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the Royals have had 4 (you'd have to be a pretty big fan to identify 3 of them -- they weren't in KC long).
All three of those guys played for the Padres, who, despite not being a particularly successful franchise, have had 10 HOFers pass through since the Tigers had Kaline in 1974. Only one of them (Gwynn) is automatically identified with the Padres, though perhaps Winfield is too.
How many of those guys who didn't have a decline phase, do that prior to 1990 and more recent medical advancements.... A players decline in 1950 has no bearing on how a likely a player is going to decline in 2014.
I do not believe there is any predictive value from previous health issues,
I'm curious as to how you reconcile this position with your position that health is a skill, too. They seem contradictory to me.
Grich was eligible for last year's Expansion Era vote, but not on the ballot, right? (Whitaker was not eligible.) As opposed to Garvey and Concepcion … of course that's a different set of selectors and voters, but it doesn't look like education has reached them.
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