A little old, but I finally have time today to do this stuff. (h/t Roberto)
• Title: “Wonderful Ignorance”; subtitle: “The Past Is Always Going To Be With Us”
• Bill discusses SABR’s beginnings. It was smaller, allowing for more personal interaction, and more populated by “eccentrics”. He reminds us that founder Bob Davids was reluctant to publish more than one article every two years about statistical analysis in the SABR Journal. He says that of SABR’s 70 members at the time, only himself, ...
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1. Dr. Vaux posted on October 03, 2012 at 02:57 PM # hit 0 | hit 0I'm afraid Carpenter isn't going to get the chance to start a playoff game.
17.5
13.4
10.4
6.2
____Pujols AGon
2001 9.4
2002 8.9
2003 10.0
2004 10.6
2005 10.4
2006 10.5__6.9
2007 11.7__7.8
2008 11.5__8.2
2009 10.8__14.7
2010 9.8___8.8
2011 7.2___7.7
2012 5.5 __5.5
Pujols and AGon both have a similar arc, but AGon really had one very high outlier season in there, before his current very low outlier.
Pujols' walk rate climbed over four years and then remained between 10.5-11.7% for six seasons, although it did decline every year after 2007. That decline has accelerated the past two years to the point where he's now become a guy who simply doesn't walk a lot (he's 42nd in 2012 in walks in the AL).
Much of Albert's value was in OBP, but these days, with that walk rate, he's in the .340s--not horrible but certainly not among the elite.
After finishing in the top 10 in the NL in OBP in eight straight seasons through 2010 (including seven top-three finishes), Pujols is currently 28th in the AL in OBP in 2012, despite still having the third-most intentional walks.
And if a guy who sets the all-time home run record doesn't win MVP, why can't a guy who gets the measly triple crown not win?
Because Sosa's victory was in defense of "tradition" (the Cubs made the playoffs, the Cards didn't) and also a consolation prize for helping make the writers feel like 12-year-olds again but losing out on the record.
George Hall, 1876: 5
Charley Jones, 1879: 9
Harry Stovey, 1883: 14
Ned Williamson, 1884: 27
Babe Ruth, 1919: 29
Babe Ruth, 1920: 54
Babe Ruth, 1921: 59
Babe Ruth, 1927: 60
Roger Maris, 1961: 61
Mark McGwire, 1998: 70
Barry Bonds, 2001: 73
Only Maris and Bonds won the MVP in their years. No extenuating circumstances may be considered.
Charley Jones, 1879: 9
Harry Stovey, 1883: 14
Ned Williamson, 1884: 27
Babe Ruth, 1919: 29
Babe Ruth, 1920: 54
Babe Ruth, 1921: 59
Babe Ruth, 1927: 60
Roger Maris, 1961: 61
Sammy Sosa: 1998: 66
Mark McGwire, 1998: 70
Barry Bonds, 2001: 73
Fixed that for you, as Sosa was alone as the all-time single season home run king for about an hour in late September 1998.
Julio Franco
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