Imagine there’s no baseball stats
It’s easy if you try
No WAR below us
Above us only RBI
Imagine all the players
Bunting for today…
What if we didn’t keep stats?
What if the only stats recorded were team wins and team losses?
And then — as long as we’re fantasizing — what if all the money were put in a pool and players were paid based on how many wins their team had?
How would the game be played then?
Right now, players play to put up numbers. That’s how you get paid. And ...
Green and Zwiebel studied two million MLB at-bats from 2000 to 2011. They neutralized for the abilities of the hitter and pitchers — such as lefty-on-lefty matchups and stadium sizes — and focused on 10 major statistical categories, such as batting averages, home run percentages and strikeout rates.
They found that a hitter’s past 25 at-bats were a significant predictor of his next at-bat. When a player is hot, they found his expected on-base percentage to be 25 to 30 points higher than ...
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