I’m predicting about 30 home runs during the remainder of 2013 and 50 next year.
Go to end of page
Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.
Why do 2B's age so harshly?
was it GuyM or SoSH?
Nobody seems to be seriously questioning whether he'll be a pretty good player through that time, the question is whether you need to or should sign him for 37-39 too.
@2: doesn't TFA and several recent threads here strongly suggest 2Bmen don't age "harshly"?
Of course this is why I'd do everything possible to keep from going past 36 or so. You can be reasonably confident he'll stick at 2B for his early 30s, you can be reasonably confident in 15-20 WAR over the first 5 years even if he collapses. (Or to put that another way, if you aren't confident in at least 15 WAR from 31-33, you don't sign him to a big contract.) But risk/reward collapses after age 35 or so. Of course that's true of any super long-term contract but I just don't think Cano is a super-duper-star and so the albatross later years are not outweighed by the excellent early years in my opinion.
You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.
Login to Join (1 members)
Page rendered in 2.5432 seconds, 130 querie(s) executed