Money-3B
178 52.9 1973 Richie Zisk-RF/DH
156 57.9 1972 Jon Matlack-P
141 52.4 1965 Rudy May-P
137 52.2 1971 Ken Forsch-P*
134 49.5 1966 Woodie Fryman-P
131 50.5 1969 Steve Renko-P
123 50.1 1972 Jim Barr-P
130 43.0 1971 Joe Ferguson-C
132 39.0 1974 Bake McBride-RF/CF
115 43.2 1972 Dave Goltz-P
124 37.3 1967 Aurelio Rodriguez-3B (2000)
1990 (November 27)—elect 3
WS W3 Rookie Name-Pos (Died)
512 156.8 1965 Joe Morgan-2B
312 107.4 1965 Jim Palmer-P
302 86.5 1970 Ken Singleton-RF
286 82.6 1969 Amos Otis-CF
258 64.1 1967 Rick Monday-CF
247 59.3 1971 Greg Luzinski-LF
236 60.8 1968 Bob Watson-1B
181 61.0 1968 Ron Reed-RP
185 54.6 1971 Mickey Rivers-CF
159 56.1 1969 Mike Torrez-P
158 56.1 1965 Tug McGraw-RP (2004)
140 52.4 1971 Paul Splittorff-P
164 43.1 1969 Lou Piniella-LF
122 46.6 1972 Mike Caldwell-P
110 44.8 1968 Tom Burgmeier-RP
112 41.1 1971 Milt May-C
113 39.1 1972 Dick Tidrow-RP
116 37.2 1973 Bucky Dent-SS
122 34.5 1977 Gene Richards-LF
Double backlog election in 1984.
*Possible* triple backlog election in 1985 (depending on the evaulation of Brock)
McCovey + single backlog in 1986
Triple backlog election in 1987
Ignoring re-evalations and near ties, everyone in the top ten in 1983 will be inducted by 1987. That's an extremely quick turnover.
Maybe, but Sal Bando should get a verrrrrrrry long look from us before he gets dumped into the backlog. As a 3B, he's a wicked strong candidate. He's a better candidate at 3B than Bobby Bonds in the OF.
Other potentially controversial candidates in this period:
Mike Marshall (1987)
Reggie Smith and Luis Tiant (1988)
Jim Kaat and Gene Tenace (1989)
Ken Singleton (1990)
And with the newly depleted backlog, we'll be looking at those guys a bit closer than we might think.
Ten-Ah-Chay?
or
Ten-ess?
or
Ten-ess?
I had always heard the latter, but his birth certificate says "Fiore Gino Tennaci" which would imply either Tay-nah-chee or Tay-nah-see. (I'm not entirely familiar with the c/cc rules). Of course, he americanized the spelling and I've seen some americanized pronunciations that would make native speakers cringe.
Everybody's looking at the rate stats here.
Did he pitch enough high-leverage innings to translate those rates into high value?
He has 5 consecutive seasons with an era+ over 170.
Three of those 5 seasons (66-68) he's pitching a modern load of about 80-95 IP. But he only has 30 saves total for the 3 years. High-impact relievers get their value from pitching well in high-leverage innings. If he's not pitching those innings then we're in the McGraw/Chance/Joss situation; very nice rates but not enough total value contributed to the team.
Anyway this is a debate for another year.
The 1971 date is in error. That line for him in post #601 is copied from Chris Cobb's post #388, but it was copied to the wrong year. Gilliam is eligible in 1972, no question about it.
No, but I would imagine that they would be fairly close. There are "cheap" saves (the three run kind and the three-inning kind). OTOH, high leverage non-save situations would involve pitching in tie ball-games. I would think the latter would tend to result in an unusually high number of decisions for a reliever (eg Roy Face, 18-1 in 93IP in 1959), which would also indicate leverage.
Wilhelm does have some excellent pre-1966 seasons as well.
Anyhow, we can revisit this with some possible help from '(out of order)' when Wilhelm gets his own thread.
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