I’m predicting about 30 home runs during the remainder of 2013 and 50 next year.
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Yeah, I'd peg a ballpark offer on the open market to open at 3/45 or something, maybe even 4/60.
You'd have to be crazy to think that A-Rod would have a hard time getting more than 2/16 on the free agent market. He hit .272/.353/.430 in his worst year ever for an OPS of 112 and is only 36. Projecting in a straight line would be foolish. He'll have a dead cat bounce at some point, even if its only up to an 850 OPS.
I will caveat by seconding the possibilty that something like a positive roid test or other weird development is going on behind the scenes.
Has a team that reached the ALCS ever ended a season in such disarray?
I'm not watching the same game. The Yankees I'm watching today are flailing like they have a train to catch. Their minds are somewhere else. There is no sense of urgency or desperation or hint that they understand this is an elimination game. They are sleepwalking. Even Girardi, not getting a reliever up after Cabrera's HR. Everyone wants it to be over. Today.
I think the most supportive argument you can make for Girardi is that A-Rod is just not healthy. He didn't really do much after his return from injury and obviously he's been poor in the playoffs. It's not as visible an injury as Lowell in 2008 but it wouldn't surprise that that is the driver here.
Yeah, his days as AROD!! are over. It certainly doesn't look like he's going to have a Chipper-style swan song. But we come to that conclusion based on the last 3 seasons. The last month is just a bad month for now.
I don't think I'd go even half that
I mean - I'd be willing to overpay for A-Rod with some wild and crazy incentives, but not overpay with guaranteed money in the hopes that he can bounce back
Hanley has either been worth nowhere near what he's paid or he's worth about exactly what he's been paid. If the latter, the Dodgers really have no incentive to trade him.
Sure, but we're not asking what you would do, we're asking what the market would do. The market frequently pays more than we would.
The most likely outcome of course is that ARod stays put. There aren't a lot of albatross contracts out there right now -- Howard, Crawford, Wells ... must be somebody I'm forgetting. (There are plenty which will probably turn into albatrosses eventually but it's too soon for their teams to give up on them.) Helton, Soriano, Lackey and Zito are almost done. The Yanks can't trade ARod for Tex. People toss Heath Bell's name around but he's only owed 2/$18.
A-Rod, surprisingly, to me, has carried himself with class and dignity through the last couple of weeks. Perhaps the Yanks figured he'd do some sort of sulk and they could use that to their advantage*. Perhaps this really is just a clash of personalities. It's pretty clear Girardi and several** Yanks just don't like A-Rod. Perhaps A-Rod's subpar postseason performance is because he's in cahoots with gamblers and this was Girardi's way of trying to minimize the damage. Who knows?
QFT. Don't forget that this is the Yankees. The one team that couldn't care less about flushing money down the toilet, but for some reason they never seem to have to. I mean, the Cubs had to pay basically Zambrano's whole salary to be rid of him. But when the Yankees got tired of overpaying Irabu, they dumped him on the Expos without having to pay anything. They even got some useful parts. When they didn't want to overpay Sheffield any more, they got the Tigers to take him without having to throw in any cash at all. It's what they do.
It's pretty clear Girardi and several Yanks just don't like A-Rod.
Don't forget the Big Unit back to Arizona deal... it's not like the Yankees got a haul, but the only thing they really had to eat was Luis Vizcaino.
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