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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Colorado Rockies

I complain every year about the bipolar nature of Colorado’s plans, a yearly awkward mix of rebuilding and pushing for the division, but that’s almost a broken record at this point.  Though

I guess trading Ubaldo Jimenez for good prospects but then signing an average-hitting, below-average defensive Cuddyer for his declining years for $10 million a year just adds to the

hilarity.

Colorado’s pitching staff is underrated, as usual.  The Coors park factors had been down for awhile, probably ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: December 27, 2011 at 08:39 PM | 24 comment(s)
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Hall of Merit: Most Meritorious Player : 1968 Discussion

The year of the pitcher and our final year voting for 10 per ballot. Dominant aces propelled the Tigers and Cardinals into the postseason. Voting will end on January 25th 2012.
               Win     BB-ref
               Shares  WAR
Bob Gibson     34.4	11.9
Denny McLain   32.7	5.9
Luis Tiant     27.7	7.2
Dave McNally   24.7	4.7
Fergie Jenkins 23.7	6.9
Tom Seaver     22.9     7.5
Stan Bahnsen   22.7	5.7
Mel Stottlemyre 21.3	4.6
Juan Marichal  24.0	6.1
Tommy John     14.3	4.8
Jerry Koosman ...
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DL from MN Posted: December 23, 2011 at 05:17 PM | 58 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Atlanta Braves

Despite the disappointing final month of the season (to put it lightly), the Braves are still a dangerous team. The pitching staff is young and quite deep and rather than try to emulate the Braves success developing pitchers, I think it's reached the point at which other organizations should simply abduct all the people that work on player development and simply force them to scout and train prospects, at knifepoint if need be. Or, I guess, they could hire them, but that's slower.

While two ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: December 22, 2011 at 08:40 PM | 28 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Houston Astros

At some point, to bash the Houston Astros simply becomes piling-on. The 2011 Astros were not only a lousy team, but a team that applied lousiness consistently across all the various aspects of baseball, and needed 6 WAR from the departed Hunter Pence and Michael Bourn just to get up to 56 wins. The long reckoning expected by observers for an organization that had a GM in Ed Wade that simultaneously ignored the major leagues, the minors leagues, and any kind of thrift, finally came to pass, ...Read More...
Dan Szymborski Posted: December 19, 2011 at 07:34 PM | 54 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - St. Louis Cardinals

As I generally mention when a good, not great team wins the World Series, the most dangerous trap that team can fall into is the tendency to "bring back the band" and try to keep the roster pretty much the way it was during their championship season. A great team has a little more room to rest on their laurels, a very good team doesn't. The San Franciso Giants were the most recent team to fall into the trap and when an offense that had a lot go right to just finish 9th in scoring in 2010 had ...Read More...
Dan Szymborski Posted: December 17, 2011 at 03:15 AM | 31 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Los Angeles Dodgers

Within last year's projections, I described the 2010 season as a disappointing year that was more "bland mediocrity than explosive failure." That's the same kind of season the Dodgers had in 2011, a kind of bland mediocrity with a notably bright pinnacle, like seeing Ron Swanson backstage after a Nickelback concert. That pinnacle, of course, being Cy Young winner Clayton Kershaw and the real NL MVP, Matt Kemp, who, at in bWAR, made up half the value of the entire team in 2011. Of course, ...Read More...
Dan Szymborski Posted: December 10, 2011 at 10:54 PM | 26 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: Angels - Sign Pujols

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim sign 1B Albert Pujols to a 10 year/ $254 million contract. Other details are not yet available, though there is some form of a no trade clause. OK, everybody has heard of the guy. I'm going to assume that his official age is his true age -- all bets are off if he is in fact older. I think it's doubtful but not absolutely impossible that he is in fact a few years older. The real key to this signing is how he'll age. The awkward thing in terms of figuring this out ...Read More...
Ron J Posted: December 09, 2011 at 08:26 AM | 43 comment(s)
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Hall of Merit: 2012 Hall of Merit Ballot

Sorry about not getting this posted Monday. I was having issues with the thread-creation website. The election will end December 21 28. We've extend the deadline in hopes of landing a few extra ballots. Don't count on this next year :-) Apologies to those who rushed to meet the deadline. ******** Joe posted this last year, but it won't hurt to include it here again:
This was an issue last year, so I'll repeat it now for clarification . . . the posting of the ballot to the discussion thread ...
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John (You Can Call Me Grandma) Murphy Posted: December 07, 2011 at 10:17 PM | 192 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: Blue Jays - Acquire Santos

Toronto Blue Jays acquire DSA Sergio Santos from the Chicago White Sox for RHP prospect Nestor Molina. I'd hate to think the logic behind this deal is on the order of -- We had 25 blown saves and only 33 saves last year. With a Proven Veteran Closer we might have made the playoffs. Santos was 30 of 36 last year, Problem solved. In the first place 83% is an unremarkable save conversion rate for a closer. (he had 2 holds in 2 opportunities as well. Count those and it's 84%. Doesn't change the ...Read More...
Ron J Posted: December 07, 2011 at 02:59 PM | 7 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Minnesota Twins

Not a lot of good news for the Twins in 2011. ZiPS had them slipping significantly from 2010 and while they did just that, they more than exceeded the projected dropoff. A lot to do with it is Mauer and Morneau being injured, ineffective, or frequently both, a plot twist so bad that M. Night Shyamalan would disavow it. For video game nerds out there (there's a lot of crossover), it's almost Final Fantasy VIII plot twist-bad.

The Twins may not fully realize it, but they're a team that's ...

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Dan Szymborski Posted: December 06, 2011 at 10:02 PM | 31 comment(s)
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