VÖRÖS' BASEBALL ANALYSIS PAGE
2001 PLAYER PROJECTIONS
Below are a list of important points to consider when going through the projections on this site (as well as projections
from any other source). I'd appreciate it if you'd read through them before sending me a question or complaint about the projections. Your question may be answered here. Thanks.
- All Non-Catchers are projected to 648 PAs and all catchers are projected to 432 PAs, regardless of how much I think
anybody will play. Some may argue, but I can't project the decisions of major league managers that are yet to be made. Besides
I think most anyone can get a better idea of who will or won't play during the season by reading various news and wire sources than
I could with a math based model. The projections are designed to tell you whether a player can play, not whether he will play.
- The projections are sorted by team, and each team is sorted into four categories: Starters, Reserves, Prospects and Longshots. "Starters"
are the players that at this moment I think have the best chances of being regular players on the team. "Reserves" are the players who should find some time on an MLB bench. "Prospects" are the team's best upper level
hitting prospects. "Longshots" are AAA lifers and other NRIs who will be hanging around and may see some time if injuries strike.
- Don't write to me with something like, "Darnell McDonald is not a prospect." I'm not rating who is a prospect, but rather
giving projections for players who are considered by reliable sources (Baseball America is the main one) as "prospects" for the specific team.
Some teams are really lacking in quality upper level hitting prospects, so in order to list a few, I may stretch "prospect" status a bit.
- The projections are Park Adjusted this year (last year they were not). I didn't really want to do it, but it appears to be an expectation placed upon me. For players
not on the Rockies or Tigers, don't worry about it much if they switch to other teams. For the Tigers, boost their homers a bit if they leave Detroit. You should know how Colorado affects things.
- I'm going to try and get Pitcher Projections up before opening day.
Return to 2001 Projection Index
February 3, 2001