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Monday, June 12, 2017

WaPo: Fancy Stats: Today’s Yankees Are A Modern-Day Murderers’ Row

The Yankees have 14 games in which they hit three or more home runs this season, the most in franchise history over the first 60 games of the season. And this year’s squad also has three five-homer games in 2017, the most in the majors. This season, the Yankees have 102 home runs in 60 games, putting them on pace for 275 home runs over a 162-game season, which, if sustained, would eclipse the major league record set by the 1997 Seattle Mariners (264). The most ever by the Yankees was in 2012 ...

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Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 6-12-2017

Washington Times, June 12, 1917:

Kenneth Williams, who is starring in the outfield for the Portland, Ore., team in the Pacific Coast League, has been purchased by the Browns, and will be tried out next spring.

That worked out pretty well for the Browns.

Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: June 12, 2017 at 10:25 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

Give Baseball Scouts a (Perfect) 80 for Tradition

“Eighty you’re a franchise player, 20 you’re nothing and 50 you’re average,” said Detroit Tigers General Manager Al Avila, the son of a scout and the father of a major-league catcher. “It’s always been that way.”

And if it hasn’t, there may be no one alive who remembers otherwise. Art Stewart, a senior adviser to Moore with the Royals, is 90 years old, born on Babe Ruth’s birthday in 1927. Stewart took his first scouting job with the Yankees in the early 1950s, when a ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: June 12, 2017 at 09:50 AM | 59 comment(s)
  Beats: branch rickey, draft, scouting

Aaron Judge hits MLB’s longest HR in 2017 | MLB.com

Wow!

Jim Furtado Posted: June 12, 2017 at 09:26 AM | 44 comment(s)
  Beats: aaron judge, yankees

OTP 12 June 2017: McCain Stays Up Late to Watch Baseball

The obvious baseball/politics tie-in of the week:

Arizona Sen. John McCain is blaming his convoluted line of questioning at Thursday’s James Comey testimony on his decision to stay up late the night before to watch a baseball game.

Many on Twitter were left scratching their heads after the 80-year-old Republican senator grilled Comey during the hearing about why the FBI closed its investigation into Hillary Clinton’s use of a private email server, while continuing its probe of the Trump ...

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BDC Posted: June 12, 2017 at 06:08 AM | 1635 comment(s)
  Beats: diamondbacks, politics, why are nl west games on so late

Sunday, June 11, 2017

The Economist: Baseball’s rarest offensive achievement is about to get more common

A 43% increase in the leaguewide HR rate since 2014 corresponds to over a 3x increase in the probability of seeing at least one 4-HR game in a given season.

Mr Gennett has a much lower chance of a four-home-run game than, say, a power hitter like Giancarlo Stanton: based on their career rates, Mr Stanton would be about 6,000 times more likely to accomplish the feat. However, the gap between the best and the rest appears to be shrinking slightly. In 2014, the top five players by home-run rate ...

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David Concepcion de la Desviacion Estandar (Dan R) Posted: June 11, 2017 at 06:26 PM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: home runs


The Blernsball Problem, or a Plea For Imagination in Baseball Fiction

Yes, in Matt Groening’s fictional 31st century, baseball is dead and gone. It has been replaced by Blernsball, a tetherball-inspired, rocket-powered, Tron-plus-pinball-plus-baseball monstrosity with enough bells and whistles to keep its futuristic spectators occupied. Throughout Futurama’s run, Blernsball served as a fun way for Groening to poke at baseball and the traditionalist (read: boring) 20th-century attitudes it embodies.

As ludicrous and absurd as Blernsball is, though, it’s ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: June 11, 2017 at 12:13 PM | 19 comment(s)
  Beats: baseball in fiction, blernsball, futurama, star trek


Sunday Notes: Tigers’ Daniel Norris Channels Clayton Kershaw | FanGraphs Baseball

A lot of good stuff this week.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 11, 2017 at 11:03 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: notes

Real meaning of the motto of Amed Rosario, a Mets stud born for this | New York Post

Ken Davidoff talks with Amed Rosario.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 11, 2017 at 09:19 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: amed rosario, mets

Bautista’s heads-up baserunning | MLB.com

Classic Little League maneuver.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 11, 2017 at 08:49 AM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, jose bautista

Aaron Judge sets Statcast exit velocity record | MLB.com

Big man hits another ball very, very hard.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 11, 2017 at 08:26 AM | 37 comment(s)
  Beats: aaron judge, statcast, yankees

The Mariners Will Probably Regret Signing Jean Segura – Off The Bench

This writer is overly pessimistic. Segura looks like an average defensive player. He clearly can hit.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 11, 2017 at 08:02 AM | 26 comment(s)
  Beats: jean segura, mariners

How the Teams Have Drafted in This Millennium | FanGraphs Baseball

It would be interesting to see a comparison by groups. Are some teams better in particular parts of the draft?

If you have more questions in the comments, I’m saving this spreadsheet, so hopefully I can help. In the meantime, I don’t think I have more to say. We don’t know who’s really drafted the best, independent of all the other factors. But this accounts for how the various draft picks have turned out. Congratulations to the Red Sox, who have identified some awfully good talent. ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: June 11, 2017 at 07:51 AM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

What Amed Rosario is learning as Mets resist calling | New York Post

Is this a temperament issue with Rosario or Alderson?

Alderson, as part of a planned trip, saw the Mets’ top prospect play two games this past week at Smith’s Ballpark as the Mets Triple-A Las Vegas affiliate took on the Angels’ Salt Lake Bees. The GM’s first-hand observations meshed with what the organization already thought, as well as what most industry folks appear to think: There is little doubt Rosario could help the Mets right now if they needed him. And there also is little doubt ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: June 11, 2017 at 07:30 AM | 26 comment(s)
  Beats: amed rosario, mets

Red Sox reliever Blaine Boyer and his work to try to stop sex trafficking in overseas brothels

Nick Cafardo’s latest. He and I agree about instant reply.

2. Here’s where I stand on instant replay: My first preference would be to get rid of it altogether, but understanding that’s not realistic I’d get rid of central command in New York, and take challenges away from managers and allow umpires to review any play they deem close.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 11, 2017 at 07:19 AM | 17 comment(s)
  Beats: notes

Saturday, June 10, 2017

Jeff Samardzija has decided to stop walking batters

On April 28, Jeff Samardzija walked San Diego Padres outfielder Jabari Blash on four pitches. The first pitch looked like it caught the outside corner, then the San Francisco Giants right-hander threw two fastballs inside and one outside for ball four.

Samardzija didn’t walk another batter until May 25, when Ian Happ of the Chicago Cubs took a 3-2 fastball a little up and out of the strike zone. Between walks, Samardzija struck out 47 batters. In fact, he may even have been pitching around ...

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Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: June 10, 2017 at 09:15 PM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: jeff samardzija, walks

Rafael Devers’ bat is ready for the big leagues, but his development at third base will determine when he’s ready to make the jump - 2080 Baseball

This in an in-depth scouting report.

Defense may be the sole remaining reason that Devers is still sitting at the Double-A level. He just isn’t quite ready to be an everyday defender in the big leagues. The hope is that with more time under Febles’ tutelage, that will change.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 10, 2017 at 03:54 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: prospect reports, prospects, red sox

Washington Nationals GM Mike Rizzo says Buck Showalter, Baltimore Orioles should ‘quit whining’ about rainout

“Their GM [Dan Duquette] was nowhere to be found for three, four hours. We wanted to play the next day. They refused to play then, so the next [open] day was [Thursday]. They drove 32 miles to get there. We flew 3,000 [expletive] miles, and we beat their [behinds]. So quit your whining. Quit whining.”

Jim Furtado Posted: June 10, 2017 at 03:53 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: buck showalter, mike rizzo, nationals, orioles

Prep phenom Hunter Greene could be generational player

Who is calling him a generational talent? His agent?

No player in this year’s draft arrives with as much hype as the 17-year-old Greene. He’s a lanky 6-foot-4 and 197 pounds, but is considered by some to be a generational talent. He carries a first-round grade as a shortstop, but many predict his future will be on the mound after the right-hander fired fastballs up to 102 mph this year.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 10, 2017 at 03:34 PM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft, hunter greene, reds


NYT: Borzi: The Rays Are Playing a Traditional Doubleheader. By Choice.

The largest crowds at the original Yankee Stadium (81,841 on May 30, 1938) and Fenway Park (47,627 on Sept. 22, 1935) were for doubleheaders. The author Chris Jaffe, writing for The Hardball Times in 2010, noted the number of doubleheaders rose slightly during the Depression, spiked through World War II, then returned to prewar levels in the early 1950s.

ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick Posted: June 10, 2017 at 11:53 AM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: baseball history, doubleheaders

2017 MLB Draft prospects features and profiles | MLB.com

Top twenty.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 10, 2017 at 08:32 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

2017 Draft Buzz: What Callis, Mayo are hearing | MLB.com

My latest first-round projection is barely 12 hours old, yet I’d already like to take a mulligan on the No. 1 pick for the Twins.

Though the teams selecting behind the Twins think they’re leaning toward Vanderbilt right-hander Kyle Wright, I started hearing whispers Thursday night that Minnesota prefers Louisville two-way star Brendan McKay. That noise is getting louder Friday, and I now believe the Twins will take McKay No. 1, as a left-handed pitcher rather than a first baseman, unless ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: June 10, 2017 at 08:06 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

Amid Defensive Woes, Mets Try to Avoid Fumbling Top Prospect’s Call-Up - The New York Times

OK, the Mets are safely past the Super 2 date. Is he still not ready? Is he still not an improvement to Cabrera at shortstop? That’s a tough sell. The idea they have a “surplus of left-side infielders” is pretty funny though. That surplus is easily fixed by releasing Reyes.

Few have doubted Rosario’s ability to bring energy to a lineup. But a strong minor league track record does not guarantee instant success against better competition. And if Rosario were to be called up soon, the Mets would ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: June 10, 2017 at 08:02 AM | 73 comment(s)
  Beats: amed rosario, mets


Joon Lee on Twitter: “this is the funniest thing that will happen at a sporting event this year https://t.co/f6Yq9lErin”

Jim Furtado Posted: June 10, 2017 at 07:45 AM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: between innings

Peter Gammons: With respect to 1st rounders, winning takes a much wider collective - GammonsDaily.com

Gammons on the draft and team building.

Brendan McKay will be a Twin or Red or Ray Monday night, and eventually make his team a winner. But it won’t be McKay or Hunter Greene or Austin Beck alone; Mike Trout and Harper are generational players who have yet to experience a World Series.

Winning is about depth of talent, makeup and leadership. How all that gets put together is an exceedingly complex process that may begin with the first round of the draft, but cannot be executed without the ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: June 10, 2017 at 07:16 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

Friday, June 09, 2017

Maloney out as Cardinals reorganize coaching staff; Peralta DFA’ed

The Cardinals made several coaching changes to reassess and rethink manager Mike Matheny’s staff in the wake of a disappointing start to the season.

The Cardinals reassigned third-base coach Chris Maloney within the organization, and Mike Shildt will move from the quality control coach to the third-base coach box. Bill Mueller took a recent leave of absence, and he will not return to the same role as assistant hitting coach. Mark Budaska will take over in that role.

Ron “Pop” Warner will also ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: June 09, 2017 at 03:27 PM | 24 comment(s)
  Beats: cardinals, jhonny peralta

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