Welcome back, JM Catellier…and his “own unique statistical formula”!
Read More...The average 20th century Hall of Fame starting pitcher has 258.3 career wins. That number is dragged down by Sandy Koufax’ 165 victories, but he can’t be omitted from this exercise as I consider him the best starting pitcher to ever throw a baseball.
Former Boston Red Sox ace Pedro Martinez retired following the 2009 season with just 219 wins and only two 20-win seasons. Is it possible that he’s a first ballot Hall of ...
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1. The elusive Robert Denby posted on December 01, 2012 at 08:08 PM # hit 0 | hit 0Well, there you go.
I saw him pitch. I never thought he was a Hall of Famer. Of course I didn't think Bert Blyleven and Don Sutton were Hall of Famers either during their careers. Wrong on those guys, still confident I was right on Morris.
and if jack morris is a hall of fame quality player then the sun rises in the west, salt tastes sweet and keith richards does not look like death warmed over
are you referring to madden or keith richards?
Hey Bill, how does it feel to win a Spink Award (getting only 50% of the votes - 226 out of 252) and share the plaque with a serial child molestor?
Don't stop him, he's on a roll...
I hope someday to have seen as many games as Harveys. I saw Morris pitch too--quite a bit--and I'm only 41... Does Madden think everyone against Morris is 25 and living in their parents' basement? Or is it too scary for him to consider grown men might, you know, disagree with him and think he's being a bit of a clown here?
Does this include the 78% of voters who did not list Morris on their ballots in 2000? Does it include the 33% who did not list him last year?
The "anybody who saw him knows he was/was not an HoFer" argument can only possibly work for guys elected on the first ballot (say Brock) or as an argument against a guy who was never voted in (take your pick). To say that a guy who's going to take at least 14 ballots to be elected and was listed by fewer than 1/4 of the voters in his first year -- when surely everybody voting except for the political cartoonists had seen him pitch -- was a "by sight" HoFer is patently absurd.
This is the evidence that some of these voters just have their panties in a wad over "the new wave". As Madden notes, us obnoxious jerks don't have a vote. The people he should be pissed at are his BBWAA compatriots who haven't and aren't voting for Morris. And given Morris's total has risen as older farts have died or given up the vote while younger voters join the ranks, his biggest target should probably be the traditionalists -- y'know, the ones who think that a 3.90 ERA (it's a fancy new stat!) and 248 wins weren't all that impressive after getting to vote for 300 game winner after 300 game winner.
Like the 34 percent of the BBWAA's Hall of Fame voters, all of whom have presumably seen Jack Morris pitch yet have resisted his charms for 13 straight years. It's not like there was a serious need for an anti-Jack campaign during the vast majority of time Mr. Morris has spent on the ballot.
I don't subscribe to the "you didn't think he was a Hall of Famer then, so why now?" arguments that get tossed around, but this is something else. If all the people who watched Jack pitched knew they were watching a Hall of Famer, it wouldn't have taken him so goddamned long to just crack 50 percent of the vote.
On the other hand, if I were Madden, I think I'd take Harvey up on that bet. He may not be good at understanding what he's watching, but I'd wager ol' Bill has seen himself a shitton of baseball games in his 170 years on the planet.
Edit: Coke to Walt.
Well. That was worth nothing.
Madden's right about one thing. The idea that Morris was 'a true No. 1 ace' is most definitely a 'notion'.
That actually is impressive, but it's one of those cherry-picked stats that don't really mean all that much, and could easily have all kinds of reasons behind it that undermine its apparent value: lousy bullpens, the next three hundred guys on the list were within 1/3 of an inning of Morris, he wasn't that good but wasn't much less effective in the eighth than he was in the first (a sort of chronic mediocrity), and so on.
Er...
The fact that if you increase it to 41 years he'll drop a couple of slots, the fact that starter inning pitched have been dropping throughout the period and his career was at the start of it, so if his career started 20 years later, this wouldn't be true... there's lots of reasons why that's a pretty meaningless point of trivia.
And went 8-6. Which is OK.
I too saw Morris pitch in person, and saw him a lot on TV. And he was good! He was good, and Dave Stewart was good, and Jimmy Key was good, and Dave Stieb; and Frank Viola; Charlie Hough was very good; Mike Witt was good, Mark Langston was terrific for a while. Chuck Finley, Jack McDowell, Kevin Appier. They were all true ace AL pitchers of Morris's era. If there are by definition 14 #1 pitchers in a league (sometimes a given club will have a couple of them, as with Key and Stieb, or Morris with Dan Petry for a few years), then Morris was definitely in the group for quite a while. I'd just suggest that the Hall of Fame requires more than that.
It's kind of a bizarre way of framing it. It sounds (and is) more impressive if you note that Jack has thrown 37 more complete games than any pitcher who debuted in the last 40 years* (thus, avoiding Blyleven, but also including pitchers who debuted as much as five years before Jack's career started, and seven years before he recorded his second career GC).
* You can actually go back one more year, but 41 years sounds more obviously selectively endpointy than 40.
Shows what he knows. The Character Clause wasn't codified officially until 1944.
On Morris ... there should be no debate.
But not in the way he thinks. For starters, since this goofball is pushing hard for Jack Morris -- and decrying everyone who he thinks used PEDs -- I'd like to know how he's certain Morris never used PEDs himself.
I was thinking about this last night. This is a stupid argument but 40 years ago actually makes a bit more sense if you phrase it as "...in the Designated Hitter era." The argument doesn't get a lot better but 1973 is actually a pretty reasonable cutoff point. I don't think that's what Madden was doing though in fairness to him I also don't think he was intentionally disingenuous in leaving out 1972, he just took the lazy "number ending in a 0" way of doing "research."
On the subject of Madden's "research" did he credit Elias or Baseball Reference for that information? I'm pretty sure he didn't comb through the box scores himself.
Sorry - Madden received 226 votes from the 452 ballots
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