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Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Teams blast past their international pools but don’t blast past their First-Year Player Draft. Why? Although I can see how making the international pools higher could be a fix, I bet losing draft picks in the First-Year Draft besides losing future international pools would be an effective drag on international spending without introducing disincentives for international trainers.
Raising the bonus pools to $12 million each creates a bigger opportunity cost for teams that exceed their pool. If ...
Posted: November 23, 2016 at 06:32 AM | 0 comment(s)
Tuesday, November 22, 2016
“The greatest thing about baseball, perhaps, is its history. In nearly 150 years of play in leagues and informal competition that goes back further, many people have made baseball’s history what it is today.
“It’s not just players, but top executives, media members and even Supreme Court jurists helping craft baseball’s story….
“40. Theo Epstein…
“1. Babe Ruth”
Baseball’s streak of 21 consecutive years of labor peace is in jeopardy.
The owners will consider voting to lock out the players if the two sides cannot reach a new collective-bargaining agreement by the time the current deal expires on Dec. 1, according to sources with knowledge of the discussions.
A lockout would put baseball’s business on hold, delaying free-agent signings and trades until a new agreement is reached. The winter meetings, a joint venture between the majors and minors ...
Pittsburgh Press, November 22, 1916:
Bill Hanna has figured out that such evidence as is found in results obtained from figuring the run producing capabilities of the different National league teams in relation to base stealing and sacrifice hitting as contributory factors shows that sacrificing does more to promote scoring than the base stealing method. The Phillies, more industrious exponents of the sacrifice hit than the Giants, made more runs in proportion to hits than the Giants, who were ...
Within the industry, there is a growing sense the star outfielder will command a five-year deal, which would leave the Mets facing a major decision on their immediate future.
As it stands, the Mets are likely committed to signing the 31-year-old if a four-year contract in the $100 million-to-$110 million neighborhood can be hammered out, according to an industry source, but there is less clarity on the matter when an additional year — which could push the value of a deal beyond $130 million ...
Posted: November 22, 2016 at 09:35 AM | 8 comment(s)
When Statcast defensive numbers become available, I expect a real shift in the defensive metrics. Even when that happens, though, the numbers will be better, but they still won’t be perfect. Those who expect perfection, both then and now, have unrealistic exceptions.
What I’m saying here is that while the defensive adjustments seem shaky and unpersuasive, the stark final WAR number — 6.6 to 5.0 WAR — is there in your face. I don’t know how many people voted for Verlander because of ...
Posted: November 22, 2016 at 08:17 AM | 58 comment(s)
cy young award
For many fans, even hardcore Baseball America prospect watchers, those players who hit the minor league free agent market are simply names on a computer screen. So in this piece I will attempt to add context to those names, with a focus on younger free agents. To do this I determined league percentile ranks for major component statistics—where higher is always better—for all 534 minor league free agents in this year’s pool and ranked them accordingly.
Posted: November 22, 2016 at 08:11 AM | 2 comment(s)
Monday, November 21, 2016
Pick a team, any high-profile team — the Nationals, the Red Sox, the Giants, the Cardinals, the Cubs. It’s fun to think about Trout with any of those clubs — unless, of course, you are an Angels fan who relishes watching him every day.
Yet, as long as Trout stays in Anaheim, he will not be fully appreciated by the general public as the modern Mantle. He will not even be as famous as a certain Mickey in his county, the one who resides at Disneyland, last name Mouse.
Trout’s contract ...
The following are players who should rank near the top of teams’ preference lists heading into the Rule 5 draft regardless of position.
Yimmi Brasoban, rhp, Padres: Brasoban ranked 19th in the Padres system a year ago. The Padres’ system is significantly deeper this year, but it is still a surprise that San Diego left the hard-throwing righthander unprotected as he has two major league pitches (a 95-98 mph fastball and an excellent slider) and he has Double-A experience. Brasoban’s ...
Posted: November 21, 2016 at 01:07 PM | 11 comment(s)
rule 5 draft
I’m sick and tired of players like Albert Belle and Chris Truby mellowing with age!
Then there’s Belle, who seems to have mellowed considerably with age.
“I just turned 50 this year,” Belle said. “Life changes compared to when I was 25 or 30. ... I don’t have to take on the world and do everything Albert’s way, because now, it’s not about me.”...
He seemingly accomplished everything he did without steroids, once telling an interviewer, “I was just an angry black man.” Part of his ...
That day should come in 2017. The ‘17 Hall of Fame ballot was released Monday, and Rodriguez is on there for the first time. There shouldn’t be a second time.
“A no-brainer,” said former Rangers outfielder Rusty Greer, speaking for almost everybody who watched Pudge play over his 21-year career. “It’s not only a no-brainer that he gets in, but a no-brainer that he gets in on the first ballot.”
Former Rangers general manager Tom Grieve said Rodriguez “checks all the boxes” for a Hall of Fame ...
Pittsburgh Gazette Times, November 21, 1916:
President Weeghman of the Chicago Cubs left [yesterday] on a trip to St. Louis, where he announced he hoped to procure some star members of the St. Louis Nationals for his own club. Rogers Hornsby is the most desired of three players whom the Cub president will attempt to land, although his chances to obtain him, on the surface of reports, would appear very slim.
An astute move by Weeghman, attempting to acquire a 20-year-old who’s already one of the ...Read More...
The voters should be congratulated for their diligence, hard work and perceptive thinking in selecting the m.v.p.s and compiling their ballots. I suppose it’s the modern way of performing this onerous chore. Why think when you can just copy names from a list already computed elsewhere?
Why not change the name of the award from m.v.p. to W.A.R. Lord?
The point is there is more to a player’s value to his team than simple statistics. Certainly statistics play a large role in a player’s ...
Tyler Kepner with an update.
“Over the last three negotiations, we have found a framework that has served the sport very well in terms of promoting competitive balance, promoting financial stability, allowing our players to continue to earn higher and higher salaries,” he said. “And within that framework, there’s a lot of ways to turn the dials to produce adjustments and change that need to be made. And I think that framework will prove to be durable over time.”
Posted: November 21, 2016 at 06:53 AM | 0 comment(s)
I’m not sure where the problem is. If you set up a rule with a limit and have no penalty for exceeding the limit by a certain amount, the actual limit is the point where you pay no penalty.
The slotting system works. It has limited spending.
Theory 3 appears to be the most plausible, then. Teams are pushing the limits of the current Collective Bargaining Agreement’s bonus slot punishment format. There is simply not a large enough disincentive to prevent organizations from going up to that 5 ...
Posted: November 21, 2016 at 06:50 AM | 0 comment(s)
Sunday, November 20, 2016
9. Justin Verlander, RHP, Tigers — No doubt that he’s available. He’ll be 34 on Opening Day and has pitched more than 2,300 career innings, but what a competitor to stick in the middle of your rotation. Possible destinations: Cubs, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Yankees, Angels, Astros, Rangers, Braves, Twins, Phillies, Marlins, Pirates, Dodgers.
Posted: November 20, 2016 at 07:19 AM | 3 comment(s)
Saturday, November 19, 2016
The order from the bosses: Make one trade for every team. Done. I had to rewrite this whole thing, though, because I had the Yankees trading Brian McCann to the Astros, and then it really happened. You should have seen some of the deals I had in the original piece.
Chicago White Sox trade LHP Chris Sale and RHP David Robertson to the Los Angeles Dodgers for OF Yasiel Puig, RHP Jose De Leon, RHP Yadier Alvarez, and OF Alex Verdugo.
OK, let’s start with a blockbuster. The White Sox have the ...
The Cardinals had a few problems last season, and among them was unreliable relief pitching. As a means toward addressing that, they’ve given free-agent lefty Brett Cecil a four-year contract, worth $30.5 million. It also has a full no-trade clause! Very clearly, Cecil didn’t come cheap. A number of teams expressed a willingness to guarantee Cecil three years, so the Cardinals stepped up and went one extra.
Posted: November 19, 2016 at 03:32 PM | 29 comment(s)
All about Moncada.
I totally believe Yoan Moncada will realize his offensive upside. He has the tools and the physicality to bust open a ball game with one swing of the bat.
I believe his defense will continue to improve, and it remains possible a full-time defensive position will be determined. However, the Red Sox have the luxury of using Moncada as a designated hitter. With the departure of David Ortiz, Moncada could slip nicely into that role. It may not happen when the team ...
I buy the book every year and have never been disappointed. If you aren’t a Kindle buyer, you can buy the book today.
Posted: November 19, 2016 at 12:20 PM | 1 comment(s)
Has Gonsalves really moved ahead of Berrios?
Left-handed starting pitcher—Stephen Gonsalves, Fort Myers (11 games, 11 starts), Chattanooga (13 games, 13 starts): The 6-foot-5 southpaw followed a breakout season with an equally impressive 2016, holding opponents to a .179 average over 140 innings across two levels and going 13-5 with a 2.06 ERA.
“I think he’s progressing,” said Lookouts pitching coach Ivan Arteaga, who also worked with Gonsalves at Cedar Rapids in 2014 and Fort Myers in 2015 and ...
Posted: November 19, 2016 at 08:58 AM | 1 comment(s)
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