Welcome back, JM Catellier…and his “own unique statistical formula”!
Read More...The average 20th century Hall of Fame starting pitcher has 258.3 career wins. That number is dragged down by Sandy Koufax’ 165 victories, but he can’t be omitted from this exercise as I consider him the best starting pitcher to ever throw a baseball.
Former Boston Red Sox ace Pedro Martinez retired following the 2009 season with just 219 wins and only two 20-win seasons. Is it possible that he’s a first ballot Hall of ...
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1 2 >This guy cashed a check after turning this article in. There is no justice.
Omar may deserve to make the Hall, but not for the reasons given.
Agree.
But I also can't come up with a good reason why a Hall of Fame that includes Jim Rice and Jack Morris shouldn't include Jerry Koosman, too.
DB
Nobody feared Omar, and he wasn't much of a winner in the postseason, either.
Well, Rice won an MVP. And Vizquel did stupid stuff like putting in a strong effort to field grounders even when his team was ahead by 6 runs rather than fielding to the score.
easily surpassing "The Wizard," who has 12.
Ozzie has 13.
People feared him so much that Davey Johnson choked away an ALCS on Omar's missed suicide squeeze.
Jack Morris does not sleep. He waits.
All three played on two pennant winners apiece, but the salient difference is that Maranville and Aparicio were often considered crucial to their teams' success. "Award Shares" are a blunt instrument, but Aparicio has 1.24 and Maranville 2.13. Vizquel has 0.01, thanks to what looks like one voter putting him way down one ballot in one year.
Who knows if Aparicio and Maranville really were that important to winning. Voters may well have overrated them. But it's hard to claim that voters underrated Vizquel. When his teams went to the Series, they featured Belle, Lofton, Hershiser, Ramirez, Thome, and a cast of thousands. He was always about the fifth-biggest star at best, on teams that will end up having one prime HOFer (Thome).
How about "three wrongs don't make two rights"?
Vizquel fielded to the score
1) You want to compare fielding percentages without making any time adjustments, even though anyone can see that F% has risen steadily over time?
2) You want to compare two shortstop defenses using only F% as your criteria, with a casual mention of Gold Gloves, as if that's been reliable at shortstop recently?
3) In a desperate effort to find some offensive value in Vizquel, you cite only stolen bases?
4) You play the steroid card, since Omar has never been caught, even though his very long career is one of the big symptoms that steroid puritans use as a weapon.
On top of all that, I checked Win Shares (the book), which gives defensive grades to players. Since Win Shares is an old book, it only contains the first several years of Omar's career - the first several, which means, almost certainly, the best several. Defense is, after all, a young man's game. Omar's grade as a young shortstop was B-. That's a terrible grade for an early career for a glove specialist. It's close to Ernie Banks and Arky Vaughn, who were not glove specialists, but were apparently a bit better than Omar anyway, and, of course, outhit him by tons. People like Ozzie Smith, Honus Wagner, Marty Marion, and Rabbit Maranville have grades, for their entire careers, of A or A+. Omar Vizquel has an ordinary ability at shortstop, but not much more.
In short, Omar Vizquel has no business in the Hall, much less on the first ballot. And the author of this article should not be allowed to write about baseball any more. He apparently knows approximately nothing. - Brock Hanke
In which category is Barry Bonds? Using dumb arguments is one thing. Getting simple facts wrong is another.
His argument (or lack thereof) is similar to Johnny Damon's.
Mike Trout
The next year they will inaugurate Jesse Barfield for best outfield arm and Glenn Hubbard for best job of setting up as the cutoff man and Phil Nevin for best job fielding bunts.
Poor Keith can't even get in that way.
Narratively speaking, Curt Flood is usually on the short list. Tris Speaker also has a pretty sterling reputation.
And Mariano Rivera for being the best 1-inning relief-pitcher
*ducks* :)
So, I'd say that it really does come down to Speaker and Mays, unless your system sees so much value in Flood's existing career that no reasonable 5-year decline would drag him down to earth. I have no way of comparing Speaker, in the dead ball era, to Mays, in the 50s and 60s, that generates any real separation between the two. Besides, there is that large factor of time period. Speaker was famous for playing very shallow and running things down that went over his head. I don't know that I'd want to try that in any of those 1960s giant Astroturf parks, like Busch Stadium and Three Rivers, where there is a lot of territory in back of a shallow CF. So, if you made me vote for just one, I'd probably pick Willie, unless you're talking peaks and primes only, in which case Flood is probably the man, depending on just how many Jones years you want to consider in your definition of "prime" and "peak." I have no adequate way to deal with 19th-century players or Negro Leaguers. The early game had a very high rate of change in ballparks, rules and equipment, so even trying to figure out who was the best over a three-year period is very hard. One guy is better under one set of rules; another guy is better two years later, because the rules changed or there were better gloves or something. I also have found no reputation consensus among 19-century observers. You would think that if the period had produced a Speaker or Mays, he have a giant rep. The best rep is probably for Jimmy McAleer (sp?). Negro leaguers have no statistical record that has enough detail to be reliable for CF defense, and reputation is split between at least Oscar Charleston and Cool Papa Bell.
That's the best I can do. - Brock
BTW, after I wrote the above post, I did a quick check for 1800s CFs, because McAleer was from the 1890s, and there might be contenders from earlier. There are really, only two earlier candidates who combine A+ math grades and first-rate reputations. One is George Gore, the other is Curt Welch (of the $10,000 slide). If you're trying, for some reason, to figure out gloves in the 19th century, those two and McAleer are your prime suspects. Paul Hines might come up, too. He has a lower math grade (A-), but he also played longer than Gore and Welch, so there's more decline phase in there. Hines did have a top glove rep. One of those three is almost certainly the best CF before McAleer. - Brock
Yeah, well, I've never made a SINGLE error in the bigs. Maybe I should be the first-balloter.
The best CF I ever saw is a guy I still see every time I go to the Ballpark, Rangers first-base coach Gary Pettis. He had miraculous range. I don't think his arm was truly superior, though, and while we mostly marvel at center fielders for their range, a good arm is part of the package. Humphreys ranks Pettis fifth all-time, behind Jones, Mays, Speaker, and Blair.
Staff that gave up a lot of fly balls, and Ashburn taking lots of discretionary chances, would be the best guess. It doesn't seem likely that there could be other explanations. Ashburn was fast, and a very good fielder, but as you say, nobody's that much faster and better than Willie Mays. James addresses the question in the Win Shares book in more detail as part of the "Hamner/Ashburn" dilemma. Granny Hamner, conversely, had a strong fielding reputation at shortstop but made a miserably low number of plays. The baseball was just going elsewhere.
Edit: Though now that I look at Humphreys's Wizardry, it seems that Ashburn probably wasn't a "ball hog" who took chances away from other outfielders. Humphreys puts Ashburn's huge putout totals squarely on the tendency of his pitching staff to yield fly balls. Incidentally, he has Ashburn as #6 all-time, behind Pettis.
When I was a kid I thought Pettis and Devon White were incredible.
I thought Dom was considered a better fielder than Joe? Or was that just delusional Sox fans?
I've only been seriously watching baseball since '98, I think the best long-career CF I've seen in that time is Cameron. Other guys might pick it better but they didn't last or couldn't hit enough to play full-time, like Franklin Gutierrez and Endy Chavez.
I thought the 1950s Phillies staff was not only a flyball staff but low strikeout, giving Ashburn a huge number of opportunities.
That's not just Sox fans. It's probably everybody except Yankee fans.
That's not just Sox fans. It's probably everybody except Yankee fans.
I always heard Dom was viewed as better, but Joe's reputation is much better than the BRef stats give him credit for.
By reputation, you'd expect Joe to be +10-15 rField, and Dom to be +15-20.
Charles Einstein said that as a throwaway line in Willie's Time
It was also a field with a huge CF (447'), so a fleet CF might get extras that way too. I had his baseball card but never saw him play.
He is also the career leader in awesome name
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