BBTF.org/m/zips : ESPN: Szymborski: Bounceback candidates for 2012 (INSIDER)

Wednesday, March 27, 2013

ESPN: Szymborski: Projecting the AL Standings (INSIDER)

(bit.ly)

posted on March 27, 2013 at 07:36 PM by DJ Funky and the Smile Time Variety Players to espn, sabermetrics, zips | 113 comment(s)

Seasons are simulated a million times using a Monte Carlo method, the percentile performance of player projections and estimates of roster construction. There are other bits of mathematical nerdery involved (linear algebra for the win!), but I’m sure you want to get down to the results, so here we go.

And the NL.

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

1. Mark S. is bored posted on January 23, 2012 at 12:39 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

Link is to itself, instead of to ESPN article.

2. Eugene Freedman

posted on January 23, 2012 at 12:39 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

Link is bad. Only reopens this page, not the ESPN page.

3. Dan Szymborski

posted on January 23, 2012 at 01:24 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

Fixed, me stupid.

4. John DiFool2 posted on January 23, 2012 at 01:40 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

Can someone please explain the purpose of these "URL helper" sites? Dan is using one ("bit.ly"), which is why I'm asking. Do they also provide revenue to someone for click-thrus?

5. FancyPantsHandle glistening with foreign substance posted on January 23, 2012 at 01:48 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

Can someone please explain the purpose of these "URL helper" sites? Dan is using one ("bit.ly"), which is why I'm asking. Do they also provide revenue to someone for click-thrus?

They're mostly for twitter, which has a character limit, and you dont want a 85 charachter URL taking it all up.

6. ShoeGrit posted on January 23, 2012 at 01:55 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

I like Heyward and Jimenez' chances to bounceback to previously established levels the most on that list.

7. Dan Szymborski

posted on January 23, 2012 at 02:12 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

Can someone please explain the purpose of these "URL helper" sites? Dan is using one ("bit.ly"), which is why I'm asking. Do they also provide revenue to someone for click-thrus?

I just find them convenient since the URLs are shorter. Plus, something on twitter, you can see how many times people linked it, which gives me an idea of what kind of stuff I write my twitter followers (and BTF readers) like more - I pitch 75% of my article topics, and I like to try to give ESPN readers things that they feel are holes in the coverage.

8. thetailor posted on January 23, 2012 at 03:43 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

Its like you're speaking directly to me (and also my fantasy team)! Thank you Dan!

9. Harveys Wallbangers

posted on January 23, 2012 at 03:56 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

Dan

I hope you are not projecting a bounce back for Casey McGehee

10. McCoy Wilfong for Money posted on January 23, 2012 at 03:58 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

We would like to hear more about Duke William's invasion of England in 1066.

11. puck posted on January 23, 2012 at 04:32 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

They're mostly for twitter, which has a character limit, and you dont want a 85 charachter URL taking it all up.

and also for albrights and rickrolling.

12. Dan Szymborski

posted on January 23, 2012 at 05:05 PM # hit 0 | hit 0

These were the 10 guys that missed their projections the most on the downside. Well, 9 of them - Lackey got edited out since I addressed 2013 (have him at right around 5.00 in 120ish innings in 2013).

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

/m/zips

Wednesday, March 27, 2013

ESPN: Szymborski: Projecting the AL Standings (INSIDER)

Reader Comments and Retorts

Zips Think Factory