Milwaukee Journal, May 23, 1913:
Big Ed Walsh, twirling star of the White Sox, announced today that he has joined the faculty of a correspondence school and hereafter must be addressed as “Professor”. For a paper dollar Walsh will send out to aspirants for fame six lessons on the science of moistening the ball and putting it where the batter’s bat isn’t. Walsh starts his classes Monday.
This is not something that strikes me as a useful service. Nonetheless, I’d love to be able to read Walsh’s ...
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1. Neutral Milk Dotel (Dan Lee) posted on November 29, 2012 at 07:36 AM # hit 0 | hit 0I don't want to, though. I remember what HoJo looked like at shortstop.
C: Bill Freehan
1B: Otto Velez
2B: Dick McAuliffe
3B: Howard Johnson
SS: Carter Elliott
LF: Minnie Minoso
CF: Irv Noren
RF: Mike Easler
SP: Jake Weimer
SP: Carl Weilman
SP: Long Tom Hughes
SP: Joe Price
SP: Bill Sowders
RP: Mariano Rivera
Quarterback/Minor League Infielder: Russell Wilson
Or McAuliffe, which would be somewhat less appalling. Looks like Joe Orengo could play second in that case, or he could play short as well.
Or 366. The Leap Year team has Al Rosen, Pepper Martin and Terrence Long...though only 11 men on the roster. As long as a few pitchers don't mind playing the field they'll be ok.
Hell yes.
I've thought about that. How about taking each player's median season in terms of WAR?
I volunteer to collect the teams from these posts into a database. Don't tell me if this has already been done, my last baseball related project is about done and there's several months before real baseball starts again.
Total WAR
26th - 417
29th - 298
28th - 210
27th - 194
If I can do anything, please let me know, and if you need my help putting together 25/40 man rosters, you know where to find me. Strat-O-Matic does sell (and I own) a set of rosters that include every player in baseball history, normalized to an "average" era. Sometimes it's sort of wonky - Ken Griffey Junior is inexplicably only a borderline Top 20 CF in their set - but it exists. If someone puts together the rosters, I'd be willing to build them in SOM.
One problem we'd have is that it's just normalized career averages, so a guy like Dave Winfield, a legitimately excellent player, is fringy because he hung around so long. Meanwhile, guys like George Stone and Dave Orr, who had short but brilliant careers, are fantastic because they didn't have any "decline" years factored into their cards.
Also, there's the problem of the teams who have to play a bunch of historically insignificant guys who had, say, 150 career AB but hit .350. I don't think SOM has a mechanism built in to compensate for that...as far as the game's concerned, Kevin Rhomberg is a .383 hitter and that's that.
But if someone has ideas about how to compensate for that, Strat's done much of the legwork already.
I have the following teams available:
Baltimore
Houston
Oakland
Seattle
Texas
Arizona
Pittsburgh
San Francisco
St. Louis
Washington
Median season in terms of WAR might be the best way to do it (or 3rd best season by WAR). Avoid any calculations or the "Winfield-effect". I guess it would have it's own problems, helping some guys, screwing others. I guess it might present problems of how to get a hold of Howard Johnson's 1988 card, Dick McAuliffe's 1967 etc? We could cheat and have a generic "didn't have a real career" card. Treat all the sub-500 PA players as the same.
Format is a thing to consider as well. Just a huge elimination tournament (single game? best of 3?) Some kind of bye for top seeded teams. Doing anything more than 3 games series would likely need more pitchers. The current number of 6 might do for 3 games (3 starters who can pitch once per series, 3 relievers who are automatically fully rested before each game).
If full 25 man rosters are feasible I guess there's no reason not to go seven games!
EDIT: Holy Moses! May 18th has Brooks Robinson, Reggie Jackson and Babe Adams as the ace. I think I can manage my fellows to the top of the spring bracket.
I don't really see the value of career in this type of exercise, other than to wash out one-hit wonders. You could also just pick their actual primes with a little more work, which would help with the fact that a lot of birthday guys are so fringe as to not have played in those ages. You're also going to have to come up with some sort of positional adjustment system given how many are playing out of position.
-The "career average" cards Dan mentioned have the merit of requiring less work.
-Picking out some pre-determined representative season saves on work but still requires the tracking down of that data. I don't suppose anyone has a DMB disc of every player in every year so we can pick out individual player-seasons at will?
-Average of 26-31 years (or best 5 consecutive seasons, something like that) is probably closest to the ideal. How do we go about translating that information into something we can use for a sim?
C: Brian Schneider ... weakest of the 9 position players listed here ... career OPS+ of 81, 3 year peak of 84, 3 yr WAR peak of 5.4, solid glove
1B: Fred Tenney ... 3 yr OPS peak of 131, but that doesn't including his batting titles, the year he led the league in runs, etc...; 3 yr WAR peak of 11.2, solid glove
2B: Harold Reynolds ... 2 time A-S, 3 time GG, 3 yr OPS+ peak of 98, also 3 yr WAR peak of 11.2, very good glove
3B: Richie Hebner ... 3 yr OPS+ peak of 136 (fueled by his one big season), also also a 3 yr WAR peak of 11.2, below average d
SS: Eddie Miller ... 7 time A-S! (I had no idea.) 3 yr OPS+ peak of 93, 3 yr peak WAR of 9.2 (both helped by the one year in his career he was a good hitter). Oddly, many of his worst seasons with the bat were during WWII. Low on-base, decent pop, great glove.
LF: Bob Johnson ... 7 time A-S, career 139 OPS+, 3 yr OPS+ peak of "only" 148, 3 yr peak WAR of 16.2. In a sort of parallel with Miller, his top finish in MVP voting (5th) was during one of his worst seasons - but during WWII. Extra credit for fame? Plus fielder, despite being error prone. Minimally, a HOVG type guy.
CF: Hugh Duffy ... HOF, helped in part by the big year you've heard about. Career 123 OPS+, 3 yr OPS+ peak of 144, 3 yr peak WAR of 13.8. Plus glove.
RF: Bob Elliott ... 6 time A-S, MVP in '47. Career 124 OPS+, 3 yr OPS+ peak of 142, 3 yr peak WAR of 17.6. [Was a 3B during peak.] Okay glove.
DH: Jorge Orta ... Career 108 OPS+, 3 yr OPS+ peak of 122, 3 yr peak WAR of 8.0. Played 2B, LF, and 3B during peak (mostly 2B ... poorly), but you could play him in an outfield corner, shift Elliott to third and Hebner to DH (if you believe in the DH, as I do) - or just let Orta be a super sub.
SP: Lefty Gomez ... HOF, 7 time A-S, twice top-5 in MVP voting, 2 ERA titles, 3 K titles, career ERA+ of 125, 3 yr ERA+ peak of 151, 3 yr WAR peak of 16.1.
SP: Chuck Finley ... 5 time A-S, career ERA+ of 118, 3 yr ERA+ peak of 134, 3 yr WAR peak of 16.0
SP: Larry Gura ... A-S, 3 time top-10 in CY voting, career ERA+ of 106, 3 yr ERA+ peak of 139 (big chunk of that was as a reliever), 3 yr WAR peak of 11.0.
SP: Matt Garza ... really consistent - ERA+ between 100 and 120 for 6 of his 7 seasons ... career ERA+ of 108, 3 yr ERA+ peak of 115, 3 yr WAR peak of 7.7.
SP: Mike Moore ... A-S, twice top-10 in CY voting, career ERA+ of 95, 3 yr ERA+ peak of 114 (one good year: 142 ERA+), 3 yr WAR peak of 11.8.
RP: Jay Howell ... 3 A-S, career ERA+ of 114, 3 yr ERA+ peak of 182 (and a 6 year peak of 171). 3 yr WAR peak of 7.3.
Good fielding team, apart from the pitchers and a position player or two. Solid to good bats throughout the lineup. A little bit of speed. Good rotation and a strong closer.
That's a huuuuuuge merit.
Do they era adjust - or would a team with deadball pitchers and bats from the 1890s/1930s necessarily kill? Do others agree that this is something we should deal with?
The May 18th team that has Brooks Robinson, Reggie Jackson (both better than any one player on the 26th team), and Babe Adams also has Jim Sundberg catching, Joakim Soria closing, Marcus Giles at 2B...and is still 80+ WAR behind the November 26th squad.
I think he said it is era normalized. Not sure if this includes accounting for dead-ball pitcher usage. I'd be happy to go with that method. It's all for fun anyway. I'd rather spend days and months pouring over a simulation that may not 100% reflect what we want, than spend hours fine-tuning a 1500 PA SS who is going to be eliminated in the first round anyway.
As he forever should be, that crazy bastard.
My vague, not well thought out playoff plan would have the top 2-3 teams in each league move into a single-elimination tournament of best-of-seven series to determine a champion.
Playing entire seasons wouldn't take dramatically more time than shorter series. Strat's Quickplay feature is pretty quick. Really, the most time-consuming part would be putting together the rosters and lineups.
edit to add: The other way you could do the postseason is just to take the top two or three teams in each league and build a 24 or 36-team "Champions League", which plays a full 154-game season. I'm agnostic as to which I prefer.
Linky
There is another option, if you want to use NPB players. Use McAuliffe at short, and play Tsuyoshi Oshita at second. Oshita won Gold Gloves at second base in both Japanese leagues, and was a five-time All-Star. Not much of a hitter (.260/.310/.334), but a great fielder with excellent speed (he topped 20 SB seven times, with a high of 44) who was known as a firebrand. You could even use him at shortstop, if you wanted - he played there early in his career, and was picked to the Best Nine squad as short as a rookie; he was picked to the Best Nine at second base in 1975.
I like this idea as well.
I'll send you an e-mail Dan. Would it be best to jump on months for now? I can grab February. That should keep me going for a while.
It would be fun to make this a project for all of 2013. Spend December getting the 2013 teams ready, then sim the games throughout January, while meanwhile getting February's teams together.
The one caveat is that I'd think the playoff should be a league of some sort, because with a 12-team single-elimination tournament you're giving some first round buys that would greatly affect the potential outcomes in a crapshoot like a short series.
Send me an email via my profile page and I'll add you to the spreadsheet.
I'm up to February 4th.
A question about roster construction - how important is it to have legitimate backups at every position? I'm making it a priority for every team to have two catchers, but are we ok with having 2B/3B type guys being the backup SS in a pinch? I guess for some days that's all you've got. (February is looking like a pretty dud month so far).
Madlock will probably be a starter, but you know what I mean.
We should all agree to check in the dugout every day for questions and comments about the project, as it probably doesn't need a regular thread just yet and there's no need to keep the November 29th dugout on hot topics for the rest of eternity.
#1 in hits for March 1 (Paul Hines) played 3 games at catcher and at least 16 everywhere else, and #3 in hits (Farmer Vaughan) was a catcher with 250 games at first, 110 in the OF, and 13 at 3B. That would be a fun team to manage.
He's down with that if he can wear his shin guards in the field.
Madlock is the second best hitter on his birthday. The best- you guessed it- another third baseman.
Well, depending on how you feel about DH's and Edgar Martinez's fielding.
Good trade for Washington, then.
Good coaching staff, though, in Tom House & Ron Washington. That's gotta be worth something, right?
You're young, you're an all-star athlete, now go lie down in the outfield grass and watch some fireworks. You'll be glad you did.
Your best position player is Luis Aparicio and your second best is Rick Burleson, which sets some sort of record for redundancy. By WAR, your 8th best position player is Mickey McDermott, who spent all of two games at a position other than pitcher.
KL: By the way, speaking of Bill Murray, every time Road House is on and he or one of his idiot brothers are watching TV—and they’re always watching TV—one of them calls my husband and says [In a reasonable approximation of Carl Spackler], “Kelly’s having sex with Patrick Swayze right now. They’re doing it. He’s throwing her against the rocks.” [Away from the receiver.] What? Oh, my God. Mitch was just walking out the door to the set, and he said that Bill once called him from Russia.
AVC: Sorry, not to dwell on this, but you said that Bill Murray “or one of his idiot brothers” will call. Which brothers are we talking about?
KL: All of them! Joel has called; Brian Doyle has called. They will all call! Any and all of them!
AVC: This was already an awesome story, but now it’s even better.
KL: I know, right? I dread it. If I know it’s coming on—and I can tell when it’s coming on, because it blows up on Twitter when it is—I’m just like, “Oh, my God…” And God help me when AMC’s doing their Road House marathon, because I know the phone is just going to keep ringing. It doesn’t matter if it’s 2 or 3 in morning. “Hi, Kelly’s having sex with Patrick Swayze right now…”
The May 27 birthday team would like a word with you.
Then have each team play the other 11 teams 14 times for a traditional 154-game setup...
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