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Even though Lyons wasn’t broadcasting Game 2 of the NLDS between the Dodgers and Atlanta Braves, fans still couldn’t avoid his absurd commentary.
"In my mind, conventional thinking on this subject goes like this: if the first hitter in the inning scores one run all by himself, it's more likely that his team will score two+ runs that inning than if he does not. Because in that situation, in order to achieve a multiple-run inning, the team has only to score one additional run. Instead of two runs. See how that works?"
"You would think that a leadoff walk would lead to more big innings than a leadoff home run. But we've done the research and it turns out that more big innings have come from leadoff home runs than leadoff walks."
I think avoiding his absurd commentary when he's not broadcasting games is remarkably easy.
Even though Lyons wasn’t broadcasting Game 2 of the NLDS between the Dodgers and Atlanta Braves, fans still couldn’t avoid his absurd commentary
There's a tiny grain of truth here in that many pitchers DO pitch worse with men on base, some strikingly so.
But is that advantage for the next hitter worth giving up the advantage of already having a run in the books versus a base runner who could make an out?
It's pretty easy to test this: look back at every game where a team was facing last licks down by 2 and leads off with either a double or a homer. Which set of teams had the higher win percentage?
You would think that a leadoff walk would lead to more big innings than a leadoff home run.
The mad rantings of crazy man.
If keeping a man on base was better than scoring the run already, I guess every team that gets a sac fly when down by more than 1 run is foolish. They'd be better off keeping the guy at third and keeping the pitching in the stretch, right??
The home run that started this discussion was hit in the 8th inning though, not the 9th.
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