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It's the Yankees, any random lefty they insert will hit 10 dinger in YS at least.
That said, in the worst case obviously they could finish last. but that's not saying much. nor is the Jays or Rays as separted from the pack as they claim.
The Blue Jays have gotten way better, adding 600 innings to their rotation
Wow, they won't need a reliever all year!
Melky Cabrera
I find it interesing -- many believe Bonds et al achieved greatness by juicing but I'm supposed to believe that a "clean" Melky will be a significant addition? (Not necessarily meant as a dig at Justice, I don't recall where he sits on our fabulous PED merry-go-round.)
3.Ray (RDP) posted on January 31, 2013 at 08:57 PM #hit 0 | hit 0
The Red Sox filled a bunch of hole without spending outrageous money and got a new manager, John Farrell, who should help change the environment.
The Red Sox swapped out good players for mediocre ones, made an uninspired pick for manager, and don't seem to understand that "environment" is never a problem that leads to wins and losses on the field.
The Red Sox will suck this year.
4.tfbg9 posted on January 31, 2013 at 09:03 PM #hit 0 | hit 0
The Red Sox will suck this year.
Hey! That's my schtick!
5.Kurt posted on January 31, 2013 at 09:14 PM #hit 0 | hit 0
Even less-than-dramatic additions to their lineup should hit more than zero home runs, right?
The Blue Jays have gotten way better, adding 600 innings to their rotation
Ugh. No they did not. The Blue Jays had 916 innings pitched by starters last year. They replaced (and upgraded) about 550 of those and added roughly 60-90 innings. If they added 600 innings they would have a mind boggling 1516 innings by starters, the most last year was 1033.
10.Darren posted on January 31, 2013 at 09:59 PM #hit 0 | hit 0
My favorite Richard Justice story is when he thought the Yankees looked like a last place team.
Yankees are clearly ahead of the Orioles and Red Sox on paper like he says, and yeah random variation means those teams could finish ahead of the Yankees, but it also means the Yankees could finish in first place. In other words, Richard Justice is a moron.
18.Walt Davis posted on February 01, 2013 at 03:13 AM #hit 0 | hit 0
############# plagiarist, I've been saying that for the past month or more.
The old journalistic adage: if you ain't stealing off the internet, you ain't competing.
19.HOLLA(R) posted on February 01, 2013 at 02:33 PM #hit 0 | hit 0
Even less-than-dramatic additions to their lineup should hit more than zero home runs, right?
The Red Sox swapped out good players for mediocre ones, made an uninspired pick for manager, and don't seem to understand that "environment" is never a problem that leads to wins and losses on the field.
The Red Sox will suck this year.
Which is essentially what the RedSox fan in my office said... funny his name is not Ray
anyway, Orioles, 2012 Pythag 82-80, actual 93-69 (+11)
That is a lot to exceed your pythag by
ERA+ of 109 (5th tie), 6th in AL in ERA at 3.90
K/BB: 2.45- league average? 2.45
k/9: 7.1, league 7.4
bb/9: 2.9, league 3.0
Hr/9: 1.1, league 1.1
essentially they had the peripherals of a perfectly AVERAGE 100 ERA+ staff-
which is not to say BABIP luck- if a whole team does that I think the first thing you'd look at would be team defense
def Efficiency was .699, league was .694, not a big deal
with runners in scoring position they gave up an OPS of .721, league was .745, with runners on they were likewise 20 points better than league (Overall they were 10 better than league)
Being better than league with respect to def efficiency is likely team defense- being better in "clutch" situations likely does not indicate the ability to do that in the future...
They had some luck as far as runs scored/ runs allowed, maybe their "true talent" pythag was 80-82 not 82-80
Well, the 2013 Yankees are currently tied for last.
23.SM posted on February 01, 2013 at 07:28 PM #hit 0 | hit 0
It really does baffle me that the Orioles have done zip this offseason. You finally have a good team for the first time in 15 years, a chance to send a message to all the lapsed fans, plus Boston and NY look weak - this is your shot!
It really does baffle me that the Orioles have done zip this offseason. You finally have a good team for the first time in 15 years, a chance to send a message to all the lapsed fans, plus Boston and NY look weak - this is your shot!
Maybe their time was three months ago, but now they need to play with what they got. I think they'll be OK. It's going to be a fun division to watch though.
25.sunnyday2 posted on February 02, 2013 at 03:21 AM #hit 0 | hit 0
Oh for chrissakes, man up!
26.BDC posted on February 02, 2013 at 10:31 AM #hit 0 | hit 0
The Orioles are surprisingly young, though many have lots of experience, and none of them really had an MVP season last year. If they all have career years, they could win an amazing number of games after standing pat. Of course, everybody but the Astros can say the same, wishful thinking being easy in February – but one sort of understands why the Orioles didn't charge around signing FAs just for the heck of it.
27.jyjjy posted on February 02, 2013 at 10:39 AM #hit 0 | hit 0
RLYW had CAIRO putting the Yankees third as of a few days ago;
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1. RollingWave posted on January 31, 2013 at 08:42 PM # hit 0 | hit 0That said, in the worst case obviously they could finish last. but that's not saying much. nor is the Jays or Rays as separted from the pack as they claim.
Wow, they won't need a reliever all year!
Melky Cabrera
I find it interesing -- many believe Bonds et al achieved greatness by juicing but I'm supposed to believe that a "clean" Melky will be a significant addition? (Not necessarily meant as a dig at Justice, I don't recall where he sits on our fabulous PED merry-go-round.)
The Red Sox swapped out good players for mediocre ones, made an uninspired pick for manager, and don't seem to understand that "environment" is never a problem that leads to wins and losses on the field.
The Red Sox will suck this year.
Hey! That's my schtick!
There are probably people who think Bonds was not already an all-time great, but those people must not have been paying attention.
Just at 1B, right? or am I forgetting someplace?
These are somewhat contradictory sentiments.
That seems like an argument for the Red Sox being even more profitable, rather than actually contending.
Ugh. No they did not. The Blue Jays had 916 innings pitched by starters last year. They replaced (and upgraded) about 550 of those and added roughly 60-90 innings. If they added 600 innings they would have a mind boggling 1516 innings by starters, the most last year was 1033.
Motherfucking plagiarist, I've been saying that for the past month or more.
What?? I thought *I* was the guy getting blocked for running it into the ground.
Regardless...
Jays 91-71
Yanks 88-74
Rays 87-75
Orioles 84-78
Red Sox. 77-85
Which would be especially impressive since 162*9 = 1458.
Like I said, mind boggling. 58 extra innings, a few of those games will go past 9 innings. Move over Jack Morris.
Yanks 88-74
Rays 87-75
Orioles 84-78
Red Sox. 77-85
At this stage, as a Sox fan, I'd be happy just to finish in 4th...honestly.
The old journalistic adage: if you ain't stealing off the internet, you ain't competing.
That depends. Are the additions Ben Revere?
Your keyboard to God's Blackberry. I loved that 2012 team to death, but if any squad seems likely to regress a little...
/It all depends on the pitching. And the LF/RF/DH/2B.
Which is essentially what the RedSox fan in my office said... funny his name is not Ray
anyway, Orioles, 2012 Pythag 82-80, actual 93-69 (+11)
That is a lot to exceed your pythag by
ERA+ of 109 (5th tie), 6th in AL in ERA at 3.90
K/BB: 2.45- league average? 2.45
k/9: 7.1, league 7.4
bb/9: 2.9, league 3.0
Hr/9: 1.1, league 1.1
essentially they had the peripherals of a perfectly AVERAGE 100 ERA+ staff-
which is not to say BABIP luck- if a whole team does that I think the first thing you'd look at would be team defense
def Efficiency was .699, league was .694, not a big deal
with runners in scoring position they gave up an OPS of .721, league was .745, with runners on they were likewise 20 points better than league (Overall they were 10 better than league)
Being better than league with respect to def efficiency is likely team defense- being better in "clutch" situations likely does not indicate the ability to do that in the future...
They had some luck as far as runs scored/ runs allowed, maybe their "true talent" pythag was 80-82 not 82-80
Maybe their time was three months ago, but now they need to play with what they got. I think they'll be OK. It's going to be a fun division to watch though.
http://www.rlyw.net/index.php/RLYW/comments/cairo_2013_v0.3_and_still_too_early_and_mostly_useless_2013_projected_
Signing Hafner could put them in second if it was rerun right now.
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