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From a sabermetric point of view, at least, isn't the conventional wisdom that managers and chemistry and the like pretty much don't matter?
Middlebrooks was hurt when Youk got traded.
On another note, I'm looking to bet someone here that BV is still the manager of the Red Sox at the conclusion of the 2013 season. I want 2 to 1; I'll put up a $20 bbref sponsorship to your $40. I was going to wait for the opportunity to come up organically but now I haven't done that.
I'm a bit surprised -- perhaps pleasantly surprised, I'm not sure -- at the idea that clubhouse issues are a big part of the underperformance. From a sabermetric point of view, at least, isn't the conventional wisdom that managers and chemistry and the like pretty much don't matter?
I'm having trouble accepting that these two explanations are sufficient for the 2012 Red Sox, so I'm looking for a third factor.
I always approach "chemistry / coaching" explanations with significant skepticism
I'm amazed that the conventional wisdom points to Valentine staying. It's looked like he was setting a match to his office the last month.
At this point I'm actually hoping he needs Tommy John surgery because at least then there would be a useful and repairable explanation for his season.
How much can we discount this terrible play given that it seems to be more a function of a team that hates their manager and doesn't care about the games? Or is that just my projection - seeing as I hate their manager and don't care about the games?
One of the things I want to look at, when I start blogging again in October, is how the Red Sox 2013 projections will be affected by their entirely awful performance in the final six weeks of the season.
One possible reason for hope. The last time something like this happened was 2001 .... but I wouldn't be at all surprised to see guys like Lester, Buchholz and Pedroia absolutely hit the ground running next April.
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