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SABR - BBTF Chapter: SABR42: Call For Presentations

Posted on behalf of Scott Fischthal and Neal Traven.

SABR invites all members to present their research findings to their colleagues attending SABR42 in Minneapolis, Minnesota.  Oral presentations are expected to last 20 minutes, followed by a five minute question-and-answer period.  Posters will be presented, with the author on-hand to discuss the work, during a poster session of 90 or so minutes, and will probably remain on display throughout the convention. Abstracts covering all aspects of ...

Mike Emeigh Posted: December 31, 2011 at 07:16 PM | 7 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles play in a beautiful, clean, park, with convenient light rail access and a short trip from Baltimore's Inner Harbor, Fells Point, and Canton. For crabs, take Eastern Boulevard to Mr. Bill's Terrace Inn or head to L.P. Steamers near Fort McHenry. If crabs aren't your thing, I'm very partial to Della Norte in Little Italy or, if you want to try Baltimore's non- barbecue barbecue, pit beef, Chaps Pit Beef or Pioneer Pit Beef.

Next Up: Milwaukee Brewers

Oracle on Twitter

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 30, 2011 at 06:15 PM | 48 comment(s)
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Primate Studies: Greg Spira, RIP

Greg Spira, fellow Primate and long-time friend to many of us, passed away today. Will pass along details as I get them.

Mike Emeigh Posted: December 29, 2011 at 02:27 AM | 45 comment(s)
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Hall of Merit: 2012 Results: Palmeiro… Reuschel… Cone… for the Hall of Merit!

Slugging first baseman Rafael Palmeiro, in his second year of eligibility, was the top vote-getter this election by grabbing 70% of all possible points.

NL hurler Rick Reuschel was number two this year with 49% after 17 years on a ballot, while Met and Yankee pitcher David Cone became the last inductee of 2012 with 44% in his sixth year of eligibility.

Rounding out the top-ten were: Phil Rizzuto, Luis Tiant, Cannonball Dick Redding, Hugh Duffy, Gavvy Cravath (back in the top-ten!), Vic Willis ...

John (You Can Call Me Grandma) Murphy Posted: December 29, 2011 at 02:08 AM | 70 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Colorado Rockies

I complain every year about the bipolar nature of Colorado’s plans, a yearly awkward mix of rebuilding and pushing for the division, but that’s almost a broken record at this point.  Though

I guess trading Ubaldo Jimenez for good prospects but then signing an average-hitting, below-average defensive Cuddyer for his declining years for $10 million a year just adds to the


Colorado’s pitching staff is underrated, as usual.  The Coors park factors had been down for awhile, probably ...

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 27, 2011 at 07:39 PM | 24 comment(s)
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Hall of Merit: Most Meritorious Player : 1968 Discussion

The year of the pitcher and our final year voting for 10 per ballot. Dominant aces propelled the Tigers and Cardinals into the postseason.

Voting will end on January 25th 2012.

               Win     BB-ref
               Shares  WAR
Bob Gibson     34.4	11.9
Denny McLain   32.7	5.9
Luis Tiant     27.7	7.2
Dave McNally   24.7	4.7
Fergie Jenkins 23.7	6.9
Tom Seaver     22.9     7.5
Stan Bahnsen   22.7	5.7
Mel Stottlemyre 21.3	4.6
Juan Marichal  24.0	6.1
Tommy John     14.3	4.8
Jerry Koosman ...
DL from MN Posted: December 23, 2011 at 04:17 PM | 58 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Atlanta Braves

Despite the disappointing final month of the season (to put it lightly), the Braves are still a dangerous team.  The pitching staff is young and quite deep and rather than try to emulate the Braves success developing pitchers, I think it’s reached the point at which other organizations should simply abduct all the people that work on player development and simply force them to scout and train prospects, at knifepoint if need be.  Or, I guess, they could hire them, but that’s slower.

While two ...

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 22, 2011 at 07:40 PM | 28 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Houston Astros

At some point, to bash the Houston Astros simply becomes piling-on.  The 2011 Astros were not only a lousy team, but a team that applied lousiness consistently across all the various aspects of baseball, and needed 6 WAR from the departed Hunter Pence and Michael Bourn just to get up to 56 wins.  The long reckoning expected by observers for an organization that had a GM in Ed Wade that simultaneously ignored the major leagues, the minors leagues, and any kind of thrift, finally came to pass, ...

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 19, 2011 at 06:34 PM | 54 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - St. Louis Cardinals

As I generally mention when a good, not great team wins the World Series, the most dangerous trap that team can fall into is the tendency to “bring back the band” and try to keep the roster pretty much the way it was during their championship season.  A great team has a little more room to rest on their laurels, a very good team doesn’t.  The San Franciso Giants were the most recent team to fall into the trap and when an offense that had a lot go right to just finish 9th in scoring in 2010 had ...

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 17, 2011 at 02:15 AM | 31 comment(s)
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Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Los Angeles Dodgers

Within last year’s projections, I described the 2010 season as a disappointing year that was more “bland mediocrity than explosive failure.”  That’s the same kind of season the Dodgers had

in 2011, a kind of bland mediocrity with a notably bright pinnacle, like seeing Ron Swanson backstage after a Nickelback concert.  That pinnacle, of course, being Cy Young winner Clayton

Kershaw and the real NL MVP, Matt Kemp, who, at in bWAR, made up half the value of the entire team in 2011.  Of course, ...

Dan Szymborski Posted: December 10, 2011 at 09:54 PM | 26 comment(s)
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