A little old, but I finally have time today to do this stuff. (h/t Roberto)
• Title: “Wonderful Ignorance”; subtitle: “The Past Is Always Going To Be With Us”
• Bill discusses SABR’s beginnings. It was smaller, allowing for more personal interaction, and more populated by “eccentrics”. He reminds us that founder Bob Davids was reluctant to publish more than one article every two years about statistical analysis in the SABR Journal. He says that of SABR’s 70 members at the time, only himself, ...
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1 2 >IIRC, I remember the Rams BITD talking about all the "pancakes" that Orlando Pace got, presumably when flattening a defensive lineman with a ferocious block. The Rams actually kept track of this stuff; I'm guessing other teams do this as well? If I were on the O-Line I would want all the help on my side I could get at contract negotiation time.
Actually, Mays was in scoring position when he was on first base. At least, that's what Orlando Cepeda joked about when he led the NL in RBIs in '61. Cepeda said he was amazed at the number of times he could hit a double with Mays on first and Willie would still score (something unusual back in the days of a lot of "station to station" baserunning). Seems to me I see that sort of play happen fairly frequently nowadays - is it because a lot of "doubles" nowadays have the batter cruising into second whereas batters in the past may have been getting triples on those drives (in which case a runner would be scoring from first anyways)? Or is it because runners today are a lot faster than previous generations and any long drive to the wall is just going to score a runner from first a lot of the time?
I don't know if more guys score from first on doubles today than they did historically. Anyone know?
Last year, Mike Trout was 7 for 11. Similar enough by percentage. Let me see if I can find league averages.
No idea, but I might guess they score from 1st less often nowadays, a little like how there are fewer triples with fewer cavernous parks. Plus in the sillyball era it was a riskier gamble.
For NL 1961 it was 41.2%.
That does not mean players are slower. Could be outfield defense has improved more than running speed has. Could also be an issue with ballpark configurations. Or just random fluctuation.
Edit: Or risk tolerance by 3B coaches/managers.
Which would mandate he take second base. No stolen base, of course.
I doubt the opposing team would have done that.
This should be derivable from game logs, right?
Which the opposing team would want, hypothetically.
If Willie Mays does it, its smart baseball. If Rickey Henderson does it, he's lazy.
Did some playing around with PBP files and this is what I found for 1965.
In 1965 there were 15 situations in which Willie Mays hit a single with McCovey on deck and less than 2 outs. In those 15 situations Willie ended up stealing second base while McCovey was batting 4 times. McCovey hit into a double play twice, forced out Mays another time, and was walked twice despite having Willie on base. In the 4 times that McCovey made an out without removing Mays Willie did not steal a base though there was one situation in which he got picked off first base but in the ensuing run down an error was committed and Mays ended up on third.
If Willie was holding up at first to let McCovey bat then why did he steal a base over 25% of the time when McCovey was up? Why did he never attempt to steal a base when McCovey failed to get on base?
How is that? TEs are eligible receivers and can line up anywhere
So basically Willie was able to do 60% of the time what an average runner could do only 40% of the time? It's one thing to hear from old legends just how fast he was, but to see it in measurable numbers is pretty cool.
I've watched a lot of big, slow sluggers over the years - in the last 15 years or so I saw a lot of guys like McGwire, Thome, etc. When they hit a drive into the gap that went to the wall, they were usually lucky to chug into 2nd base with a double on the play whereas faster runners may have gotten a triple. Frequently, I saw runners score from first which made me wonder what was going on.
I don't think crank is a _strong_ enough word. James characterizes him accurately above.
No he doesn't. The writer to James describes him perfectly accurately. You may disagree completely with Chomsky but he's not "raving" in any sense of the word, he lays his arguments out clearly, calmly and logically.
I mean I consider 95% of libertarianism to be sheer idiocy but y'all aren't out on the street corners raving about the evils of eminent domain either.
Edit: Or risk tolerance by 3B coaches/managers.
All such advance percentages (like first to third on singles) are a bit lower thse days than in the Mays era.
Besides the factors AROM suggests above, I suspect more runners were in motion back then.
That move should have an official name, like the "Wally George" (there's a throwback for you!) or something like that. Feel free to nominate other possibilities.
Regression.
Simple, really. It's all the fault of the US Government, and never in a million years would have happened under benevolent rulers like Stalin, Mao, or Pol Pot.
Old Man Yells At Cloud
I am positive we will be able to come to a group consensus as to just what kind of human being Noam Chomsky is.
His name appears next to crank on the list of drugs at Bosch's clinic.
The terms "strong side" of the line and "strong safety" to defend that are also holdover terms from those times, referring to the side where the end lined up right next to the tackle. In the NFL, I believe that Jackie Smith, who was the first, and Dave Casper, who was the most famous, were the first "tight ends" who regularly lined up away from the tackles and could run deep routes. That's why they're in the Hall of Fame. Running backs, which include flankers and slot receivers, must line up behind the line of scrimmage, because they are, technically, running backs. Every once in a while, actually pretty often, you'll see an offside call because the offensive team had too few or too many men on the line of scrimmage. That's because an end set up too far back, or a back set up on the line. If I remember right and they haven't changed the rule, you used to have to have a jersey number above 80 or below 40 to be eligible to receive a pass. If you were going to set up with an offensive tackle as your "end", you had to tell the officials. That's called the "tackle eligible" play, and allows you to circumvent the requirement for jersey numbers (if that rule still exists).
In VERY old football, before people threw any serious number of passes, the defensive line rules used to require seven men on the line of scrimmage. According to my father, who played high school ball in the 1920s, the standard practice against a team that did pass a lot for the times was for the defensive center - what we'd now call the nose guard - to back up and go into pass coverage as soon as the ball was snapped, essentially playing like a modern middle linebacker. But he had to start out from a position on the line of scrimmage. That rule was gone by the time I started following football in the mid-1950s. - Brock Hanke
Wasn't that exactly what was called against the 49ers in the first series of the Super Bowl? They lined up with five interior linemen plus two tight ends, but inadvertently one of the wide receivers was on the line rather than a step back. Illegal formation, because there were eight men on the line.
The jersey-number principle still exists. When the Saints played in Arlington a few weeks ago, the stadium PA continually announced before a Saints snap that "69 is now eligible." (Talk about "that's what she said.") 69, whoever he was, was wearing a tackle's number but lining up at tight end. He never seemed to run a route or catch a pass, but they dutifully told us every time he hauled himself onto the field.
At live games they do this on many more plays than you'd think watching on tv. The broadcasts choose to ignore it most of the time for some reason.
Wait, that's the bat James is always going off on when calling Ruth a corker? Shouldn't there be some actual cork involved before you level that accusation? The bat at the link uses multiple pieces of hard wood glued together so that the grain lines up differently. If I recall correctly, George Brett has a bat company that does something similar.
As I understand the story, the rule as written had some ambiguity. Ruth used a nonstandard bat that obeyed the written rules, but wasn't precisely what the rules makers had envisioned. They updated the rule, and he stopped using the bat. Big whoop.
When Hernandez is in the backfield or split outside when the ball is snapped, I would consider him a RB or WR on that play.
Whoever is covering the lineman is the "end." If he is next to the tackle, he is called the tight end, if he is spread he used to be called the "split end" but everyone just calls him a wide receiver now. Also, the wing back in the single wing offense described in #32 is usually considered a tight end now, so that a team can have 2 tight ends on one side even though one of them technically isn't on the "end" of the line (because he lines up a step back and so is actually a "back").
And this goes back to the original point. Why is a TE considered an offensive lineman if anyone can be the player to cover up a tackle? Even if the TE is next to the tackle, why is he part of the OL? Everything that has been described is formation rules and says nothing about "the TE is an offensive lineman."
He can be considered a lineman because he is a big guy who lines up amongst that group of people who are called linemen and he blocks often.
Yes and no. If Brandon Lloyd started to line up next to the tackle on every play instead of out wide (i.e. "wide" receiver), people would start to call him a tight end.
from the
NFL rulebook: "Offensive team must have at least seven players on line."
Pitchers occasionally steal bases and catch line drives, too.
How often does Hernandez line up on the line? Even when he's tight it seems like he's the H-Back and Gronkowski (or someone else) is actually on the line.
Well as I said above, they are considered tight ends nowadays even if they are not the end, as long as they are tight to the tackle or other tight end.
This year Gronk and Hernandez weren't on the field at the same time all that often because of injuries.
I'm sure that is the rule for other levels as well. There is a high school here that routinely uses eight men on the line of scrimmage, the apparent goal is to overload and then overwhelm the defense. Their name for this is "Smash Mouth Football".
But he doesn't have to line up and and the original claim was that "technically" a TE is a lineman. Then you made an argument based on rules of formations that was slightly off (TEs or ends do not have to be on the LOS and cover the tackle). Now it is based on what they may do. What is it that makes them "technically" OL's? Because I am seeing nothing that makes them be considered linemen.
Wasn't that exactly what was called against the 49ers in the first series of the Super Bowl? They lined up with five interior linemen plus two tight ends, but inadvertently one of the wide receivers was on the line rather than a step back. Illegal formation, because there were eight men on the line.
Yes and no. The penalty was to do with this rule, and was illegal formation, but wasn't exactly as you describe. You have to have 7 men on the line AND certain players have to be 'covered' by other players further outside lining up on the LOS.
So is it that if the slot receiver (or tight end or h-back) is on the line and covered by the split end, then he's an ineligible receiver?
Yes. If there are more than 7 players on the LOS, a player other than the tackles will be covered up and ineligible. That's why you see outside receivers step back after a player motions to the line of scrimmage.
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