VÖRÖS' BASEBALL ANALYSIS PAGE

2001 PLAYER PROJECTIONS

Starters	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Ausmus, Brad	384	56	102	19	3	7	43	48	61	7	4	0.265	0.350	0.389
Bagwell, Jeff	538	118	163	31	1	42	118	110	106	13	6	0.303	0.424	0.599
Biggio, Craig	573	98	164	38	3	16	81	75	102	22	8	0.287	0.373	0.449
Truby, Chris	612	83	157	29	6	23	84	36	119	8	4	0.256	0.301	0.438
Lugo, Julio	594	93	163	30	5	15	73	54	112	25	8	0.274	0.338	0.419
Alou, Moises	574	107	185	34	3	36	114	74	66	6	4	0.322	0.402	0.583
Hidalgo, Richard	581	107	170	40	3	38	117	67	104	12	5	0.292	0.368	0.569
Berkman, Lance	560	98	154	35	2	27	94	88	117	10	5	0.275	0.377	0.493

Reserves	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Eusebio, Tony	387	51	102	21	1	9	47	45	75	1	1	0.264	0.344	0.394
Spiers, Bill	575	85	163	33	5	8	63	73	69	11	5	0.283	0.366	0.397
Vizcaino, Jose	597	72	152	28	3	5	56	51	86	10	5	0.255	0.317	0.339
Hayes, Charlie	573	79	143	25	1	17	71	75	120	3	2	0.249	0.340	0.389
Ward, Daryle	601	98	170	31	3	45	123	47	122	2	2	0.283	0.338	0.569
Barker, Glen	591	90	143	29	4	10	61	57	144	35	8	0.242	0.312	0.356

Prospects	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Everett, Adam	579	78	136	27	3	10	59	69	131	13	6	0.235	0.319	0.345
Ginter, Keith	579	89	152	31	4	21	81	69	166	11	5	0.263	0.344	0.436
Ensberg, Morgan	576	84	148	33	2	21	81	72	137	5	3	0.256	0.342	0.430
McNeal, Aaron	609	73	157	32	4	14	71	39	156	2	2	0.257	0.305	0.392
Maldonado, Carlos	606	70	152	34	4	8	62	42	110	5	3	0.252	0.304	0.360

Longshots	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Charles, Frank	410	42	94	21	2	6	40	22	107	1	1	0.230	0.272	0.338
Chavez, Raul	396	44	93	18	1	5	37	36	69	2	2	0.235	0.301	0.323
Reed, Jeff	371	51	87	20	2	8	41	61	95	1	1	0.234	0.345	0.357
Tremie, Chris	391	45	88	19	2	6	38	41	89	3	2	0.226	0.302	0.329
Zinter, Alan	380	53	86	17	2	15	50	52	128	1	1	0.228	0.325	0.399
Lopez, Mendy	603	76	154	31	4	17	75	45	120	4	3	0.255	0.309	0.402
Merced, Orlando	593	82	160	32	3	19	81	55	82	3	3	0.271	0.335	0.433
Ramirez, Omar	586	82	149	27	5	6	55	62	109	19	7	0.255	0.329	0.352

Notes:

Enron boosts the above homer totals, but remember Enron, at least last year anyway, is not the second coming of Coors Field. The Astros actually do have a bunch of firepower if it stays healthy.
Lance Berkman's projection looks low to me, but that's why I run the numbers I guess.
Aaron McNeal disappeared off BA's Top 10 list for the Astros and I think that's a bit premature.
Joliet Jeff Reed gets to go to another camp and I wish him all the best.
If the Astros think they need a bat off the bench, don't rule out a reappearance of Orlando Merced.

Vörös McCracken
voros@daruma.co.jp
March 1, 2001