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Its almost like you can't count on hitting prospects all the time. Oh well, I'm sure the next crop won't fail.
The Cubs should count themselves extremely lucky if they get two players from this crop at all-star level or better. The most likely outcome is that the Cubs develop one very good hitter out of this crop several useful ones for awhile, and a bunch of spare parts and failed prospects.
If this was done from 1984 to 1990 option B would be drafting Barry Bonds, Frank Thomas, Chipper Jones, Gary Sheffield, Ken Griffey Jr, Mark McGwire, and Kevin Brown. Along with players like Will Clark, Robin Ventura, BJ Surhoff, Jay Bell, and so on. Is it so clear cut then?
Had Jackson already been DFAed, or was that just writing on the wall?
It isn't two first round picks but 15 first round picks every year for 7 years.
If that first player was Joe DiMaggio he would have just 6 seasons left and he would only average 126 games in those 6 seasons (obviously adjust for a 162 game season).
Here's a thought experiment we had on another board. You have two options. Which one would you choose and which one do yo think would win more games.
Option A- Every year for the next 7 years you'd get a rookie that would replicate the career (playing time and WAR) of one of the following players: Ruth, DiMaggio, Williams, Mays, Aaron, Morgan, and Schmidt.
Option B- Every year for the next 7 years you get 15 first round draft picks.
Not to pick nits -- but wouldn't you technically call Rizzo and Castro of this crop?
You need perfect foresight to draft Bonds, Griffey, Thomas, and McGwire? I believe all of the guys I listed were drafted within the first 15 picks of their respective draft.
Taking the first 15 picks of each year that I used got the option B team around 1500 WAR while taking a random 15 got you about 1200 WAR. I believe the 7 greats put up something like 900 WAR in total.
You wouldn't win it every year because of course it would take 7 years to get all 7 on your team and depending on how it falls some of them wouldn't have long left to play by then.
Going by the original order Babe Ruth likely leaves the team taking a 10 year $300m contract while pre-arb Aaron takes over right field.
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