VÖRÖS' BASEBALL ANALYSIS PAGE

2001 PLAYER PROJECTIONS

Starters	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Blanco, Henry	385	33	93	22	2	10	31	47	76	2	1	0.241	0.327	0.381
Sexson, Richie	590	93	158	29	4	36	108	58	155	3	2	0.268	0.337	0.512
Belliard, Ronnie	571	86	156	33	6	11	67	77	86	10	5	0.274	0.364	0.409
Hernandez, Jose	590	81	147	26	3	22	81	58	168	6	4	0.249	0.319	0.417
Loretta, Mark	588	77	168	34	3	10	69	60	68	4	3	0.286	0.355	0.403
Jenkins, Geoff	602	99	172	38	4	35	114	46	144	10	5	0.286	0.340	0.540
Hammonds, Jeffrey	583	92	165	30	3	23	88	65	116	13	6	0.283	0.358	0.461
Burnitz, Jeromy	555	97	143	28	2	34	102	93	136	6	4	0.257	0.366	0.499

Reserves	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Casanova, Raul	394	51	96	19	2	13	52	38	77	2	2	0.244	0.314	0.404
Houston, Tyler	598	84	151	25	3	29	94	50	145	4	3	0.253	0.314	0.452
Lopez, Luis	600	75	155	31	3	15	73	48	119	5	3	0.258	0.316	0.394
Collier, Lou	577	79	145	27	5	10	60	71	127	10	5	0.251	0.337	0.367
Echevarria, Angel	599	76	158	31	3	17	77	49	111	2	2	0.265	0.324	0.409
White, Devon	598	83	157	28	2	19	79	50	113	15	6	0.262	0.321	0.408

Prospects	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Ernster, Mark	581	81	144	27	3	14	66	67	122	14	6	0.248	0.328	0.375
Pickler, Jeff	593	78	157	26	3	4	54	55	85	20	7	0.265	0.331	0.340
Jacobson, Bucky	577	82	139	25	3	22	79	71	142	6	4	0.240	0.326	0.408
Moon, Brian	391	44	88	18	2	4	34	41	64	3	2	0.226	0.302	0.314
Cesar, Dionys	600	69	145	28	4	8	57	48	112	8	4	0.241	0.301	0.339
Scutaro, Marcus	584	78	151	29	4	9	61	64	91	13	6	0.258	0.334	0.365

Longshots	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
Cancel, Robinson	394	52	100	19	2	8	45	38	85	9	4	0.254	0.323	0.374
Gubanich, Creighton	398	49	97	21	1	13	54	34	112	1	1	0.243	0.305	0.403
Coolbaugh, Mike	582	78	136	31	2	20	78	66	166	5	3	0.234	0.315	0.396
Brown, Brant	597	82	144	28	5	24	83	51	182	7	4	0.240	0.303	0.424
Lesher, Brian	582	81	149	32	3	19	80	66	141	5	3	0.256	0.334	0.420
McDonald, Jason	567	83	134	25	3	12	61	81	144	17	7	0.236	0.335	0.356
Mouton, James	568	90	141	27	4	10	60	80	134	28	9	0.249	0.344	0.363
Sweeney, Mark	564	83	155	31	3	15	73	84	103	3	2	0.275	0.372	0.419
Franklin, Micah	565	89	140	29	2	26	89	83	145	7	4	0.248	0.348	0.447

Notes:

Miller park rated as neutral.
The Brewers offense has a little pop, but aren't quite there in reaching base. They aren't particularly young either.
That 15 homers from Luis Lopez leapt off the page at me, but he hit 6 in a tough homer park last year in a third of that playing time, and doesn't have tons of data to go on. Probably a bit high, but I'm not sure it's anything to get overly concerned over for now. .258/.316/.394 is still nothing to shout about.
The Ernster projection is a little weird too, but he's young and I suppose that could help a few deficiencies. Not enough data for a projection, really, but the Brewers are light on prospects so...
The Brewers NRIs are, all and all, a better crop of players than the players currently slated to be reserves.

Vörös McCracken
voros@daruma.co.jp
March 1, 2001