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Throws to 1B BA SLG 0 .287 .429 1 .279 .423 2+ .274 .395
Sigh. This kind of "analysis" frustrates me. It takes a correlation and not only imputes causality, but also assumes the psychological mechanism by which that imputed causality happens.
When a runner goes, the movement can catch a batter’s eye at the moment when he’s trying to focus on the pitcher’s release point. And worse, the hitter might feel that he has to take a pitch because the batter got a good jump, or swing at one to rescue the runner from being out by a mile.
A steal attempt imposes an extra cognitive load at a time when the batter’s brain needs no extra strain,
No the point of sabermetricsnis to uncover truth in baseball. If it confirms cw great if not also great.
Guym -- all I see in that thread is you banging the same drum you are here. Show a study, flawed or not that shows a neutral or positive effect for batters.
The cw has long been tha you don't run in front of mark McGwire or Joe abreu or any other slugger because the extra base isn't worth the distraction.
No, the CW is that you don't run with a slugger at the plate because 1) the value of getting to 2B declines (you will score on an XBH either way), and 2) the cost of making an out on the bases rises. Let's at least get our CW right.
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