Read More...The Yankees designated infielder Alberto Gonzalez for assignment this afternoon in order to make room for the newly-acquired Reid Brignac. Some thought that Ben Francisco‘s roster spot could be in jeopardy, as he’s hitting just .114 (5-for-44) in 21 games, but Yankees general manager Brian Cashman joked to reporters today that he’s keeping him around for a very important reason.
Andy McCullough @McCulloughSL
Cashman on Ben Francisco’s roster spot: “Just in terms of your fan comments ...
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1. willcarrolldoesnotsuk posted on October 12, 2012 at 09:24 PM # hit 0 | hit 0In 4 seasons since: 1.101, 1.011, .906, .859.
And Pujols is only... 32! Clearly this is also somehow ARod's fault.
First, he seems to conflate "mid-30s" with the ages 32-36.
Second, he cites Willie Mays. In the same list he's got Garrett Anderson. This is surely the only time Mays and Anderson have ended up in the same comp list. Seriously, this list ranges from guys who averaged about a 120 OPS+ in their prime to Mickey Mantle who averaged about a 200.
Third, he cites Willie Mays. From 32-36, Mays put up a 162 OPS+. True he had a "bad" season at 36 but he bounced back at 37. He put up a 158 OPS+ at age 40. What's more, from ages 27-31, he put up a 161 OPS+. From an OPS+ perspective, he had the best season of his career at 34. You have to be seriously ignorant of baseball history to include Willie Mays in a list of players who declined in their "mid-30s".
Fourth, he cites Mickey Mantle. It is fair to say Mantle declined in his "mid-30s" but only in the sense that through age 31, he tended to have an OPS+ in the neighborhood of 200 and then he only averaged 156 from 32 to 36 ... but he only retired due to severe knee problems. Obviously physical decline is a part of aging but this was far beyond standard physical decline due to aging.
Fifth, he cites Joe DiMaggio. DiMaggio had a "bad" season at 36, then retired. But up until that season, he was Joe DiMaggio.
Schaap's claim is of course unsubstantiated. But you don't respond to it with idiocy. At best he's confused "had a bad season at 36" or "eventually got old" with "fell off a cliff from ages 32-36."
There are plenty of comps that were similar hitters to ARod and had similar offensive struggles as they aged. Vlad is a good comp. Belle, although that's more obviously injury-related; same with Griffey. Even guys like Delgado, Helton and McGriff aren't bad comps for him. Of course you also have some Gary Sheffield types who didn't really decline until age 37.
When I was investigating the age 32+ performance of elite hitters last offseason for the Pujols debate, there was a clear difference between how the true elite aged and how the excellent aged. As hitters (i.e. playing time aside), the true elites didn't really decline until sometime around 38-39 if then. Most of the exceptions had serious injuries or were drunks or went off to war and they still hit up until the end. The downside was pretty much Frank Thomas who still put up an OPS+ in the 130s.
But somewhere around an OPS+ of 150 through age 31 you started to see a number of guys who declined as we might have expected for an average player.
So, it's true, ARod's performance of the last few years isn't far out of line (if at all) from hitters of his type. Given his athleticism there were reasons to think he might age better than a McGriff or Delgado. 2011 ZiPS had him at a 132 OPS+ still; by 2012, ZiPS had him pegged. 2013 ZiPS are not likely to be encouraging.
I almost agree but, thinking back, it's a mix. They rode out the Bernie and Knoblauch contracts. But they moved Javier Vazquez quickly; they got Kenny Rogers out of town (granted, that was 15 years ago :-); they dumped Irabu. But then those guys all stunk for the Yankees while ARod doesn't stink.
In general, the Yanks are more than big enough and popular enough to ride out ARod's unpopularity -- and not like they haven't been here before with ARod. They rarely dump useful players. And they have no options for 3B anyway and there's nothing on the FA market (Youk in NY sounds entertaining though). Even if he only gives them 400-500 PA, even if he slips further to a 100-105 OPS+, it's hard to see how the Yanks would be a better baseball team in 2013 without ARod barring a Vernon Wells like trade.
I would for ARod's sake, but the Yankees don't deserve it.
There's certainly a history of the organization running players out of town once the fan/media/talk radio outrage reaches a critical mass. Burnett is a prime example.
You'd think good organizations wouldn't engage in this silliness, but the Yankees do.
EDIT: I see Walt named some others. And to a lesser extent Ian Kennedy was never going to stay in New York once he made the comment after a start that he pitched well but they simply found holes and got lucky on hits dropping in.
Jason Giambi would seem to be the best analogy: MVP acquired to play his 30s in New York. (AROD was a bit younger and better, but same general ballpark.) It would have been very plausible for the Yankees to tie Giambi at some point into a burlap sack with a lot of money and dump him in Pittsburgh or somewhere, but they never did, and he kept clawing back to be intermittently, as you say, quite useful.
Similar position, (EDIT: large difference in) cumulative PA and (EDIT: similar) career OPS+ to Rodriguez through age 32.
Spanning Multiple Seasons or entire Careers, From 1901 to 2012, Younger than 32, (requiring HR>=300), sorted by greatest Plate Appearances
For years, we've been told amphetamines were merely like a restorative cup of coffee. So steroids must be almost the same: like a cup of coffee that shrinks your nuts.
Spanning Multiple Seasons or entire Careers, From 1961 to 2012, From Age 25 to 31, (requiring G>=1000), sorted by greatest Games Played
For the Rangers, AROD would be a big upgrade at the position "Right-Handed Designated Hitter Who Can't Play the Infield Very Well."
Funny, once in the course of bashing Beltran as unclutch and not an MVP-caliber player, he decided to go look at Beltran's Ahr-Bee-Eyes, which he thought would prove his point, but discovered that Carlos had had ovah 110 Ahr-Bee-Eyes each uh the last three yeahs, and said "oh, ok."
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