One, two big schools
All the worlds are
Colliding all around you
Read More...I was going to write something today for SI.com re Votto. Specifically, that Votto represented one of the clearest cases of Old-v-New schools of thought, re hitting production. The idea was discussed when The Technician was sitting on 4 HR/20 BI. Now, he’s up to 7 and 22. Both #s are subpar for him and, in fact, for a No. 3 hitter. The obvious question being, can a guy who ranks 11th among NL 1Bs in BI be seen as having a ...
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< 1 2Yeah, I think he took the editing process really personally, when you really shouldn't do that. Editing is about making the final product as good as it can possibly be. It's not anything about the writer. It's about improving the copy, and it's certainly not nit-picky to use better style.
Between the damn videos that run constantly and the pop up adds IN THE MIDDLE OF THE PAGE....bb-ref is becoming something that I sometimes regret having to visit... I mean I have headphones on, listening to music on the computer and happen to scroll past something or leave one of my 3-8 open bb-ref page and you get a trumpet blaring or some Talking head chatting up about something that happened in the red sox/yankee game last night that I just don't care about. BB-Ref is an essential site, so you have to live with the annoyances that make it exist, but it's still frustrating.
As to why people might not like Fangraphs. I've mentioned it before, they have a superior smug attitude when it comes to their stats and in their articles they act like their stats were handed from the almighty themselves..... For the record, You guys use WPA as an actual stat.... you have nothing to feel superior about, I haven't figured out which is a more useless stat, WPA or Productive outs. The fact that Fangraph writers think it should be listed in nearly every article is reason enough not to visit....And that is before the silliness of Fip being used as a tool to write articles in support of a candidate for a season award.
I like Tango and have some sympathy for his position but...
using FG is not being invited to a party, it's using a website - and not the only game in town. If someone doesn't use their stats because they don't like the articles there (be it for the subject matters, quality and professionalism of writing, whatever), that's a little weird to me - but not a case of holding one site to a higher standard than the other, it's reacting to something that turns them off. Which is totally legit - you should vote with your eyeballs online, it's why I rarely click on links that I think will annoy me or for entities that I realy don't want to get my business.
There's nothing wrong with not liking something. (cue Smitty)
WPA is not a stat that should be used to measure the value of players, but it perfectly encapsulates what it's supposed to be. It's useful to tell the story of how the game went.
Correct and productive outs tells what it is supposed to also, it doesn't make it useful. WPA is a story telling tool that tells you the high and low emotional impact of a fan on a particular game. Beyond that it has no value, and pretending that player A is more valuable than player B because he has a higher wpa should be grounds for a shunning by all thinking baseball fans.
Only literally. It's supposed to be a measure of what contributes to run production and it certainly is not that.
Secondly, WPA certainly can be used as a measurement of value. It's essentially just linear weights adjusted for leverage. If you want to included clutch performance in your definition of value, using WPA in place of WRAA (batting runs above average) in the WAR calculation is perfectly defensible. The problem with WPA on it's own is that it's baselined to league average instead of replacement level (meaning it doesn't properly account for playing time) and obviously your leverage is dependent on the guys in front of you. On the other hand, you have no problem using ERA instead of FIP even though ERA is heavily dependent on your teammates as well. So #### it, I'm not sure what your general philosophy is.
Say what you want about the tenets of cardsfanboyism, but at least it is an ethos.
And before anyone brings up the books that I edited back in the 1990s, they are TERRIBLY copy edited. In fact, except for the 1991 book, they are, essentially, not even proofread. The issue was time. I was trying to do too much in too few months, and copy editing and proofreading were what went by the wayside, except in 1991, when I had a little more time than usual. The irony is that, in between technical writing assignments, I proofread, freelance, for a living. So it's not as if I can't do it, or am slow. I just ran out of time. That happens, and a writer has every right to complain if it does. A writer should expect at least a proofreading pass. I failed at that and I feel guilty about it all the time, even two decades later. But my point remains: A writer not only should not complain about copy editing, he should insist on it. Full editing is a different beast. - Brock Hanke
Bb-ref still loads faster, is easier to read, is easier to sort, is easier to use, is easier to convert to txt documents, better and easier to use seasonal data. (Spent the last minute+ trying to figure out where runs scored per game for the team is and still haven't found it nor have I found runs allowed per game...these are basic stats that I look at on a somewhat daily basis) Doesn't have save situation or save opps as a stat which is another stat I use semi-infrequently. (Any time some idiot tv announcer tries to disparage a non-closer in the closer role by pulling out save situation, you need to have holds, saves, blown saves and save situation to accurately calculate true save percentage) Etc....Fangraphs isn't remotely on the same level as bb-ref.
It is linear weights ran through a stupid machine.... again, if you hit a solo homerun in a 1-0 game, it has the EXACT SAME VALUE no matter what inning it happens in. WPA on the other hand says "no it doesn't, because I'm a legal retard stat and if you hit that homerun in the top of the 9th inning, it's worth a whole hell of a lot more than it is in the first inning."
ERA is dependent on teamates, but it's at least based upon something that happened, instead of some theory of what should have happened.
Comparing era to wpa is ridiculous. A run allowed in the first inning of a 9 inning performance is the same as one allowed in the 9th inning of the same performance. Theory should never be substituted for reality.
Actually, if it's a 2 run homer, it IS a lot more valuable in the bottom of the 9th, because it ENDS THE GAME. If it happens earlier in the game, there are still outs left for the other team to use up before they don't have a chance to tie or go ahead. The timing of events has no predictive value of future events, but it most certainly DOES have a different value looking backwards. It's the essence of competition with outcomes that result in a win or a loss.
Also, ERA totally is theoretical because it reconstructs the innings based on errors. If you want a stat that's pure results, look at RA/9.
I would prefer for ERA to not include errors and would prefer ra and many times I do the math to include that. But era+ is well within the norm that it's more than good enough. Again, I would prefer to go by a component era that looks at singles, doubles, triples, homeruns and walks and go by runs created and go with that.
I never said anything about a 2 run homerun, but no, a 2 run homerun is worth exactly the same value no matter when it happens. That is the silliness of WPA.
When looking at MVP/Cy Young real is what matters, you can argue luck based upon the order of the events, but you can't just turn a double allowed into nothing because your theory says that double wouldn't have happened in a universe populated with average defensive players.
If I want to evaluate a pitcher who is moving from one team to another team, then FIP is a good tool. If I want to predict a players performance next year even, fip is better than era. But for evaluating past performance, it's not a good tool.
Use L1 for that, not WPA.
This is false.
Again, if you are measuring talent, or trying to project future performance, of course the sequence of events does not matter. As I have tried to explain, in REAL LIFE, the order in which things actually happen does indeed create different values to the people who actually have a vested interest in the outcome. Some people think the value of the story is different from the value of the event, but the story IS the value.
Instead, the Orioles have 16 more wins this year than the Red Sox.
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