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If you're going to drop and raise guys so dramatically on one year's performance then that's not really trade value because nobody in their right mind bases trade value on a sample that small.
Heyward - as a trade asset last year - had a year of control at $3.6 million which he does not have anymore.
True, my quibble though is that even with that changing, what in the world convinced anyone he was the #10 trade asset in all of MLB last year?
Heyward's "6 WAR" season was built largely on implausible defensive numbers
Because "everyone knows" defensive performance occurs only along a very narrow band of performance unlike every other aspect of mlb performance. That and players are always defensively consistent year to year.
Whether the numbers we have right now are capable of capturing that is another matter, but we should expect defensive performance to be more consistent than offensive.
That's been enough to make Molina a six-win player in each of the past two seasons, with the understanding that he's significantly better than that when factoring in all the other knowns and unknowns. He's owed an average of $14.5 million per year over the next four seasons; if that figure were $25 million per, he'd still be a steal.
I think what this shows is that you don't understand how defensive performance is measured.
EDIT: Actually, that's a bit mean-spirited and unfair. What it means is that you're confusing defensive performance (which is likely consistent) with defensive value (which is not very consistent and what all advanced defensive metrics actually are measuring).
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