BBTF.org/m/sabermetrics : Phil Rogers: Bean-counting GM Beane deserves a better place to work

Thursday, May 23, 2013

FanGraphs: Cameron: The 2013 Cubs: Better Than We Think

(www.fangraphs.com)

posted 5 hours ago by Repoz to cubs, sabermetrics | 17 comment(s)

Light at the end of the ridiculously low-ceilinged tunnel.

The Cubs have actually played pretty good baseball when sequencing is not considered. By wOBA differential, they’ve been a well above average team. Their record is almost entirely a reflection of the power of the timing of various events.

In our Win Probability section, we track a stat called “Clutch”, which basically looks at the wins a team has gained or lost due to the leverage of the game when their positive or negative ...

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1. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) posted on January 15, 2012 at 10:26 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

MLB should have a minimum payroll. It would require all teams to at least attempt to be somewhat competitive, and fairness is an issue.

I long for the day when NO team has to finish in last place.

2. Tripon posted on January 15, 2012 at 10:58 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

Baseball already has an informal minimum payroll, and trying to enforce it in an actual rule would simply divert from a team that heavily invested in their farm system.

3. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong posted on January 15, 2012 at 11:42 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

Why does Beane deserve better than this? Is "this" not partly his own doing?

4. Mefisto posted on January 16, 2012 at 12:10 AM # hit 0 | hit 0

Beane was offered a better place to work. He turned it down.

5. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong posted on January 16, 2012 at 12:13 AM # hit 0 | hit 0

You mean the Red Sox? That was like 10 years ago. His daughter's grown up now.

6. Jittery McFrog posted on January 16, 2012 at 02:10 AM # hit 0 | hit 0

Baseball already has an informal minimum payroll, and trying to enforce it in an actual rule would simply divert from a team that heavily invested in their farm system.

Well, one could have a minimum along the lines of "[Major league payroll + farm system] must be > X". Or "[A*Major league payroll + B*Farm system] must be > X" for some appropriate coefficients A and B.

7. UCCF posted on January 16, 2012 at 03:23 AM # hit 0 | hit 0

I long for the day when NO team has to finish in last place.

Do what I do - follow the Lake Wobegon League.

8. Walt Davis posted on January 16, 2012 at 03:41 AM # hit 0 | hit 0

Do what I do - follow the Lake Wobegon League.

That's a terrible league. Every team finishes 83-79 so then you have an interminably long set of 1-game playoffs -- where each usually goes 22 innings before being decided by a coin flip -- just to settle on the division winners and the wild card.

It's Thanksgiving before you even get to the 1-game wild card play-in.

9. Dr. Vaux posted on January 16, 2012 at 04:37 AM # hit 0 | hit 0

I think that's Selig's wet dream.

10. zonk posted on January 16, 2012 at 10:13 AM # hit 0 | hit 0

Doesn't the fact that Beane has an ownership stake in the A's sort of render moot any argument about what he 'deserves'?

11. Don Geovany Soto (chris h.) posted on January 16, 2012 at 10:58 AM # hit 0 | hit 0

Well, one could have a minimum along the lines of "[Major league payroll + farm system] must be > X". Or "[A*Major league payroll + B*Farm system] must be > X" for some appropriate coefficients A and B.

The union won't like that. They would definitely insist in a minimum at the major league level.

If history has taught us anything, it's that the group to get screwed by any new arrangement would be the minor leaguers.

12. ray james posted on January 16, 2012 at 11:17 AM # hit 0 | hit 0

His daughter's grown up now.

His daughter was grown up then too.

13. Mefisto posted on January 16, 2012 at 11:20 AM # hit 0 | hit 0

You mean the Red Sox? That was like 10 years ago.

Yeah, but wasn't he just as deserving then of a better place to work as he is now?

14. bunyon posted on January 16, 2012 at 11:29 AM # hit 0 | hit 0

Yeah, I'm not sure how he deserves better when he has an ownership stake and has been GM for well over a decade. I mean, I think he'd be a good hire and if my team got him, I'd be optimistic. But he's clearly not perfect and infallible. Some, maybe most, of the A's mess has to be laid at his feet.

15. Crispix Attacks 2: Swag Airlines posted on January 16, 2012 at 12:01 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

He may have an ownership stake in the San Jose A's, but he doesn't get any of the revenue from all the other owners' more important real-estate properties there.

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Thursday, May 23, 2013

FanGraphs: Cameron: The 2013 Cubs: Better Than We Think

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Sabermetrics Think Factory