Some great stuff in this post. Really, go look at it.
Putting Jacob DeGrom under the microscope.
I need to see Bill’s high school stat line.
Hey Bill, on the Tommy John surgery boom, a couple of questions: 1) I’m pretty sure you’ve answered this in detail before, but is the proliferation mostly the result of Little League and high school kids throwing curveballs long before they should? And/or: 2) Were there a larger number of early-career burnouts before Tommy John? When I was in Little League (early ‘60s), our best pitcher threw a nasty curve. We dominated the league when he pitched, ...
About this http://www.foxsports.com/mlb/just-a-bit-outside/baseball-joe/blog/not-so-fast-matthew-lucroy-032515 …
it makes false claims about or work @robneyer
I don’t know much about Pavlidis. Is he incredibly thin-skinned or something?
Brandon Phillips, the new Jeff Francoeur.
Nothing against Votto, Phillips says, but he’s up there swinging the bat, believing driving in runs is the best way to help your team win games.
Nothing against Phillips, Votto says, but he believes the best way to score runs is simply getting on base, no matter the situation.
And regardless what statistics may say, they’ll never change their ways, believing their method is best.
“I don’t do that MLB Network on-base percentage (stuff),’’ Phillips ...
We’ve all been cognizant of DIPS for ... gosh, it’s been nearly 15 years now. But for whatever reasons, we don’t usually pay nearly as much attention to DIBS. Maybe because there’s not a single baseline for DIBS, as there is for DIPS.
What Jedlovec has done, though, is drill about as deeply into hitters’ performances as possible, and come up with something that’s more useful, more predictive, than even the more sophisticated numbers we usually reference....Read More...
I need to attend the SABR Analytics Conference next year.
Pitch sequencing – or how a pitcher approaches a hitter or multiple hitters by linking different types of pitchers in an intentional order – is believed to be very important, and the QOP system ignores it, considering its dependence on context inconsistent with the model.
Some interesting stuff from David Schoenfield.
Some good stuff from Ben Lindbergh. This is just one tidbit. Read the whole thing.
The AL is a prognosticator’s nightmare. As Phil Birnbaum and Neil Paine have noted, there’s an absolute limit to the accuracy of baseball projections. Even if we were omniscient when it came to team talent levels, we wouldn’t be able to predict luck. And luck has large effects: As Birnbaum wrote, “On average, nine teams per season will be lucky by six wins or more.” So what do we do with a division like ...
NEWSFLASH: Billy Beane and Alex Anthopoulos like to make deals.
I can’t believe I missed one.
This doesn’t paint an optimistic view of Dozier’s future.
I’m really looking forward to this.
Talking about Trout’s “problem” hitting a fastball is like complaining about the ugly feet of a supermodel.
No, this is not the OTP thread.
Pierre and Dunn are the John Adams and Thomas Jefferson of their generation. They rose to prominence around the same time, became the focal points of rival factions, and, in their declining years, saw their differences reconciled. And finally, they exited the stage almost simultaneously, having left us in a far different place philosophically than we were when they arrived.
His team needs a new pitcher.
Sorry, it’s the right adjustment.
“A hitter can take as many swings as he wants,” Butcher said. “Pitchers are only allowed a certain amount of throws per day. So when you start tinkering with the strike zone, I think it’s a longer adjustment process for a pitcher to go through. I think it would be a tough adjustment and the wrong adjustment for the league.”
Lee Panas looks at catcher defense.
ESPN rates every sports organization on its use of analytics.
Yeah, nerds, stop whining while you run your regressions and correlations!!
An interview with Travis Sawchik, author of the upcoming book “Big Data Baseball: Math, Miracles and the End of a 20-Year Losing Streak.”
Non-Strat-O-Matic fans who are curious about the subject can try to follow Poz’s attempt to explain the game mechanics. I have no idea if that is actually possible to do in this format. He tried, anyway.
Strat fans can presumably nod along, and appreciate this:
And veterans cost a hell of a lot more than prospects.
Tonight is the deadline. Last chance to vote!
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