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Career: Came up 210 times. Intentionally walked 25 so that leaves 185 at-bats with a runner on third and less than two outs. In those 185 plate appearances, he hit 20 sac flies, walked 52 times, hit .365 and slugged .584. The guy’s a bleeping beast in sac fly situations, which is why pitchers consciously try to pitch around him. If Walt Jocketty and Bryan Price and the rest of the Reds spend even one minute disabusing Joey Votto of the notion that a base on balls is as beneficial as a sac fly — and trying to change him as a hitter — they should be forced by the Baseball Gods to trade him to my favorite team and pick up Josh Hamilton and his gargantuan contract in his place. Hamilton, you will note, is a sac fly machine.
I'd trade Anthony Rizzo and Starlin Castro for Joey Votto and cash and perhaps not even for cash.
they should be forced by the Baseball Gods to trade him to my favorite team and pick up Josh Hamilton and his gargantuan contract in his place. Hamilton, you will note, is a sac fly machine
The Astros hired Baseball Prospectus sabermatrician Colin Wyers
With two outs, I want a guy like Votto rippin' 3-0 with 2 men on. That's likely the best pitch he's gonna see all game. And as a league, the NL hit .348 and slugged .677 on 3-0 pitches, so you figure Votto's gonna do even better.
If you're down 3-0 on Votto with first base open and two outs you are not going to groove one down the pipe unless you are either very stupid or very unlucky with your location.
Youk I think as well, but I may be misremembering that one.
Now we need to see how many of those PA came with first base open and with two outs.
It seems to me that from at least a Game Theory perspective, Youk (definitely) and Votto (quite possibly) were/are not swinging often enough on 3-0
A not amazing 242/520/395 line.
1st base open, two outs:
196 PA, 70 BB (47 IBB), 17 singles, 7 doubles, 6 HR, 2 HBP, 2 ROE. A not amazing 242/520/395 line.
Yes, I think so. I have watched a lot of baseball in my time, and I have gotten the impression that an awful lot of very hittable
pitches get taken by power hitter types on 3-0 counts, 3-1 as well I guess, with men on base and two outs. It seems to me that's the
best pitch your team is gonna see that inning, quite likely, and the guy can "zone-in" on a fastball in a fastball count.
Though this assumes that the pitcher doesn't want to walk him in the first place. If it's an intentional-unintentional walk, why use up another pitch going to 3-1 before the inevitable? Of course, the problem might be knowing which situation one's in.
Interesting how much gamesmanship applies even in these rather marginal and routine situations.
And if the pitcher is trying to get Youkliis out, and he knows Youkilis won't swing at ANY 3-0 offerings, then he can simply throw a get-me-over pitch. From the record, it appears Youkilis has provided no disincentive to doing so.
The Astros hired Baseball Prospectus sabermatrician Colin Wyers.
That's great, I didn't know that.
If he can hit like it was 2010-11
I've heard a number of people say the Reds would be better off trading Votto than Phillips, because Phillips was more productive anyway.
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