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Wednesday, January 11, 2017

Jose Bautista is waiting, and it’s costing him money - Beyond the Box Score

This doesn’t suggest an optimistic outcome.

The results fit the narrative, largely. In sum, this group signed for 20% less than projected, a bigger negative gap than the crowd has tended to display on all free agents collectively. The crowd did a remarkably good job of predicting the high-end free agents in the aggregate, with some big misses in both directions balancing each other out. When compared to the pool of free agents as a whole, where the high-end free agents beat their projected ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2017 at 09:28 AM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents

2016 Platoon Advantage | Exploring Baseball Data with R

Some interesting research on platoons.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2017 at 09:14 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: sabermetrics

MLB Now: Bill James Segment

Great MLB Now show yesterday with a great panel. I liked the Bill James segment, particularly this exchange. The ephemeral nature of value for players is often lost on public analysts. IMHO, one of the next big things for sites like Fangraphs and Baseball Prospectus would be adding a real-time value for players which incorporates factors like injuries and scouting-type reports for all major league and minor league players. Teams like the Astros and Cardinals already employ such systems. ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2017 at 09:00 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: analysis, player evaluation

Yankees, Masahiro Tanaka have not discussed contract extension - NY Daily News

“We have a significant contract with Masahiro Tanaka,” Cashman said Tuesday night at the opening of Orangetheory Fitness in Manhattan. “Hopefully he has a great year, and then he’ll have a decision to make. If he doesn’t, then he won’t. I think he pitched like a Cy Young award candidate last year, and I certainly hope he does so again this year. But at this point we’ve had no discussions internally to pursue any kind of extension.”

Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2017 at 08:28 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: masahiro tanaka, yankees


Here’s hoping there’s more roster moves to come from Mariners GM Jerry Dipoto | The Seattle Times

Maybe for regular fans, not to us. (And that’s not the royal we.)

That’s the optimistic way to look at the additions of outfielder Jarrod Dyson and pitcher Yovani Gallardo, on top of the offseason acquisitions of infielder/outfielder Danny Valencia, left-handed reliever Marc Rzepczynski, catcher Carlos Ruiz, outfielder Mitch Haniger and right-handed starters Rob Whalen and Max Povse.

Nothing too sexy — some of those names might not even ring a bell — but, at least theoretically, they’ve ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2017 at 07:13 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: jerry dipoto, mariners

David Ortiz Reportedly Hasn’t Expressed Interest In World Baseball Classic | Boston Red Sox | NESN.com

Dear Red Sox fans,

He’s not coming back.

Your friend,

Jim

It seems David Ortiz is enjoying his retirement. The former Boston Red Sox designated hitter has been appearing in a multitude of commercials, and despite his cliffhanger tweet Monday night, it appears he’s not planning on returning to the diamond. Not even to play for his home country.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2017 at 07:11 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: david ortiz, red sox

Luis Robert Leaves Cuba, With Clock Ticking Before New Rules Begin | BaseballAmerica.com

Luis Robert, one of Cuba’s best young prospects, is out of the country. Due to Major League Baseball’s new international rules, the timing of when Robert gets cleared to sign will have significant ramifications on how much he will get paid and which teams will be able to sign him.
...
But if Robert isn’t cleared to sign by June 15, he will be subject to the more restrictive hard cap of the new international signing rules. After June 15, there is a two-week “closed period” in which no ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2017 at 07:02 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: cuban free agents, luis robert

Wally Backman: Sandy Alderson is ‘not an honest man’; feels betrayed by Mets | MLB | Sporting News

Wally, Wally, Wally. This talk won’t help you.

“There’s been a bad roadblock, and I know where it’s coming from,” Backman said in a phone interview with NorthJersey.com’s Bob Klapisch. “In the last phone call I had with Sandy he said, ‘I will do anything I can to help you.’ But he is not an honest man. People are telling me, ‘Sandy has it in for you. You’re being blackballed.’

“I’ve talked to several teams, and every one of them has said, ‘You’re overqualified.’ How can you be ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2017 at 06:59 AM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: wally backman

Bradley Zimmer could make Indians’ OD roster | MLB.com

“Is he the best option?” does not sound like an ringing endorsement.

Cleveland’s financial resources appear to be tapped out for major additions, but the team could still use help for the outfield. Maybe that will lend itself to this bold prediction: Top prospect Bradley Zimmer will make the Opening Day roster.

“There may be an opportunity for Bradley at some point,” Chris Antonetti, the Indians’ president of baseball operations, said last week. “The question is, ‘Is he the best option for us, ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2017 at 06:35 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: bradley zimmer, indians

Oakland reportedly signs Trevor Plouffe | MLB.com

No dollar figures.

The 30-year-old infielder has come to terms on a deal with Oakland, pending a physical, according to FOX Sports’ Ken Rosenthal.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2017 at 06:33 AM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: athletics, free agents, trevor plouffe

White Sox top prospect Yoan Moncada has own ‘expectations’ after Chris Sale trade | CSN Chicago

“I also have expectations about myself because of the trade,” Moncada said through an interpreter. “This team gave up a lot to get me. I feel very humbled for this opportunity. I expect to be a big part of this team in the future and to help this team to win so many games and to win a World Series. That’s my goal and that’s the mindset that every one of us have to have.”

Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2017 at 06:31 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: white sox, yoan moncada

Rumors And Rumblings: GM Moore Making Best Of Royals’ Situation

The Royals have traded two of their would-be free agents, shipping closer Wade Davis to the Chicago Cubs for outfielder Jorge Soler during the Winter Meetings last month then dealing outfielder Jarrod Dyson to the Seattle Mariners for right-hander Nate Karns last Friday.

Soler and Karns are not sure things, but both have a certain amount of upside.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2017 at 06:24 AM | 22 comment(s)
  Beats: notes, royals

Nate Karns and Useful Spin | FanGraphs Baseball

Nate Karns under the Enoscope.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2017 at 06:18 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: nate karns, pitchfx, sabermetrics

Tuesday, January 10, 2017

2017 Prospect Projections: American League East rookies | MiLB.com

Standing 6-foot-7 and weighing 255 pounds, Aaron Judge probably has a tough time fitting into most crowds. This spring, however, the 24-year-old outfielder is hoping to do just that in what could be a crowded Yankees outfield.

This is the first in a six-part series using FanGraphs’ Steamer600 projections to look at how hopeful rookies and other prospects would fare if given full Major League seasons in 2017. Steamer600 derives the numerical portion of its name from the allotment of 600 plate ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 10, 2017 at 09:47 PM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: minor leagues, projections

Minor league umpires get hotel upgrade, family leave, raises

The minimum monthly salary for rookie and short-season Class A umpires, which had started at $1,900 under the previous five-year agreement, will rise to $2,000 under the new deal and increase to as much as $2,300 for a fourth-year umpire.

For full-season Class A, the minimum rises from $2,000 to $2,100 and increases to $2,600 by a seventh season. At Double-A, the minimum goes up from $2,300 to $2,500 and rises to $3,100 by a ninth season. At Triple-A, it goes up from $2,600 to $2,900 and rises ...

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Davo's Favorite Tacos Are Moose Tacos Posted: January 10, 2017 at 12:28 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: labor relations, umpires

Grading the projections: 2016

ZiPS didn’t have a good year. ZiPS was the least accurate of the three systems in each of the five categories, and never by a particularly small margin. You don’t want to conclude too much based on a single season of results, but ZiPS didn’t perform very well in last year’s review, either. (I should also note that this is Steamer’s second straight year of leading the pack in convincing fashion.)

Marcel does its job. Marcel wasn’t great, but it was almost always in the neighborhood ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 10, 2017 at 11:34 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: marcel, pecota, steamer, zips

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-10-2017

Topeka State Journal, January 10, 1917:

Joe Wood’s claim that he is a free agent, under the operation of the reserve clause in his contract, since he signed no contract last year, may furnish an interesting test of the theory advanced by the lawyers of organized ball in the famous suit before Judge Landis. The Boston club claims Wood under reserve and says he will be sent a contract, whereupon Wood, if reports are correct, will repudiate it and demand his unconditional release.

The Sox sold ...

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Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: January 10, 2017 at 10:15 AM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history, joe wood, reserve clause

The Selig Years, Part Three: Baseball’s Current Position

MLB is an increasingly dominant hegemon on the American and the global baseball scene. That hegemony affects almost every pitch that is thrown in the United States, from youth baseball all the way up to the World Series. It is a product of a confluence of events largely outside the realm of baseball, including such developments as the civil rights movement and population shifts following World War II. MLB’s domination of the sport was not inevitable, but that is what has happened over the ...

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gehrig97 Posted: January 10, 2017 at 09:27 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: japanese baseball, major league, minor leagues, nba, nfl, rob manfred, selig, wbc

Twins haggling with Dodgers over potential Brian Dozier trade | FOX Sports

The never-ending trade discussion.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 10, 2017 at 06:38 AM | 26 comment(s)
  Beats: brian dozier, dodgers, notes, twins

Monday, January 09, 2017


Where will the Yankees play Gleyber Torres? | MLB.com

Bryan Hoch thinks Torres will end up at second base.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2017 at 09:39 PM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: gleyber torres, yankees

Manager Pat Kelly fired by Licey after reliever gaffe in Dominican winter league

No, no, no, I was waving to someone in the stands.

There was no relief for a manager in the Dominican winter baseball league who signaled for a relief pitcher when nobody was warming up.

Manager Pat Kelly, whose animated arguments with umpires have made for popular YouTube videos, was fired by Licey on Friday, a day after his gaffe in a game against big rival Aguilas.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2017 at 09:29 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: dominican baseball

Minors, umpires union reach agreement | MiLB.com

Minor League Baseball announced today that Minor League Baseball Umpire Development, one of its subsidiaries, has reached a five-year collective bargaining agreement with the Association of Minor League Umpires (AMLU).

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2017 at 09:28 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: minor leagues, umpires

The Mariners finally are close to the team their GM envisioned

Ken Rosenthal breaks down the Mariners off-season.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2017 at 08:09 PM | 28 comment(s)
  Beats: jerry dipoto, mariners

Clickhole: The Greatest Of All Time: A Statistical Portrait Of Babe Ruth

Really makes you think.

Ruth began his career as a pitcher for the Boston Red Sox, where he was arguably one of the greatest pitchers of his generation. The retired, dead baseball player Yogi Berra once said, “Babe Ruth is good at pitching.” This is correct. Babe Ruth was an extraordinary pitcher. At a time when most pitchers were throwing their pitches in the wrong direction, such as over the outfield wall or directly at their own head, Babe Ruth became known for throwing his pitches in ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 09, 2017 at 03:24 PM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: babe ruth, clickbait, stats

Former Rangers pitcher, coach Jackie Brown has died

Brown was the Rangers’ pitching coach for managers Pat Corrales, Don Zimmer and Darrell Johnson from 1979-82. He also coached for the White Sox (1992-95) and Rays (2002).

Taps Posted: January 09, 2017 at 03:15 PM | 20 comment(s)
  Beats: chicago white sox, tampa bay rays, texas rangers

Can New Technology Bring Baseball’s Data Revolution to Fielding? - NYTimes.com

Great article on Statcast.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2017 at 01:45 PM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: statcast

Is Home-Field Advantage Becoming Endangered? | FanGraphs Baseball

Ahmed found the minor leaguers he was studying were slightly less effective on the the road after traveling, and in returning home, because they were less likely to be at full recovery.

“There was a direct correlation between the higher your recovery and the faster your exit [batted ball] velocity. We found the same correlation with pitchers and fastballs,” Ahmed said. “I didn’t know for sure we were going to see such strong correlations with travel, recovery and performance. Those ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2017 at 11:18 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: home field advantage, sabermetrics

Q&A: Former scout Johnson on discovering Pudge

MLB.com: How did you come across Rodriguez?
Johnson: We were going down to the Latin countries. Melvin Nieves was the hot prospect in Puerto Rico, so we were going to work him out and then to go the Virgin Islands to see Midre Cummings, who was another hot item. Our Latin scout, Luis Rosa, had 11 or 13 guys at the workout in Puerto Rico. After awhile, I’m in the dugout, talking with Nieves, and [scout] Doug Gassaway comes running in from the outfield, yelling, ‘That little guy just threw 93 ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2017 at 11:11 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: ivan rodriguez, scouts

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