Read More...The Yankees are only a month and a half into Ichiro’s new contract, and it already looks like they will rue the day the two sides reached a deal. Well, perhaps the business side of the organization is pleased, but I digress. Ichiro is hitting .239/.280/.328 through 145 plate appearances, and finally broke a 22 at-bat hitless skid last night. At this point, it is hard to be optimistic about him going forward.
It shouldn’t be a surprise that Ichiro is scuffling. From 2011 through 2012, Ichiro ...
Login to Join (6 members)
{/exp:tag:subscribed}Page rendered in 2.2414 seconds, 105 querie(s) executed
Reader Comments and Retorts
Go to end of page
Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.
1. charityslave is thinking about baseball posted on August 15, 2012 at 09:39 AM # hit 0 | hit 0Lisa: That’s specious logic dad.
Homer: Thank you honey.
Lisa: According to your logic, this rock is keeping tigers away.
Homer: Hmmm, how does it work?
Lisa: It doesn’t.
Homer: How so?
Lisa: Its just a rock, but I don’t see any tigers anywhere.
Homer: Lisa, I’d like to buy your rock.
LQDK70A.
Wow. This is pretty retarded.
This like the splits that say "The Yankees are 18-8 when ARod hits a home run." (So all we need to do is to have ARod hit a home run!")
Except it's worse than that.
I would imagine that the reason the "score first" splits tend to be favorable are:
1. You know you've scored, which is better than not scoring.
2. You know you've scored at least one run - and maybe multiple runs.
3. It was probably early in the game, which meant you had several more innings to add on runs.
4. Or maybe it was late in the game, which meant that you probably only had to keep the opponent off the boards for a few more innings.
5. Your opponent may not have scored.
The biggest flaw in Yost's thought process centers on item 2. When you've "scored first," that may well have been more than one run. But Yost's "bunt to score first" strategy likely caps a big inning, which means that he may have only gotten the one run. In general when you've "scored first" you haven't limited your chance for multiple runs, so you may have gotten multiple runs.
The goal is to score more than your opponent after 9 innings, not to "score first."
The reason why the Royals are winning 43% of their games has very little to do with how many SH they employ. It has more to do with the fact that since 1996, they've had exactly one team whose RA/ERA ranked in the first half of the league. "Scoring most" also involves "allowing least."
EDIT: maybe this never happens.
You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.