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Moneyball is not about walk and homers and OBP. It's about using statistics to find things the market currently undervalues, and thus having a competitive team for below market value.
And while Reddick's stats look bad now, he's been good since coming back from his injury.
The impact of strikeouts on a team’s offense is hotly debated, but A’s general manager Billy Beane clearly felt that he needed to mix in some contact hitters among such high-strikeout types as Josh Reddick and Brandon Moss.
1) I'll figure out how to patch together a lineup with cheap players (NOTE: Oakland has ZERO plate appearances this year from a player drafted by Oakland.)
2) I'll concentrate on developing young starting pitchers, because that is BY FAR the best value for a team, in terms of the cost of developing a starter vs buying a comparable starter in the open market.
3) As soon as that young starting pitcher attracts significant interest from teams, especially as he approaches arbitration or free agency, I will deal him for a slew of guys that will either a) fill in my lineup holes, or b) try to get me the next batch of young pitchers.
I see it more as a mixed bag than as a brilliant strategy.
One could argue that it was the best strategy he could employ, given the cards in his hand - I honestly don't know how I feel about that
But I'd say in 4 of the 7 deals the A's traded the best player in the deal -- Hudson, Blanton, Cahill and Gio. I see it more as a mixed bag than as a brilliant strategy.
As to drafting crappy hitters in the first round, Addison Russell probably goes into that category too.
I think a lesson Beane learned in the Hudson/Mulder/Zito era is that they can't afford to let these kind of guys get to free agency, and they can't afford to trade attractive young starting pitching for anything that doesn't involve future potentially attractive starting pitchers. Relievers and position players are too easy to get compared to young starting pitchers,...
If Boston continues this, (Pats Iglesias on the head) "Yeah yeah. Surrrrre you're a big league player" attitude. Then I would hope Beane is looking into it.
In fact, he could do a lot worse than to call up Jose or I and ask "So who's your new woobie, and do you think I can still get him?"
6) Trevor Cahill (and Craid Breslow) for Jarrod Parker, Ryan Cook, and Collin Cowgill -- Basically a trade of an established starter for a very good starting pitcher prospect with an injury history
Parker was a top draft pick with great stuff and a higher ceiling than Cahill, and who was already MLB ready before suffering his only serious injury. And it's almost a lock nowadays for pitchers to come back from their first Tommy John as good as ever. Even if Parker busted for Oakland, Salary savings + Cook + Cowgill meant Beane could never lose the trade too badly even in worst case scenarios.
Really? The worst case scenario was that Cahill became the 3 WAR pitcher that he is and Parker, Cook and Cowgill busted. There's no way the salary savings makes up for getting zero value back.
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