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out of all of that, none of the above is factored into BABIP, and only walks are factored into FIP.
Orioles super closer Jim Johnson not a fan of statistics
Pretty sure the lack of extra base hits is factored into FIP (at least home runs).
I'm not saying he isn't a good reliever. I'm saying that ERA and save total are extremely unlikely to be repeated in 2013.
If Repoz had only quoted the first three paragraphs, where he points out the silliness of spring training numbers and looking for micro-trends to build a narrative this link would have gotten glowing comments
I'd like to see what he can do as a starter. Derek Lowe is a great comp IMO.
Whatever happened to that idea?
What you guys talked about a lot last year was the one-run games and how that’s going to play out again. Who knows? It’s just one of those silly things that happens.
"These statisticians come up with these formulas that tell you how good you’re supposed to be. You’re pitching better than your numbers or you don’t pitch as well.
"People need to quantify it. But if you just watch the games, you can see the bigger picture. I think it’s easier to see it that way.”
How does he feel about pure math?
As a reliever, Jim Johnson has a career 148 ERA+ combined with a .280 BABIP. There's absolutely nothing weird about a pitcher - especially a relief pitcher - limiting hits against by a margin of .015 BABIP or so, and a 150 ERA+ is a good cut-off for "true relief ace". He had a 170 ERA+ last year, so you expect some regression, but Johnson' looks like an excellent pitcher any eam would be happy to have
It's just "Boras", Mr. Arbitrator, and, yes, I'm ready.
Sir, I'm just a caveman. I fell on some ice and later got thawed out by some of your scientists. Your world frightens and confuses me! Sometimes the honking horns of your traffic make me want to get out of my BMW.. and run off into the hills, or wherever.. Sometimes when I check Baseball Reference for a pitcher's park adjusted ERA on my smartphone, I wonder: "Did little demons get inside and type it?" I don't know! My primitive mind can't grasp these concepts. But there is one thing I do know - when an arb eligible relief pitcher like my client saves 51 games in one season for a playoff team, then he is entitled to no less than five million in annual compensation. Thank you.
I've always wondered, how important is it for players to be aware of the latest is FIP, BABIP and regression technology?
It might not make him a better pitcher, but it would make him better informed and more self-aware.
Plus the knowledge that they have a really low BABIP and are lucky rather than good might stop some pitchers from getting oversized egos.
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