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Tuesday, January 19, 2016

The State of Analytics Within MLB | FanGraphs Baseball

For teams building departments, the duties of analytics can remain highly conflated and ambiguous. Speaking in generalities, there are three fields within sabermetrics, which have some overlap with one another:

— Data Scientists: Those who manage and manipulate data for the purpose of divining relationships, seeking evidence, and optimizing behavior. Pitch sequencing studies, defensive positioning strategies, and catcher/pitcher stolen base credit allocation are some examples of projects ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: January 19, 2016 at 06:42 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: sabermetrics

Monday, January 18, 2016

Japan Times: Aoki eyes big impact on return to American League

It’s always good to have goals.

Outfielder Norichika Aoki said Sunday he wants to return to the American League with a bang this year.

“I want to win an individual title this year, either a batting or stolen base crown,” the 34-year-old Aoki said after training in Tokyo.

 

vortex of dissipation Posted: January 18, 2016 at 10:58 PM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: boundless optimism, japan, mariners

Justin Upton, Detroit Tigers agree to six-year deal

Detroit Tigers owner Mike Ilitch, who craves star players and refuses to let money stand in the way of being a World Series contender, agreed to terms with free-agent outfielder Justin Upton on a six-year contract Monday night, a person directly involved with the negotiations told USA TODAY Sports.

The person spoke only on the condition of anonymity since the deal won’t become official until Upton passes his physical.

The Tigers, who informed everyone the past six weeks that they no longer ...

Read More...
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 18, 2016 at 09:44 PM | 57 comment(s)
  Beats: justin upton, tigers

Rangers-to-Dallas talk just more hot air

By nearly all accounts, Globe Life Park — née The Ballpark in Arlington — has aged both masterfully and gracefully since its opening 22 years ago.

A sturdy red brick facade. Great sightlines. Nachos by the barrel. Two World Series appearances.

The Texas Rangers have a handsome, still-viable home.

But when a good city loses one of its sports teams, as St. Louis did this past week, it only makes sense to check the fine print on your team’s stadium lease.

April 2024 — that’s when ...

Read More...
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 18, 2016 at 06:37 PM | 13 comment(s)
  Beats: dallas, rangers, relocation

OTP - 2016 January 18: MLB opens D.C. office

Major League Baseball, which has lobbied before, has now opened a Washington office

Bitter Mouse, Space Tyrant Posted: January 18, 2016 at 05:53 PM | 2025 comment(s)
  Beats: politics

‘God Bless Baseball’ brings the sport that unites us to the stage

If you haven’t guessed by now, Okada’s play is not particularly straightforward. Possible Ichiro arrives to teach baseball to three people who don’t know anything about the sport. Because this is not the movie “Summer Catch,” there’s another layer here— baseball serves as the metaphor for Japan and South Korea’s relationship with the U.S.
To answer your first question, no, there are no bat flips. But abstract movement rules the play, turning the things we see on the diamond into balletic ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 18, 2016 at 10:32 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: japanese baseball, theater

School of Roch: What does the Davis signing mean to Walker and Mancini?

At best Christian Walker and Trey Mancini look like second-division starters. More than likely they will just be role players or players on the AAA/MLB shuttle.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 18, 2016 at 08:58 AM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: orioles, prospects

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-18-2016

Washington Herald, January 18, 1916:

AMERICAN LEAGUE MANAGERS LAUGH AT MACK’S THREAT TO REPEAT THIS SEASON

Mack’s Pennant Talk Considered Big Joke

Connie Mack’s threat that he will give Philadelphia a winning ball club in 1917, and will start ripping things up during the middle of the coming season, is taken with a grain of salt and a large series of snorts by almost every manager in the American League.
...
The dope about the Athletics from those who are on the inside is to the effect that ...

Read More...
Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: January 18, 2016 at 08:19 AM | 27 comment(s)
  Beats: athletics, connie mack, dugout, history

Cards seek more power from Moss, Adams : Sports

Who doesn’t want to be more streamlined?

A more streamlined Adams, though, won’t necessarily be an Adams getting more infield hits, especially against infield shifts. “I can probably tell you I’m not going to try bunting,” he said, laughing.

“I got one down out of six tries and the other five went into the visiting dugout,” Adams said. “So I’m going to scratch that, I think.”

When someone remarked about the leaner look, Adams referenced the jacket he was wearing. “I found ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: January 18, 2016 at 07:51 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: brandon moss, cardinals, matt adams

How to Survive Until Spring Training – The Hardball Times

My simulation league helps bridge the gap. Scouting for the free agent auction occupies my early off-season; playing games occupies me now. Otherwise, I’d be climbing the walls.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 18, 2016 at 07:36 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: offseason

Jays must show commitment to free agents-to-be: Griffin | Toronto Star

Will the Blue Jays sign both Bautista or Encarnacion? I don’t see it.

When he was still in charge, Anthopoulos indicated he would be interested in extending key players like Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion. He had an obsessive desire to win, as he showed in dealing 13 prospects last summer for a chance to win the 2015 World Series. Ownership hasn’t shown the same will.

Free agency will be a big issue. The eight pending free agents at the end of 2016 include Bautista, Encarnacion, Michael ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: January 18, 2016 at 07:27 AM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays

DeWitt gives views of hacking episode : Sports

Those concerned about the potential precedent the Cardinals’ hacking of the Houston Astros established received Chairman Bill DeWitt Jr.’s answer during a wide-ranging interview at Winter Warm-Up on Sunday.

He used the phrases “outlier”, “rogue element” and “one-off situation” when referring to the federal investigation that stems from former Cardinals scouting director Chris Correa, who earlier this month pleaded guilty to five counts of illegal entry into a protected database ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: January 18, 2016 at 06:13 AM | 33 comment(s)
  Beats: astros, cardinals

Strat-O-Matic Builds Out Its Digital Game Roster - The New York Times

A new real-time projection set is in the works.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 18, 2016 at 06:11 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: simulations, strat-o-matic

Guilty plea just the beginning in Astros hacking case - Houston Chronicle

Federal judges have recommended - but not mandatory - sentencing guidelines to follow on a points system. The amount of loss greatly increases the number of points - and therefore, likely prison time.

To Toren, that may explain how the plea agreement came together.

“They don’t want to include the full amount of damages or loss,” he said. “Since he pleaded guilty, the only way he may have pled guilty, they don’t want to have to send him to jail for 50 years. Because that is a lot of loss.

...
Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: January 18, 2016 at 05:39 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: astros, cardinals

Sunday, January 17, 2016

Nick Cafardo: Would a shorter Major League Baseball season work? - The Boston Globe

The Globe’s Sunday notes.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 17, 2016 at 09:53 AM | 43 comment(s)
  Beats: notes

Sunday Notes: Orioles Analytics, Kyle Freeland, Expos, more | FanGraphs Baseball

David Laurila’s latest.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 17, 2016 at 09:43 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: notes

High School Draftees Permitted To Have Agent - BaseballAmerica.com

I guess they won’t need advisers any longer.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 17, 2016 at 08:44 AM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: draft

Saturday, January 16, 2016

Cardinals GM says support is increasing for DH in National League

I have heard that having the pitcher hit creates more strategy. Yaaaawwwwwn.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 16, 2016 at 08:45 PM | 189 comment(s)
  Beats: rules of the game

Royals sign Ian Kennedy to five-year, $70 million contract

How can teams compete with big money clubs like the Royals?

The Royals have signed right-handed starting pitcher Ian Kennedy to a five-year contract worth $70 million, according to Jon Heyman. Ken Rosenthal reports Kennedy can opt out of the contract after two years.

Kennedy is a 31-year old right-handed pitcher who has won 75 games in parts of nine Major Leagues seasons with the Yankees, Diamondbacks, and Padres. He was 9-15 with a 4.28 ERA and 4.51 FIP with 0.8 fWAR last season, but was a ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 16, 2016 at 09:19 AM | 72 comment(s)
  Beats: ian kennedy, royals

Javier Baez embracing switch to center field | MLB.com

What are the Cubs planning?

Jim Furtado Posted: January 16, 2016 at 08:36 AM | 26 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, javier baez

Jon Heyman Breaks Two Big Signs

Big contracts for Ian Kennedy and Chris Davis. Davis back to the Orioles.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 16, 2016 at 08:31 AM | 97 comment(s)
  Beats: chris davis, free agents, ian kennedy

Jake Arrieta and Cubs Have Biggest Gap in Arbitration - The New York Times

MLB Trade Rumors projected Arrieta at $10.4 million.

After going 22-6 and helping the Cubs reach the NL Championship Series, Arrieta asked Friday for a raise from $3.63 million to $13 million. Chicago offered $7.5 million, leaving the sides $5.5 million apart.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 16, 2016 at 08:01 AM | 30 comment(s)
  Beats: arbitration, cubs, jake arrieta

red sox - Dustin Pedroia has no use for defensive metrics, or another season like last one - WEEI | Rob Bradford

Some good points by Pedroia. Of course, the defensive numbers aren’t perfect. Despite this quote, if you read the rest of the article, it’s clear he knows there is some truth in the numbers.

To be honest with you, I don’t read into defensive metric stuff because that’s not what I believe in defensively,” he said. “If you’re in the middle of the field, you have to know what pitch is going to try and be executed and it’s my job to try and position myself. If the hitter stays inside the ball, and ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: January 16, 2016 at 07:52 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: dustin pedroia, red sox

The Physics of Broken-Bat Homers – The Hardball Times

Good stuff.

The ball doesn’t even know or really care that it broke the bat. It behaves just as if the bat didn’t break and flies off without a care in the world. However, a ball directly responsible for breaking the bat near the handle slinks off as if it has a guilty conscience.

So, next time you see a broken bat result in a weak dribbler, check out the replay. It will most likely show the batter hit an inside pitch near the handle. On the other hand, if you’re lucky enough to see a ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: January 16, 2016 at 07:45 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: science

Friday, January 15, 2016

Chaz Scoggins on his HOF Vote for David Eckstein

1. HOF voters are supposed to vote for players to induct into the Hall of Fame.
2. Chaz Scoggins is a HOF voter.
3. Chaz Scoggins himself admits that David Eckstein is not a Hall of Famer.
4. Chaz Scoggins voted for David Eckstein.

This reminds me of some of the logic problems we were assigned to solve back in the 6th grade…

TJ Posted: January 15, 2016 at 04:00 PM | 24 comment(s)
  Beats: hall of fame

A Modest Proposal: Making Second Base Optional

Instead, we should make second base optional. Let runners make the decision for themselves after reaching first. They can travel the 90 feet from first base to second base, or they can live a little, take a chance for once in their lives, and go straight across. The distance from first base to third base is 127 feet. That’s an additional 37 feet — or, if you prefer percentages, 141% of the regular 90-foot distance between bases. Also, there’s the pitcher’s mound to negotiate, a lump of ...

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Davo's Favorite Tacos Are Moose Tacos Posted: January 15, 2016 at 02:54 PM | 20 comment(s)
  Beats: silly-season

High School Draftees Permitted To Have Agent

High school players who are drafted will now be allowed to have an agent negotiate for them with major league clubs before enrolling in college without affecting their NCAA eligibility, following a vote Friday at the NCAA Convention.

A proposal that was sponsored by the Big 12 Conference as a part of the process the Power Five conferences have to autonomously adopt legislation easily passed by a vote of 75-2 with three abstentions. The rule goes into effect immediately for the Atlantic Coast ...

Read More...
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 15, 2016 at 11:22 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: agents, amateurs, draft

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-15-2016

Toledo News-Bee, January 15, 1916:

Baseball on ice is a reality and a peach of a game.
...
About the only difference in rules for the ice contest and summer ball concern the size of the bat and ball…the bat being thinner than the regular baseball bat and the ball larger and softer.
...
More bases are stolen in the ice game and outfielders cover more ground because players can move faster.

There is a lot of hitting because infielders are liable to be a little slower in starting for ground-hit ...

Read More...
Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: January 15, 2016 at 08:13 AM | 21 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

Sabermetrics Is Killing Bad Dugout Decisions | FiveThirtyEight

MLBAM’s records claim that the 2015 Boston Red Sox were the first team to play a full season without a single pitchout. Red Sox manager John Farrell disputed that stat, saying that the Sox threw three, according to the team’s internal numbers. But he acknowledged that Boston downplays the pitchout, although the coaching staff’s philosophy wasn’t dictated by a front-office study. “We try to put it in the hands of the pitcher and the catcher,” Farrell said. “So, varying our hold ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: January 15, 2016 at 07:17 AM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: sabermetrics

Brewers optimistic but realistic on 2016 ticket sales

Don’t worry. The longer the rebuild takes, the more fans will stop purchasing tickets.

“Obviously, after a very disappointing 2015 season, we budgeted for a decline in season tickets and a lower renewal rate,” said Brewers chief operating officer Rick Schlesinger. “It has been better than what we originally forecast. Right now, we’re about 7% behind last year’s pace, which isn’t bad.

“With other teams in similar situations, you’re looking at double-digit declines. So, we’re satisfied that it’s ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: January 15, 2016 at 06:44 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: brewers

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