Read More...One of the most formidable tools in a pro baseball pitcher’s arsenal is the consistency of pitching motion when throwing different kinds of pitches. If your delivery looks the same to an opposing batter when throwing a 95-mph fastball, a 80-mph curve, and a 85-mph change-up, well, you’ve really got something there. Texas pitcher Yu Darvish is ripping up the AL this year with a 4-1 record, 1.65 ERA, and 49 strikeouts, which prompted Drew Sheppard to layer five of Darvish’s pitches on top ...
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< 1 22009 Braves : Garret Anderson / Nate McLouth / Jeff Francoeur ( Matt Diaz having a miracle season , his last good season, stopped this from being the disaster it seems on paper ).
Edit: To correct myself, Kotsay wasn't traded until late August, and all of Norton's outfield starts came before then. From then on, it was Anderson in CF, with a mixture of Blanco, Infante, and Brandon Jones (I did not at all remember him getting 27 starts that year) in LF.
Bad times.
George Bell, Devon White, Joe Carter, Shawn Green, Shannon Stewart, Vernon Wells, Alex Rios, Jose Bautista. They've always had at least one guy in the outfield, usually two, who was probably a top 25 OF at the time.
What they lacked in quality suck they more than made up for in quality suck.
The Mariners called up Jay Buhner in May, traded Wilson for the mercurial Darnell Coles in July, and called up Griffey in '89. So things turned around pretty quickly.
The '97 Royals OF Was Bip Roberts (90 OPS+), Tom Goodwin (71), a young Jermaine Dye (69), a young Johnny Damon (88), and Yamil Benitez (88).
Ok, I looked at everyone (last 30 years) who had 3.9 to 4.1 WAR in their age 3 seasons
here's what they averaged by age:
30: 4.0
31: 2.5
32: 2.6
33: 1.9
problems:
sample size- just 19 players- age 32 is thrown off slightly by Brett having a monster year
selection bias: the 19 players on average likely had less than 4.0 "true talent" at age 30.
However they also had Moises Alou, who put up another great season at age 38, and they eventually traded for Randy Winn.
FTFY
Yeah, you probably want players who averaged >4 WAR in their 3-4 prior seasons, but then SSS gets even worse.
The 1985 Pirates were pretty bad. Left-to-right on opening day, you had Doug Froebel (.189/.301/.258) filling in for an injured Steve Kemp (.250/.317/.347 in his last season as a regular), the worst season of Marvell Wynne's not-particularly-distinguished career (.205/.247/.258), and a could-not-possibly-give-less-of-a-#### George Hendrick (.230/.278/.313).
That said, the reserves (rookie Joe Orsulak, Mike Brown, Sixto Lezcano, and Bill Almon) ended up being at least half-decent, so it wasn't a complete and total wash once the starters played their way out of the lineup.
1978 Jays - Bob Bailor (82 OPS+), Rick Bosetti (81), Al Woods (79). Otto Velez was very good off the bench though. That was the same outfield in 1979 with pretty much the same results and Velez being good again off the bench.
How bout them 2011 Mariners? Ichiro (86), Carlos Peguero (76), Franklin Gutierrez (54), with reserves Michael Saunders (23) and Trayvon Robinson (67). Mike Carp (125) also played 27 games in LF and Milton Bradley and Casper Wells were decent in very limited action.
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