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Jim's Lab Notes: Please Excuse the Mess
It’s update time. The season is over and a slower news cycle is upon us. It’s time for me to roll up my sleeves and work on the site. First up is the transition of our Content Management System (CMS) from Expression Engine‘s 1.x series to its 2.x series. I had hoped to accomplish this upgrade last March but, unfortunately, some of the third-party scripts the site uses had not yet been updated to the new version, my personal life was much too busy and, frankly, I did not have sufficient funds to ...Read More...
193 comment(s)Posted: October 31, 2011 at 06:32 PM |
Transaction Oracle: Indians - Acquired LoweCleveland Indians - Acquired P Derek Lowe from the Atlanta Braves for P Chris Jones
It's not exactly news that Lowe was surplus to requirements in Atlanta. His health record has been exceptional – rarely missing a turn since becoming a starter a decade ago.
The problem is that he's 3 years removed from being an impact player. His upside is probably league average and I'd be more than a little surprised if he's that good. 39 year old pitchers in a decline phase are not what you'd call good ...Read More...
15 comment(s)Posted: October 31, 2011 at 05:49 PM |
Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Philadelphia PhilliesNot a whole lot of surprises here. A ton of hitters that played in the organization get projected this year, mostly because the team employed a massive number of semi-familiar names this year. Brent Clevlen! Rich Thompson! Tagg Bozied! A lot of the minors looked a bit like the 2004 waiver wire in your fantasy baseball league.
The starting pitching made up for a lot of sins in the form of an overrated offense and should continue to do so, even if they can't bring Roy Oswalt back at a ...Read More...
55 comment(s)Posted: October 30, 2011 at 06:28 AM |
Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Chicago CubsEpstein! That's pretty much the big news in Cubs baseball the last month. It's still hard to tell what direction exactly Epstein will take the Cubs, but it's likely that the list of players employed by the Cubs in 2012 will look very different than the list of players below. Epstein wasn't brought in with giant sacks full of money in order to politely churn Jim Hendry's assemblage of awesomeness.
On the plus side, the Cubs aren't really as decrepit a team to rebuild as the Houston ...Read More...
65 comment(s)Posted: October 27, 2011 at 05:24 PM |
Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Boston Red SoxDespite the September collapse, the Red Sox managed to still win 90 games, but the collapse is what will be remembered about this team in the year 2050. Hopefully, as we listen to baseball games in our rocket cars or watch with our virtual reality Ballparksperience contraptions. Still, what it came down didn't really have much to do with beer drinking in the clubhouse (drinking beer and playing video games seemed to work just fine for the 5/6th of a season during which the team was one of ...Read More...
46 comment(s)Posted: October 25, 2011 at 09:08 PM |
Transaction Oracle: Transaction Oracle, the FutureAs most of you probably ought to know by now, I've been contributing regularly to ESPN.com for about a year and a half. As such, a lot of the transaction analysis stuff that went on in this area has gone by the wayside, simply because I've done a lot of articles for ESPN that involve player signings and trades. While I don't write up every trade for ESPN, I do enough that to oraculate about the rest here would tend to leave this blog unsatisfyingly fragmented. After all, what good's a ...Read More...
19 comment(s)Posted: October 24, 2011 at 07:40 PM |
Transaction Oracle: 2012 ZiPS Projections - New York YankeesAnd heeeeeeeere come the pretzels!
Just a reminder, that I'm going in reverse from last year. Starting next year, I'm going to randomly draw for order.
ZiPS is rather grumpy again about the Yankee starting pitching. Banuelos and Betances still have a lot of upside, but ZiPS is suspicious about them immediately making an impact in the rotation, given that they both walked way too many batters in AA. The good news for Yankees fans, of course, is that the team has an open wallet and is likely ...Read More...
72 comment(s)Posted: October 24, 2011 at 03:52 PM |
Transaction Oracle: 2011 ZiPS Minor League Translations 0.9Archive with files .xlsx and .csv can be found here. I'm calling this 0.9 for now as there are usually some errors to massage out, sometimes big ones I overlooked.
As a reminder, these are translations, not projections and subject to the same pitfalls as any seasonal line is.
Any errors, omissions, or other questions, feel free to ask.
For those that don't remember, I have two flavors, one with no $H regression and one with mild $H regression. I post the latter one as people have found it ...Read More...
10 comment(s)Posted: October 16, 2011 at 08:09 PM |
Transaction Oracle: 2011 Minor League Park MultipliersAs usual, the raw data for these would be a complete pain to accumulate without the scripting wizardry of Jeff Sackmann. Jeff runs College Splits, GMAT Hacks and has a weekly column on college baseball on ESPN Insider during the season. Jeff also has a tennis sabermetrics blog, Heavy Topspin. So make sure to support Jeff, or else I'll have to put the information together myseful, resulting in a gigantic headache and me retaliating on the community with random beatings and pessimistic ...Read More...
5 comment(s)Posted: October 15, 2011 at 05:34 PM |
53 comment(s)Posted: October 05, 2011 at 08:28 PM |
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