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Friday, August 14, 2015

More on Game Theory and Defensive Shifts

OK, whose job will be to man the whiteboard when the front office flunky explains the math to David Ortiz?

Despite Ortiz hypothetically succeeding 55% of the time he bunts during a shift, our mixed strategy nash equilibrium calculation shows us that he should actually swing away around 88% of time he sees the shift and only bunt in 12% of those plate appearances. That 12% would become even smaller meaning Ortiz would bunt even less if he increased his rate of bunting success.

Alright, I am ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: August 14, 2015 at 08:19 AM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: game theory, sabermetrics

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 8-14-2015

Washington Times, August 14, 1915:

The Svelte and the Plump members of the Electric Vehicle Association are scheduled to mingle this afternoon in the play-off contest for baseball supremacy.

Capt. James Orme, of the corpulent aggregation, has promised Government officials not to slide into the bases on the Monument grounds and to refrain from knocking foul balls into the observation room of the monument.

I can’t believe this was a thing. And I absolutely love the phrase “corpulent aggregation”. ...Read More...


Column: Defense no longer optional for Pirates - DK on Pittsburgh Sports

I thought the Pirates defense was good because of all the shifting that they do. :/

And hey, does that mean defense is no longer optional?

I felt compelled to ask Hurdle one-on-one afterward: Could he find a way to help this awful defense by essentially playing chess all night?

“I think there are things a manager can do, sure,” he answered. “Things obviously will get clearer when J-Hay and Jordy get back, so that’ll make a difference in that regard. But yeah, I’ll do what I have to ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: August 14, 2015 at 08:15 AM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: defense, pirates

Schwarber, Lester power Cubs to seventh straight win - ESPN Video

Rick Sutcliffe said about Schwarber, “Obviously he prefers to be at AAA catching because that’s what he prefers for his career.” I call bullshit!

Jim Furtado Posted: August 14, 2015 at 08:06 AM | 38 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, kyle schwarber

Is it time for Alex Rodriguez to take a seat? - Yankees Blog - ESPN

It seems as if there will be no rest for the weary on Friday; Price, a left-hander, is starting, and Rodriguez, a right-handed batter, will be expected to face him.

“That’s just the nature of our game,” Girardi said. “I think sometimes we can overthink it. Do I think there’s some heavy legs today? Absolutely. There’s heavy legs on both sides, but they’ve got to learn to fight through that. As long as you’re playing 162 games in 180 days, it’s not going away.”

Alex Rodriguez ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: August 14, 2015 at 08:04 AM | 34 comment(s)
  Beats: alex rodriguez, yankees

Forecasting Pitcher Platoon Splits – The Hardball Times

Not any shocking findings but interesting nonetheless.

Managers, it appears, stack their lineups with more lefties when facing right-handed pitching but pay little attention to the projected platoon split of the pitcher. The right-handed pitchers projected to have reverse splits faced roughly as many left-handed batters as the right-handed pitchers with the most extreme projected splits and dramatically more left-handed batters than the left-handed pitchers with the weakest projected splits. ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: August 14, 2015 at 07:57 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: pitchfx, pitching, sabermetrics

Early returns haven’t been good for Dodgers - True Blue LA

Break up the Dodgers front office.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 14, 2015 at 07:55 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: dodgers, trade deadline

Giants may be willing to pay luxury tax to pursue Phillies’ Utley | FOX Sports

The San Francisco Giants, seeking their fourth World Series title in six years, have crossed a new payroll boundary and might continue to add salary before the Aug. 31 deadline for setting postseason rosters.
For the first time, the Giants are in position to exceed the luxury-tax threshold, according to major-league sources. Yet, the team continues to explore trades for hitters such as Phillies second baseman Chase Utley, sources say.
The threshold, introduced in the 2003-06 ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: August 14, 2015 at 07:47 AM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, luxury tax

Rolling Stone: George R.R. Martin Goes Out to the Ballgame

Who better than Rolling Stone to report on epic fantasy?

The score was 10-1 in favor of the Staten Island Direwolves by the time he grabbed the mic and took the field, but George R.R. Martin was there to warn the boys of summer that winter could still be coming. “If they can only hold on for another couple innings,” the man behind the Game of Thrones phenomenon said, “I won’t have to kill another Stark.” The crowd roared. And when the live arctic wolf accompanying him took a dump near the third ...

Read More...
JE (Jason) Posted: August 14, 2015 at 12:34 AM | 247 comment(s)
  Beats: charity, minor league promotions

Thursday, August 13, 2015

OMNICHATTER 8-14-15

OOOOOMMMMMMNIIIICHAAATTTTEEEERRRR

Gamingboy Posted: August 13, 2015 at 11:43 PM | 185 comment(s)
  Beats: mlb, omnichatter

Braves’ pitching plan a throwback to their glory days

The Braves followed the old John Schuerholz-Paul Snyder-Bobby Cox model by focusing on athletic, “high upside” players in the June first-year player draft. They chose high school players with their first four selections, and invested 24 of their first 31 picks in pitchers. Assistant general manager John Coppolella calls the surplus of arms a “happy coincidence,” but acknowledges it is appropriate given the organization’s pitching-rich history.

“We see Max Scherzer getting $210 million on the ...

Read More...
Rickey! something like a pipe-bomb ready to blow Posted: August 13, 2015 at 08:21 PM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: braves

The WAR is over, even if Buster Olney doesn’t know it

In short, the WAR war is over. If it wasn’t over when Felix Hernandez won the 2010 Cy Young Award with a 13-12 record, it surely was last year, when Clayton Kershaw became the first National League pitcher to win the MVP since 1968 — in no small measure because his 8.0 WAR led the majors, with the closest position player in the Senior Circuit being Brewers catcher Jonathan Lucroy at 6.8. And, of course, the fact that they are on the back of the Topps baseball cards, which is as close as the ...

Read More...
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 13, 2015 at 04:24 PM | 74 comment(s)
  Beats: advanced metrics, buster olney, rbi, the sporting news, war

David Robertson pans ‘bush league’ Mike Scioscia for standing in way

Icing the closer?

Shortstop Erick Aybar struck out to lead off the ninth against Robertson. The ball was in the dirt, so White Sox catcher Tyler Flowers reached out to tag Aybar on the leg, with plate umpire Fieldin Culbreth making an out signal. Abyar kept on running to first base, though, with Flowers not making a throw after Culbreth made his out call.

Scioscia argued, ultimately challenging the ruling via replay. White Sox manager Robin Ventura questioned why there should even be a replay ...

Read More...

The Real Cardinal Way: How Cluster Luck Is Once Again Propelling St. Louis’s Astonishing Success «

The Cardinals are a real cluster luck!

Jim Furtado Posted: August 13, 2015 at 02:57 PM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: cardinals

Yankees calling up Greg Bird | MLB.com

The Yankees are making room for their future. They will promote Greg Bird, their No. 4-ranked prospect according to MLBPipeline.com, from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre on Thursday. The club has not yet announced the move.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 13, 2015 at 01:16 PM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: greg bird, yankees

Which managers are most likely to get canned? | FOX Sports

Managers on the hot seat.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 13, 2015 at 01:14 PM | 31 comment(s)
  Beats: managers

Texas Rangers will send Josh Hamilton for MRI on knee | | Dallas Morning News

Rangers outfielder Josh Hamilton, dealing with renewed soreness in his chronically sore left knee, will undergo an MRI exam on Thursday to determine if he’s dealing with something more debilitating.

Hamilton has had two surgeries on each knee and regularly receives injections of synthetic lubricating fluid to ease the strain on the knees caused by the removal of some cartilage.

“I’m not sure,” Hamilton said Thursday when asked if he was concerned. “This feels a little more ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: August 13, 2015 at 01:09 PM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: injury, josh hamilton, rangers

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 8-13-2015

Seattle Star, August 13, 1915:

Charles Bultman, a realty broker, today announced to the United Press that he is negotiating the sale ofthe Cincinnati Reds. He said Warren Carter of Pasadena, Cal., has a 10-day option on the club.

It was reported that “inside baseball” circles today that Carter is acting for the Federal league, and that the Reds will be included in the Federal circuit for 1916.

Wowsers. That would have been crazy. Obviously this didn’t happen, with the Federal League months away ...

Read More...
Commissioner Gordon Shumway (Dan Lee) Posted: August 13, 2015 at 10:20 AM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, federal league, history, reds

Rizzo climbs on tarp, into stands for catch

Amazing play by Rizzo of course, but I was surprised it was ruled a legal catch. My understanding has always been than a player can jump into the stands and catch the ball in the air, but he can’t plant his foot on the wall and then jump into the stands to make a catch.  And I’m surprised he was allowed to climb on the tarp.  At the same time, the rules (shockingly), aren’t entirely clear (see text after the jump).

Yeaarrgghhhh Posted: August 13, 2015 at 10:09 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, lawyers, rules of the game

Beyond Charboneau: The Curious Cases of Baseball Burnouts – The Hardball Times

Includes a Jason Bere reference.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 13, 2015 at 09:45 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: history

2015 High Class A Best Tools - BaseballAmerica.com

Antonio Senzatela looks like someone to keep an eye on.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 13, 2015 at 09:39 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Pirates’ sloppy fielding leads to 4-2 loss to Cardinals | Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

Gerrit Cole sounds like a good teammate.

For Cole (14-6), this one had a little extra sting. The budding ace of the Pirates staff had hoped to be the difference against the first-place Cardinals. After the game, he didn’t spend a spare word blaming his defense. The biggest mistakes, he said, were his.

“Those guys are fighting their [butt] off every night just like I am,” he said. “I don’t look at it like they let me down. … There’s no defense for balls pulled over the plate or ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: August 13, 2015 at 09:29 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: cardinals, gerrit cole, pirates, yadier molina

Comcast Sports: Should the Red Sox trade Xander Bogaerts for Matt Harvey?

On Town Fair Tire Sports Tonight, both Bob Ryan and Bob Neumeier think that shipping Bogaerts to the Big Apple in exchange for a young, Mets ace should be done, although Ryan isn’t so sure it’s Harvey the Sox should be targeting.

“I would send Bogaerts in a heartbeat for Harvey, for [Noah] Syndegaard, [Jacob] deGrom, any of the three,” declared Neumy.

I can’t even listen to this at work, but I couldn’t resist posting.  Who is the crazier fanboy here - me for thinking this is insane, ...

Read More...
Lassus Posted: August 13, 2015 at 07:42 AM | 56 comment(s)
  Beats: red sox

Kyle Schwarber to get more catching starts down stretch

Schwarber started in left field for the fifth consecutive game Wednesday.

“I’ve got to get him back there at some point. I don’t want him to lose all that good work that he’s done,” said Maddon, who might hold David Ross back Sunday to use Schwarber against lefty Chris Sale, with Dan Haren pitching for the Cubs.

“He’s made so much progress with it.”

Schwarber has made 12 starts behind the plate for the Cubs after catching 52 games in the minors this season.

“Certainly ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: August 13, 2015 at 06:44 AM | 63 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, kyle schwarber

Detroit Tigers could activate Miguel Cabrera on Friday

Can Miggy’s return put the Tigers back in the wildcard hunt?

Jim Furtado Posted: August 13, 2015 at 06:39 AM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: miguel cabrera, tigers

Starlin Castro of Chicago Cubs shifts to second base

Did his agent help Castro?

“Sometimes a change of scenery is good for everybody.”

Kinzer wasn’t making any demands, just openly wondering where it has gone wrong for Castro. Maddon hopes he can find his groove again, but Addison Russell is the Cubs’ shortstop now and for the future.

“Addy looks like the guy everyone thought he would be,” Maddon said. “[Prospect Javier Baez] is still getting his way back here. And Starlin, we’re trying to get him back on his feet.”

Castro hadn’t played since ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: August 13, 2015 at 06:34 AM | 61 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, starlin castro

Wednesday, August 12, 2015

WTOP.com | 500 days of the boys of summer, or why the Nats need to fire Matt Williams

On Wednesday night, the Washington Nationals will square off in a rubber match with the Los Angeles Dodgers inexplicably sitting in second place in the worst division in baseball, a division they should be winning by 10 games. The day marks the 500th since manager Matt Williams took the reins for his first game, which is a large enough sample to acknowledge what has become painfully obvious: He’s not equipped to manage a team with championship aspirations.

Coot Veal and Cot Deal taste like Old Bay Posted: August 12, 2015 at 11:33 PM | 35 comment(s)
  Beats: dumbass, nationals

OMNICHATTER 8-13-15

The Domino-no OMNICHATTER

Gamingboy Posted: August 12, 2015 at 11:31 PM | 189 comment(s)
  Beats: mlb, omnichatter

Red Sox interested in adding Pat Gillick to front office - Over the Monster

Pat Gillick is an extremely astute baseball decision maker. If this report is true, it’s clear that the Red Sox question the team’s decision-making at the top of baseball ops. As they should. Hopefully, they are just working to improve Cherington’s advisory team because I believe his *process* is, overall, the right process.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 12, 2015 at 10:28 PM | 18 comment(s)
  Beats: red sox

Kuma KO’s O’s, Joins No-No Club.

Hisashi Iwakuma tossed the fifth no-hitter in Mariners history in a 3-0 victory over the Orioles on Wednesday at Safeco Field, becoming just the second Japanese pitcher (Hideo Nomo was the first) in Major League history to throw a no-no.

In the process of throwing his first career no-hitter, it was also the first complete game of Iwakuma’s career. Iwakuma fanned seven and walked only three batters in tossing the first American League no-hitter since his teammate, Felix Hernandez, threw a ...

Read More...
Cloude Atlas (Voxter) Posted: August 12, 2015 at 09:23 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: mariners, no hitters

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