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How many 1Bs "qualify" for the batting title each year?
My "definition" of "starting 1Bs" is the 30 1Bs each year with the most PAs (by #30 you have a guy with around 350 PAs most years), the 15th % 16th guys in OPS+ are usually around 115-120
the mean OPS+ for all 1Bs is generally around 110-115.
If they don't sell off, and the Red Sox make the playoffs in 2013 while the Yankees don't, there will be incessant chatter among Yankees fans to suggest the Yankees should have sold off in 2013 like Boston did in 2012*. And if the Yankees return in 2014 with largely the same roster** and the same problems, Yankees fans will expect the same results.
Oddly, the return of Cervelli is to be looked forward to as well.
#119 It's really, really hard to buy a contending team from the best of what's available in any given year. Teams that have stayed good over the long run always had a solid core that they could add to.
Would any franchise's fanbase likely react as loudly/boisterously as the Yankees' would if they somehow traded Rivera?
1. If the Yankees choose not to sell off and rebuild, how desperate will they be to sign Cano?
2. If the Yankees are serious about getting under the cap, can they afford to sign Cano AND to augment their roster to a competitive level for 2014?
How much will Boras be able to extract from them in that case?
Condescension aside, Sabathia's career ERA is 3.53. His aforementioned ERA for the last 6 weeks is 4.92. The approximate midway point between those two numbers is 4.22. By the end of the season, where do you think he's going to wind up, closer to 3.53 or to 4.92? Since his overall 2013 ERA is 4.15, you're getting a running head start if you choose the under.
And BTW I'm not claiming to know the answer one way or the other. I'm only saying that neither do you, which is why I put my question in the form of....a question.
That is indeed odd; the idea that Cervelli has suddenly turned into a power hitter based on 60 PA is bizarre. His next 60 PA will likely remind people that he is a pumpkin.
The Yanks' projected record according to coolstandings is 79.6 - 82.4. If anyone, including Tom and/or FancyPants, wants to take the over on that, please let me know.
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