Pedroiadolia: The psychological phenomenon of seeing wacko images on dirty uniforms.
Read More...The narratives around the two players, however, could not be different. Pedroia is almost the prototype of the over-achieving “scrappy” player. He is a 5’8” middle infielder who does the little things well. This ignores that he was also a second round draft choice who played baseball at a top baseball school. Cano, on the other hand is bigger, more athletic and does not project scrappiness at all. Throughout ...
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< 1 2Likewise, if next year Pedroia's injuries drag him down to average and Lavarnway/Ross and Middlebrooks collapse, the Sox will probably have a bad lineup.
The Cubs recently re-signed Shawn Camp. He'll be 37. Over the last 3 seasons he has 216 IP with a 115 ERA+, under 110 the last two years. He is probably at best an average reliever (given the standard reliever boost) ... and he's 37. It's hard to imagine a less-inspiring signing.
But over the last 3 seasons, there are only 45 relievers (95% relief appearances) with at least 180 IP. Camp is #34 by ERA+, #5 by IP and #28 by WAR (2.2). Shawn Camp seems both perfectly fungible and one of the better reliable relievers in the game.
Chances are if you have one guy with a track record at least as good as Camp plus one guy who projects better than Camp plus one guy who was better than Camp two years ago but got hurt (or some kid who K's 10/9) then you've got a pretty good offseason bullpen. You've also got a bullpen you should have zero faith in. :-)
One way to leverage the big spending advantage is to make sure you get solid depth. Just to ballpark it if Gomes is truly worth 2/6 does the extra 2 million per year hurt the Sox in anyway? I don't think it does. It's not such a big number that if he's hitting .210 and Hassan is hitting .350 at Pawtucket that they won't make a move and I can't imagine the Sox getting to a #### or get off the pot point with a guy like Hamilton or Anibal and saying "geez, if we could just scrounge up an extra $4 million."
But Johnny Gomes is not a league average regular, and of they think he should be paid like one, I'm concerned about the decision making in the Sox front office. Which, obviously, has been a big problem for a couple years now.
Here's why: a guy on a 1-year deal is worth almost nothing (aside from performance) to a club acquiring him mid-year. But if they get 1 year/2 months of him (and the $ for that remaining year is reasonable), then the acquiring club has some cost certainty--which in an unpredictable FA market with crazy gobs of cash slushing around may be a very big deal to some clubs.
Is Gomes worth $10 million? I don't think so. But if he performs decently/doesn't crater and the FA market goes ape-#### crazy this offseason, suddenly Gomes on a 1 year/$5 million deal won't look so bad, either before the trade deadline or next off-season.
I still wouldn't do the deal, mind you, but I wonder if some of this isn't performance-based, but based instead on making his value as a trade chip worthwhile going forward.
...of course, this crossed my mind too... They could just be making very poor decisions.
[sigh] We'll always have 2004 & 2007, right?
God only know what offensive context that projection is for (the general problem with silly BJ projectsion) but assuming that is his projection IN OAKLAND, that would have been a 115 OPS+ last year. That's darn good for 4th OF/1B/DH.
But Johnny Gomes is not a league average regular, and of they think he should be paid like one,
They're paying him for about 1 WAR. While it's true that league average OF are often had pretty cheap (see Cody Ross's career), we're still talking less money than Jeromy Burnitz made in 2005-6 (that's 8 years ago folks!). So, rest assured that Cherington is no worse than Hendry or Littlefield. :-)
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