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1 2 >Wow, I've never heard that knock on Walker - that he didn't care enough? His injuries do hurt his case quite a bit though.
Coke to RR
TR Sullivan, another reasonable guy, also included Morris. Ignoring everything else (opening day starts, Game 7), I think there's the feeling that there must have been a HoF-caliber starter who debuted between 1970 and 1984, and Morris, right now, is the only eligible guy. If Stieb were on the ballot instead, I think he'd get decent support.
The injuries are all that stood between him and the HOF though. He missed well over 500 games, only had one season of 150, and only 4 with more than 138. Other than his cup o' coffee first season (56 PA) the lowest OPS+ he ever had was 110. An HOF-calibre hitter who threw in excellent defense and baserunning to boot.
Then condemning a player for not caring enough when you don't care enough to proof read your own illiterate excrement.
If he's a total idiot, why do you read him every day?
He was on an earlier ballot, and got virtually no support. 176 wins and no Cy Youngs will do that to a pitcher. As good as he was, there's just not enough bulk there for most voters, as that back injury caused by that collision at 1B (which led to changing his motion, which led to tendonitis) robbed him of the decline phase of his career.
To realize how much of a total idiot he is.
Kind of like watching The Dukes of Hazzard just to see how corny it was, or Three's Company to see what the misunderstanding would be.
I mean, with The Dukes of Hazzard, you knew Boss Hogg was going to scheme with some criminals who then were going to double cross him leaving the Duke Boys to bail the town out by driving really fast in a red car with a racist symbol on its roof -- you just didn't know which actors would play the criminals.
I certainly wouldn't call him an idiot, far from it in fact. I've found his stuff well worth reading during the 14 years I've been in CO.
That certainly didn't help - an ERA+ of 135 through his age 27 season in 1654 innings, but only a 95-80 record.
I will always and gladly trade a Morris vote for a Trammell + Raines vote
I instinctively do not trust writers who would make such an accusation against a ballplayer. Makes me think of Eric Davis and the crap some writers said about him. The same guy who once crashed into a wall and ended up in a hospital with a lacerated kidney. And who, when undergoing chemotherapy, showed up to the ballpark in Baltimore and had one of his best seasons.
There might be some cases of lazy ballplayers who don't show up when they should. But when I read things like this, my default assumption is that the player was hurt and the writer is an a$$.
Also Perry I never had the impression he looked at any stats other than BA, HR and RBI.
I again cite them, as I often do, because they provide an easy historical and contemporaneous record to consult as to what people might have been thinking at the time.
There were two comments which came close to addressing his will to play in some form. I'm not making any judgment here, just presenting info. Take it for what its worth:
2000:
2001:
Here's the thing, most voters know just enough about park effects to know that Larry Walker should not really rank as a hitter somewhere between Stan Musial and Mell Ott (as raw OPS suggests). But they don't know how to quantify it and refuse to accept that any sabermetric site could possibly shed any light on the issue. So if they rate him around Chipper Jones or Reggie Jackson (as OPS+ suggests), it's just by dumb luck. They might just as easily write off all his offensive contributions as just another Bichette or Castilla.
Wow, really? Must have missed that one. Sounds like he may have been a victim of a rogue autocomplete.
You obviously read him more closely than I do, you've compiled quite a dossier there. Maybe my bar for beat writers is just too low. Or maybe Renck only looks relatively good in the context of goofballs like Jim Armstrong and Mark Kiszla.
That was the struggle BP noted in their 1998 comment:
The General Lee was orange.
And of course, the best way for players to recover quicker from injuries to be "gamers" is to take steroids, which the writers don't like either!
And a Sports Illustrated profile in 2001:
If he'd put up the same overall numbers with a more traditional Colorado home/road split he'd have been precisely as valuable but wouldn't have won the MVP (because as you say, in general the voters have never really known what to do about Colorado stats)
If that Santayana / Santana conflation is really true, that's a pretty high level of multiple stupidity. I can understand wanting to read him just to see what he'll come up with next.
You know, the Denver Post laid off all its copy editors a while back. People make mistakes, especially when there's no one double-checking what they write. Sometimes people as smart as AROM misspell "Mel Ott"; it doesn't make them dumb.
....
The criticism of Walker's 'desire' seems very reminiscent of what folks wrote about other great players on bad teams. Someone like Rod Carew would constantly hear that he would rather duck a tough lefty and protect his own numbers than be a team player. Alex Rodriguez or Barry Bonds can't have an off playoff without it being said that they are chokers without adequate testicular fortitude. Ted Williams was probably the king of this kind of reporting. If you are a great player on a club that doesn't win, it must be some shortcoming in your character.
For example, the spelling mistakes? That doesn't tell me ANYTHING about a person's intelligence, provided they're also writing coherent, grammatically sound sentences. Proust couldn't spell. The vast majority of us rely on spell-check. (I'm an exception, and I say it not as a boast but as an admission; it gets me into trouble because, while I never make spelling errors, I do commit typos on a regular basis.) I cringe when people conflate homonyms like "bear" and "bare" or -- and this one really frosts my toast -- "lose" and "loose" (WHY? HOW IS IT THAT THESE TWO ARE ALWAYS CONFUSED??), but I realize it's not a conclusive judgment on their intellect.
As for George Santayana/Carlos Santana...it doesn't smell right to me. Again, an editor would/should have caught that. And even if not, the conflation of two similar-sounding names? Particularly when George Santayana isn't exactly popularly known for anything but that one quote? Meh, I'm probably one of the biggest academic snoots on Primer, but this isn't crucifixion-level stuff, IMO.
EDIT:Ah, well that answers my first question.
Baby.
And Mike Crudale.
Put me as a ditto to AROM, adding JR Richard, JD Drew and George Hendrick to the list (off the top of my head).
Yes, Walker missed time ... and played great when he played. In the end, he ended up with 8030 PA. That's about 400 more than McGwire and about 600 less than Edgar -- not a big deal. That Walker's were spread out over parts of 17 seasons vs 16 for Mac and 18 for Edgar seems completely immaterial as well. All three of them are short career HoF candidates.
Anyway, I will never understand how anybody can vote Edgar over Walker. Edgar was the better hitter but Walker was an excellent defender (for a RF) and a good baserunner. Edgar was also fragile, especially early in his career but also often managing to miss 15-20 games a year even as a DH (only a bit of that was inter-league). The oWAR gap for Edgar is just 3.5 wins and of course he has that extra season's worth of PAs. It's hardly a stretch to think that Walker made up more than 3.5 wins on defense.
EDIT: I should add the WAA which is really the most telling ... it's 48 for Walker to 38 for Edgar. I'll grant you I'm not sure what's going on. Edgar's 8600 PA somehow translate to 68 more replacement runs than Walker's 8000 PA. WAR seems to be assuming that the AL was the superior league throughout their entire careers. For example, Edgar gets credit for 22 Rrep for 678 PA in 1997 while Walker gets credit for only 18 Rrep for 664 PA in 1997. Any comment Chone?
EDIT2: If it is league differences, I'd prefer a separate WAR column for "Rlg" or something. League quality differences and the HoF is not an easy topic.
Hurt, but in a different way, I am under the impression that Galarraga never made a second ballot because of Coors. I was having an email discussion with Heyman, when he let it slip that he, and he knew some others, who thought that Galarraga was too dependent on the field. Of course, this was in the middle of a discussion on how Fenway propped up Rice's numbers. Somehow Heyman understood what Coors did for Galarraga but not what Fenway did for Rice.
I think that's part of the point. For a long time writers didn't understand park effects. Then when Coors presented a stark example of the issue to them, they proved they still didn't understand park effects by simply separating Coors from every other park instead of realizing that every other park needs to be adjusted as well using similar methodology. So they over-compensated for Coors by concluding that the presence of Coors made every performance that looked great simply a mirage. Thus, there was no way, in their minds, to actually put up a great performance in Coors. But Walker showed what a great hitter truly could do in the park.
Not the writers who voted for the 1995 or 1997 NL MVP.
I thought the general consensus was that a team's bullpen is likely most responsible for performance in one-run games, to the extent it is more than fluke; I hadn't heard this baserunning theory before. Anyone? Here's the BP comment:
Yesterday he quoted the “philosopher” Carlos Santana as saying that “faith is believing things you cannot see”; presumably meaning the philospher George Santayana, who actually did say something like that.
AL was superior for their entire careers. I based those numbers not on head to head interleague records (which would only be available for late 90's on) but by the performance of players who played in both leagues.
a) there should be a separate league quality adjustment factor rather than putting it into Rrep
and/or
b) league differences should be captured in WAA somehow
Basically, by WAR, in any season in which both Walker and Martinez produced (hypothetically) 52 runs above replacement (which is not league-specific) in 650 PA, Walker gets credit for 34 RAA above an 18 RAR league average while Edgar gets credit for only 30 RAA above a 22 RAR league average. They both end up generating the same total WAR (assuming the same run-win conversion) but Walker looks much better by WAA when it seems to me he shouldn't and Edgar looks like he has a lot more playing time when in fact he doesn't.
I guess it's an "or" ...
Edgar: 30 RAA (vs. AL avg) + 2 Rlg + 20 Rrep = 52 RAR
Walker: 34 RAA (vs. NL avg) - 2 Rlg + 20 Rrep = 52 RAR
or, more simply:
Edgar: 32 RAA (vs. ML avg) + 20 Rrep = 52 RAR
Walker: 32 RAA (vs. ML avg) + 20 Rrep = 52 RAR
The latter seems simpler to me. Putting league differences into Rrep (the quantity measure) is just taking them out of RAA (the quality measure) when you're trying to reflect the quality difference between the leagues.
Obviously any of the three can be interpreted correctly but I think I find "Edgar was worse relative to his league but his playing time was worth more" to be the worst of the three. The interpretation of my first alternative is "Edgar was worse relative to league but he was in the tougher league and they had equal playing time" ... more descriptive but WAA still differs.* The interpretation of the third is the delightfully simple "these guys were equally good".
It occurs to me that it might be necessary to always show Rlg to the first decimal, otherwise it's all 0s, 1s, 2s (and neg), which would be mildly annoying or confusing. Also, it wasn't clear, but Rlg is a mix of league differences and playing time -- i.e. a half-season would get Edgar 1 Rlg and 10 Rrep. So I can see some appeal to putting Rlg into Rrep for that reason.
* I guess there is the issue of whether these are "real" wins we're estimating or theoretical wins. Two equal players, the one in the tougher league produces fewer wins for his team. But teams in the AL win as many games in a season as teams in the NL (prior to interleague). To restore the equality, you're saying (give or take) that a replacement level team in the AL would win 49 games while in the NL they would win 55 games. Seems a convoluted way to me. Anyway the "these quys were equally good" approach does lose that equal guys in unequal leagues will produce a different number of wins. So I'll propose Rlg as the compromise.
So, in a sense, WAA is capturing "real" wins (equal player in the worse league means Walker's team should win more games than Edgar's, all else equal) while WAR is capturing theoretical wins (wins over a replacement level player in an historically neutral context). I think we clearly don't want to shift WAR to "real" wins as that would only confuse matters more. The "simple" alternative is essentially shifting WAA to theoretical wins as well. At this point, the three component model is becoming a bit of a Frankenstein I must say -- real wins, a real to theoretical adjustment and theoretical wins.
In any case, if you can't hire editors you should expect your writers to edit themselves and most of his howlers would be obvious on one rereading "When Dexter Fowler gets up a head of steam; he glides around the bases, chewing up ground which hasn't been seen since the days of Larry Walker".
Unfortunately when he should be self-editing he is tweeting or twittering or some such nonsense. This is what I meant by American Journalism going down the crapper. One day I expect to open a newspaper and read computer abbreviations.
I also think players who seem miss large chunks of time every year - for different injuries - are susceptible to the criticism that are dogging it, or taking time off for injuries other guys play through.
Put those together, and I can see why a sportswriter could decide he "doesn't care enough." Unfair, but I get it.
Another thing I remember being said about Walker. I am pretty certain it was Bill James, but could have been Baseball Prospectus, it was in a player comment. Would have been around the time of when he moved to Montreal to Colorado. That he couldn't remember someone who had so many different component skills as Walker, but displayed them in different years. By 97, he was a dominant all around player. But in 90-91, he was a solid player with a gun for an arm. In 93, he was a very successful base stealer and a gold glover. In 94, he hit 44 doubles. In 95, he hit 36 homers, good for second in the league.
This is a common misperception about Canadians.
Manny and Cano are two modern-day players that come to mind.
On the opposite end of the spectrum, a redass like Kevin Youkilis gets extra credit from people for no good reason.
Ordinarily, I'd agree with you, but Renck did make a specific reference to something that appears to be Walker not caring enough, him taking a week off to prepare for Lasik surgery. If that's true, it's pretty lame. And we have another such instance mentioned in this thread, with Walker missing time after a friend died in a motorcycle accident. (I can see missing a game for the funeral, but this sounds like it was more than that.)
Presuming all that is true (and I have no reason to doubt it), I think it's fair to say that Walker missed games through his own volition that other players wouldn't have.
He's the main beat writer, and seems to put a lot of work into it.
But with the double duty these guys now need to pull, he seems like the lead analyst at the paper, too. To me, that's the stuff not worth spending time on. He remains convinced Bichette got jobbed in the 1995 MVP vote.
His stuff on Walker is concerning given his strengths as the beat reporter. OTOH, he seems to toe the team's line on character issues way too much. Not that I think he's toeing a party line on Walker, but I don't trust him as a judge of character or clubhouse issues.
Edit: and good points in #49. I wasn't in town for Walker's career, but it is disappointing to hear these things about him.
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