We have data for that now.
Brad Ausmus was good after all.
Quantifying a catcher’s ability to steal strikes is one of the great sabermetric advances over the last ten years.
But what I have established here is that the effect of a good receiver extends beyond the pitches that batters let go by. A good framer, by changing the probability of a strike at the edge, causes the opposing hitter to modify his own behavior, causing him to swing at pitches a little bit further from the center of the zone. In addition to harming the batter’s chances directly, ...
I haven’t been able to scrutinize this is detail yet, but this looks very interesting after a quick read.
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