Welcome back, JM Catellier…and his “own unique statistical formula”!
Read More...The average 20th century Hall of Fame starting pitcher has 258.3 career wins. That number is dragged down by Sandy Koufax’ 165 victories, but he can’t be omitted from this exercise as I consider him the best starting pitcher to ever throw a baseball.
Former Boston Red Sox ace Pedro Martinez retired following the 2009 season with just 219 wins and only two 20-win seasons. Is it possible that he’s a first ballot Hall of ...
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1. Benji posted on January 13, 2013 at 07:13 AM # hit 0 | hit 0Has there BEEN a historic standard of noble conduct? If so I missed it.
I'm not sure how much we'll learn from Pettitte's BBWAA support, since his HOF case is marginal on the merits before one reaches the PED question.
Apparently, having a standard and upholding a standard are not the same thing.
I'm kind of confused here. Does Fay Vincent think that there's no actual proof that men walked on the moon, or that astronomers have just taken their best guess at the distance (which was first estimated with remarkable accuracy in 270 BC)? We have proof of these things, which is why they are considered facts in the first place.
Now, Fay Vincent is a moron and this article is awful, but this is a little unfair, I think.
I don't think Fay Vincent could produce the proof for either of those facts. His claim is not that there isn't any, just that he doesn't have access to them. Similarly, I am confident he thinks there /is/ proof of Clemens and Bonds using, he just believes no one has found it yet.
Fair enough, at least if he's referring to the ability to prove these things directly himself. But that's not typically the standard for something being accepted as fact; someone has proved the distance from the Earth to the moon, and now the proof is available to anyone with access to Google. Whereas with Clemens, there may be conclusive proof that he used steroids, but if so, it hasn't been found yet.
1. I almost hope the separate wing/"let's write it on the plaque" people get their way just because of what a Pyrrhic victory it would be. Okay, on Bonds, Palmeiro, Manny, A-Rod, and Pettitte's plaques, you can put something concrete -- convicted of perjury (although that itself is a story...), failed a drug test, confessed (see #2 on this last point). For everyone else, the optics of a public display detailing how these people were judged based on anecdotal evidence would be horrible. I don't think history would view it very kindly at all.
2. "if someone gets in under false pretenses, there is a corrective mechanic in place" - I love this idea that if we keep waiting, we're going to find out more about what people did 20+ years ago. The only way I could see that happening would be via confessions. And after what's happened to Mark McGwire, why would anyone ever confess? (And then this plan takes away the one time someone might currently confess, i.e. after they're already in.)
3. Let's stipulate that PED use = lack of character. If lack of character means you're not a good candidate, that means that the character clause is the most important clause of the HOF definition. If the character clause is the most important clause of the HOF definition, then why can't you get elected for great character? Where's the Jim Abbott campaign? One would think this argument would have been settled years ago when Kenesaw Mountain Landis campaigned for "Harvard" Eddie Grant (who died in World War I) and the guy topped out at 1.3%, but apparenty not.
Wrong George: the one you wanted was George S. Kaufman.
As I said in the other thread, I think it's not perceived as just "lack of character", but as "lack of sportsmanship" (i.e. trying to get an unfair advantage on the field). And that's a little harder to justify.
-- MWE
Are you going to move players who took greenies?
Which right now would be nearly all of them. Brilliant stuff.
Fish in a barrel here, but what in the past weeks has suggested that the current electorate are interested enough to be confused by evidence or fair process?
2) The Hall should make clear the voters are not obliged to reconcile their votes with the historic standard of noble conduct.
Primey!
Who says the voters have to be fair and not use evidence that might not stand the judicial standards?
The man just argued in favor of "unfairness" -- his word choice, not mine. I mean feel free to draw a line between "fair" and "beyond a reasonable doubt" but of course the voters have to be fair.
The task of the voters is to select for honor those players they believe meet a very high standard for on- and off-field conduct.
Idelson recently clarified that it does not refer to off-field conduct (as we'd normally understand it). Moreover it is clear that a high standard of conduct has never been required and the voting guidelines do not offer any reason to think a high standard of conduct is a necessary condition of election.
3) I would have the present members of the Hall vote along with the writers who presently do the electing.
Nobody would ever be elected again -- see Joe Morgan and his Super Friends VC era.
That way the voting pool would include those who believe most in the honor component and not be confused by abstruse arguments over evidence and fair process.
So HoF inductees have even less responsibility to be fair than the writers.
And the voters make mistakes of omission and commission. Think of the exclusion of Marvin Miller.
Dear Fay, the voters aren't responsible for Marvin Miller. People like Miller and your own fine self and your dear friend Bart Giamatti are the responsibility of various special committees the HoF puts together.
FINE
all the maroons on their assinine high horses of pretending that steroid use is TEH EVULLLL because it made males get bigger muscles!!!!! get their way, isn't that special.
a bunch of freddie lindstrom crap plaques and no great players from 1990 on except rickey henderson. my whole generation excluded - and just putting in the borderline guys like larkin and dawson who of course, NEVAH touched no NOTHIN
i really REALLY wish that someone would do some investigating, prove that one of the living hall of famers did roids and put an end to this stupid shtt
i don't want to go to cooperstown and bagwell and biggio aren't in it because of a vendetta started by jeff freaking pearlman
This should be popular with the players' families and children. Maybe they could put it out by the restrooms at the lake.
I think they could come up with other ways to expand the voting bloc. I think the large voting bloc is what separates the baseball HOF in quality from football and basketball, though football would always be tough because of the sheer amount of players. If I ran the football elections I would do what they do for the FE and decide after the fact what the necessary percentage would be on a finalist ballot. What if another organization, say SABR, adopted a ten year requirement like the BBWAA and then held their own elections and tried to get them certified by the HOF when the voting body became comparable in size to the BBWAA voting body? Thus it would be like having two elections, perhaps with very slightly different ballots each year or maybe SABR could have old time player votes also, and then a player would have to get 75% and 5% on one of the two to be elected or retained.
In another thread, I also had another idea, that retired players who had fallen off the ballot could vote if they gave up the chance at election during their lifetime. Perhaps many players would be delusional and not want to do that, and many players would vote for their buddies but what voters would not be biased? I mean, why shouldn't they let a guy like Aaron Sele vote on who should be in the HOF, when he competed against them and was in tune to the game on a daily basis? And while retired players may not be plugged in, you know they would respect the HOF and take their duties very seriously.
I don't really see the point of a steroids wing of the HOF. What do they mean by wing anyway?
After Vincent was forced out the Neverending Reign of Bud began. Do you think baseball would have been better or worse off if Vincent had been allowed to remain commissioner and Selig never ended up with the post?
From whose perspective?
Owners: Bud, no doubt
Players: Bud -- maybe you could cherry pick some things that Vincent would have done better, but given the explosive growth in salaries and no real major issues otherwise, the players aren't risking that by going with an unknown.
Fans: Tougher to answer. The strike alone is a pretty bad mark, plus the PED mess. Generally I'd lean towards Bud, given the health of the game's finances, positive labor relations since (also, the other leagues have also had work stoppages during his tenure, though his was the worst), and expanding coverage/accessibility.
Does Vincent understand what an "honor" is?
Fortunately, Vincent has a hilarious solution to this:
You can't make it up.
Vincent was a completely ineffective commissioner and never would have been able to corral the owners into a consensus. Bud has many (many, many, many) faults but he gets stuff done. Sometimes even the wrong direction is better than spinning around in circles.
Baseball commissioner is a strange job but, generally speaking, you get let go because you don't have enough political capital to hold onto the job*; and if you don't have enough political capital to hold onto the job, you don't have enough to be a good commish.
*Or you're just the owners' toady but I think you'd have a hard time arguing that about Selig, especially when it comes to big franchises. He may be Reinsdorf's ***** though -- although that may be one of those complicated "alternative" relationships.
I guess he was some sort of SEC lawyer back in the day, which makes perfect sense. Many of these types write and argue complete bull#### all day long and then act like it's actually true. That was how just about everything he said came across. Utterly incomprehensible nonsense passed off as truth.
Unless I think the guy is gonna get voted off due to 5% or it's their last year, voting no if you're unsure absolutely seems right. Enshrinement is (in practice) forever.
Since the inductions are televised live, the best we can hope for is a lot of "forget you"s and "yippee-ki-yay, Mister Falcon"s.
I agree with this but ... what more information can realistically come to light at this point? 15 years since the HR chase, 10 years since BALCO, Congressional hearings (the big circus and Clemens v McNamee), the Mitchell Report, the Clemens and Bonds trials. Those two trials, with the weight of Federal prosecutors behind them, turned up no new evidence -- at least none that was actually useful to the prosecution. OK, I guess that woman testifying that she once saw Bonds get an injection of something.
We've had a handful of player confessions -- and not one of those players seems to have been "forgiven". Without forgiveness and with a rapidly declining (maybe now nonexistent) shock value of confession, where's the incentive for any player to come forward?
And of course nobody can prove they didn't use. So the only evidence that can possibly come forward at this point (other than a confession) is somebody saying "I know X did steroids" which will be nothing more than unsubstantiated hearsay at this point.
Let's take Sosa. Again, it's been 15 years since he became super-famous. There's the NYT report based on anonymous sources "familiar with the list" who, several months after the list was obtained and several months after AROD's name had been revealed, "confirmed" that Sosa was on the list although they couldn't remember what he had tested positive for. But beyond that? No personal trainer, no ex-wife, no spurned mistress, no ex-teammate, no busted steroid dealer has even taken a shot at him to my knowledge. I think Canseco brings him up in the book but I believe even that is just in the "c'mon, look at him" category. Mark Grace made news for a day saying Sosa took steroids only to make it clear the next day that his evidence was "c'mon, look at him".
So what's the point of waiting? If you aren't sure whether Sosa (or Bagwell or Biggio or Piazza or ...) took steroids now, you're not going to be any more certain 5 years from now.
All the "waiters" are really doing is procrastinating at best and hiding behind "waiting" rather than admit they have no evidence at worst.
If there are any genuine "waiters" out there, unfortunately this is a rare time when there is some harm in waiting because the ballot is getting clogged and reasonable to downright worthy candidates are going to get screwed. There's no obvious solution to that other than coming to your senses and electing Larry Walker ASAP. :-)
I don't think it's unfair, Fay Vincent is an insufferable jack ass, Seligula has been a vastly superior commish despite being basically evil.
I don't think he understands any of these worse/concepts:
Fair
Just
Honor
Proof
Noble
Noble conduct
wise
How does this preclude you having resentment over players you feel "cheated" to break cherished records? After all, this fits Mike Lupica: He wrote a book following the 1998 home run chase entitled "The Summer of ’98: When Homers Flew, Records Fell, and Baseball Reclaimed America." In the book he wrote glowingly about how the home run chase enabled him to bond with his son. Later he was shocked to learn that -- gasp! -- people might have been on drugs when they hit the home runs. And so he feels that they cheated to break records. One need not have grown up a fan of Maris in the '60s to feel that way. And yet one still is so blinded by the resentment of the 90s players for breaking records that one forms illogical and unsustainable conclusions about steroids and amps, etc.
I hope Bonds continues to deny steroids, and instead announces to the world that he is gay.
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