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This is baseball. Payroll tells you more that just about everything else combined. Yeah, it's not a straight line, but the rich teams are usually going to win. It's designed that way.
Wouldn't a lot of high payroll teams be worse five years later because they were at the high end of the success cycle when the payroll measurement was taken?
In other words, there are plenty of very high payroll teams that are good bets to be better in five years than they are today.
How does the first paragraph you wrote, vibe with the concluding sentence?
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