Wonder if this includes yesterday’s gripping Trevor Ploof…
Read More...But those numbers don’t tell the whole story.
Advanced defensive metrics tell us what our eyes have likely suggested all season—that the Twins’ defense, for the most part, has very limited range.
It’s true that Twins fielders, collectively, don’t make many errors on balls hit to their range radius—but that radius is not very large. And it’s impossible for a fielder to make an error on a ball he can’t get to.
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1. Justin T is expanding the aperture of awareness posted on September 22, 2012 at 09:19 AM # hit 0 | hit 0Cabrera's having a bona fide MVP season and would win the MVP most years and deserve it. It's a tremendous season, and I think he deserves oodles of credit for raking the way he has while also playing a respectable third base. It's not as easy as Hall of Fame major league players make it look.
I wonder, though, if Gardenhire would really rather have Miggy on his team than Trout, all other things equal. Managers are not blind to the importance of defense and baserunning.
And Trout's the one that's having a historically great season. ####, if you believe bWAR about his defense then he has a chance to finish with one of the top ten or so seasons in all baseball history. Without prorating for the month the Angels thought it was a good idea to keep the best baseball player in the world in the minors and play Bobby Abreu instead.
Yes, Cabrera is having an MVP-type season offensively. However, Trout is having an MVP-type season everywhere.
I would guess that managers (and maybe even writers) think that WAR is a hitting stat and that it is saying Trout is better at the plate than Cabrera is and that's what they're fighting back against.
Probably shows that the better argument for non-Statsy people is to talk offense separately, and then adjust.
e.g. Cabrera is 5 runs better than Trout with the bat, but Trout is an excellent CF, and great baserunner, which more than makes up the difference vs. a poor 3B.
Again. Trout's the better offensive player.
Even as a diehard stats guy, this is a bit of a stretch. Trout is ahead of Cabrera by 5 points in wRC+, and that includes Trout's excellent SB/CS numbers. OPS+ has them effectively tied. Then you could argue that playing time should be taken into account as well; FanGraphs and B-Ref agree that Cabrera has accumulated 5-7 runs more than Trout on offense. Probably the best summary statement is that they have been comparably valuable offensive players this year.
Obviously, none of this is to say that Cabrera should be a good MVP candidate. Trout pretty much stands alone.
No, he's not. Playing time matters.
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BBrefs batting runs doesnt include baserunning, or GIDP. Adding them in puts Trout ahead in total offensive value, and that incorporates playing time. At best you can say Cabrera is tied because of fangraphs.
Looking at this, adding in baserunning, Fangraphs also has Trout ahead (58.5 - 53.4: I assume that's runs relative to average, but the difference in Rep between them doesn't close the gap).
Detroit is 80-70 (.533).
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