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By the way, Allan Dykstra is hitting a Bondsian .419/.561/.814 in Las Vegas. I know everybody hits in LV and he's not a prospect anymore but he could be a non-horrible option if Duda flops.
By the way, Allan Dykstra is hitting a Bondsian .419/.561/.814 in Las Vegas. I know everybody hits in LV and he's not a prospect anymore
But that's sort of the point of the article. We're not doing that.
I presume Allan is Lenny's son
That hot stretch, and the other good stretch, appear to be the outlier for Duda
#16 the argument to be made is that Davis's overall numbers were pulled down by his atrocious performance across two short stints, one explicable one inexplicable. Merely taking the #s and averaging them out over periods of time doesn't say anything meaningful.
there's an irrational belief that major leaguers feel pressure in the majors that they don't feel in the minors
It's not irrational. It's not quantifiable. Do you understand the difference?
The Mets sent him down because he wasn't able to hit major league pitching.
They wanted him to rebuild his swing, and his confidence, against pitchers who would be easier to hit. Baseball players are not robots; they have feelings and emotions, and those impact their performance in complicated ways. Just because we can't (yet!) measure those relationships does not negate their existence.
But you've got 20 months that say he can hit major league pitching to a 120 or higher OPS+, and only 3 months that say otherwise without explanation.
Should they send down Granderson right now for "not being able to hit major league pitching"? Either Granderson is injured, in which case sending him down isn't going to help, or he's washed up, in which case sending him down isn't going to help. But if he's still capable of hitting major league pitching (and I think he is, though he may well be in decline) then sending him down won't do a damned thing for him.
If it's not quantifiable then there's no evidence for it and thus it's irrational to believe it, much less to make decisions based on it.
You're treating players like robots, by pretending that slumps have to be driven by something beyond flat randomness, such as pressure or emotions or a family situation. There's zero evidence for that. Slumps are driven by either pure randomness or by injury (and there is evidence for that).
If it's not quantifiable, there's no quantifiable evidence for it. That doesn't mean it doesn't exist.
But flat randomness is all you're seeing because your tools are limited. If you could quantify 'family problems' or 'emotions' or 'pressure' better, you would have better data.
Baseball is a difficult game that depends on being able to control one's body with precision. Lots of factors go into this-- you're not just discounting the ones you can't measure, you're claiming they don't exist.
You can believe it might exist, or that it's plausible, but you can't believe with anything approaching certainty that it exists.
I think I'd want more than 12 games of .245/.362/.367 to draw any conclusions about B.J. Upton.
I don't see anyway you can slice their careers and say Davis is better than Duda, offensively.
That said, Hairson put up a 83 OPS+ in 2004, a 94 OPS+ in 2006, a 117 OPS+ in 2008, and back down to a 103 OPS+ in 2009 (you only included his 2009 stats with SDP in 216 PA's, not his other 248 PA's with OAK, very misleading). He had an 86 OPS+ over 694 PA's from 24 to 27 years old.
That's a player with a little 27-32 prime of 104 OPS+. Unless you have some other compelling narrative about him, a career 98 OPS+ looks right to me.
On July 28, he went 4-4 with 3 HR. This is the first half of "Act III", pretty much all driven by one game.
(you only included his 2009 stats with SDP in 216 PA's, not his other 248 PA's with OAK, very misleading)
.....and we're not doing this with Ike because.....?
After Frenchy, is Davis the most discussed player relative to performance on BTF?
Either way, the time had come to make a decision regarding Duda and Davis and I'm glad they did it.
For a while, I was really in coin-flip territory with these guys, but I actually think they made the right decision on which one to keep, especially if the PTBNL is anything good.
I was actually of the mind that Davis was the better overall player, but might have some trade value as a consequence and that Duda was at best of interest to some AL teams.
You're telling me a team like the Indians (Raburn?), Astros (Guzman/Carter), Oakland (Jaso), Pirates or Jays couldn't find a spot for Duda at DH or 1B?
#54 - I can't believe there wasn't an AL team that wanted Duda. You're telling me a team like the Indians (Raburn?), Astros (Guzman/Carter), Oakland (Jaso), Pirates or Jays couldn't find a spot for Duda at DH or 1B?
ARoid DH'd for 16 games and hit .111/.262/.241 (when not DHing he hit like, well ARod)
That seems more like poor look than poor design.
It has pretty much always been this way.
Daric Barton excepted.
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