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Wednesday, January 10, 2018

Fangraphs: The One I Never Thought I Would Write

It’s been a remarkable run. But for me, it comes to an end today. This will be my last post at FanGraphs.


But after 10 years, I’m hanging up my virtual pen. Starting next week, I’m going to go begin a new adventure, helping build out a Research and Development department for the San Diego Padres.

Random Transaction Generator Posted: January 10, 2018 at 11:49 AM | 29 comment(s)
  Beats: dave cameron, fangraphs, padres

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-10-2018

Cap Anson’s all-time team, published in The Sporting News, January 10, 1918:

C: Buck Ewing and King Kelly
IF: Cap Anson (1B), Fred Pfeffer (2B), Ned Williamson (3B), Ross Barnes (SS)
OF: Bill Lange, George Gore, Jimmy Ryan, Hugh Duffy
P: Amos Rusie, John Clarkson, Jim McCormick

Unfortunately I can’t seem to find a direct link to the article itself. According to an entry in the BBRef Bullpen, Anson does concede that Ty Cobb, Tris Speaker, and Eddie Collins are good. They just weren’t good enough ...

Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: January 10, 2018 at 09:41 AM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history, old man yells at cloud

Notable books about baseball published in 2017 |

Please add your favorites. I’m looking for something new to read.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 10, 2018 at 08:15 AM | 37 comment(s)
  Beats: books

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

Maybe “Super Teams” Are Ruining the Offseason | FanGraphs Baseball

He’s trivializing the wild card format.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:38 AM | 30 comment(s)
  Beats: free agency

Gerrit Cole to Yankees ‘inevitable’ despite Astros’ interest - NY Daily News

certain to happen; unavoidable.
“war was inevitable”
synonyms: unavoidable, inescapable, inexorable, ineluctable; More
a situation that is unavoidable.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:36 AM | 51 comment(s)
  Beats: gerrit cole, pirates, trade, yankees

The Phillies don’t want ‘bloggers’ at the IronPigs Banquet - The Good Phight

But…it’s a great time of year to stay in your basement.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:34 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: phillies

Life of a scouting report: How the Cubs have streamlined an age-old process – The Athletic

A lot of good stuff at The Athletic recently. If you can get access at a discount, you should.

“Our scouts don’t travel to the draft,” Dorey said. “So it’s my job to really challenge analytic information we have if it doesn’t align with what our scouts are saying, and try to find the sweet spot there. I’m constantly trying to make sure that the voice of the scout doesn’t get lost in the entire profile of the player. And I think we’ve done a really good job of that, but it’s ...

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:23 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, pay site, scouting

Todd Frazier’s message for Yankees, Mets and MLB: I’m worth it | New York Post

He should be looking for a pillow deal.

Frazier posted a .222/.365/.423 slash line in 66 games with the Yankees after coming over from the White Sox in a trade.

“It’s going to be a new, revitalized me,” he said. “I want to prove that I’m worth it. I want to be prepared and be the leader I can be on the field. I know whatever team I do fit with, they’re going to get the best Todd Frazier they are ever going to have because I want to play better. I want to get my average up. I have a ...

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:18 AM | 27 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, todd frazier

Phillies Trade Proposal For Christian Yelich « CBS Philly

This strikes me as a little short on the Phillies side.’s Anthony Castrovince proposed a trade that might work for both the Phillies and the Marlins: Nick Williams, Mickey Moniak, and Jorge Alfaro for Yelich.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:17 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: marlins, phillies

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-9-2018

Washington Evening Star, January 9, 1918:

Barney Dreyfuss, president of the Pittsburgh National League Base Ball Club, announced today that arrangements had been completed whereby Mamaux, Ward and Grimes are to go to the Brooklyn National League club in exchange for Stengel and Cutshaw.

Two of the five players in the trade wound up in the Hall of Fame, though the Old Perfessor got in as a manager.

Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:11 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

Dave Dombrowski’s reputation, autonomy and the pursuit of JD Martinez

What’s your team’s goal? Do you want short bursts of success or do you want sustained success? Do you want to be the Braves of the 90s or Royals of the recent past?

Small markets may be forced to think of smaller windows of opportunity. Big markets can plan for sustained success. I’d rather have the Red Sox working similarly to the current Dodgers than Ilitch’s Tigers. I like J.D. Martinez. I don’t like him enough to see the Sox go beyond five years. (I’d prefer four with a higher AAV ...

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 06:49 AM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: free agency, red sox

Lorenzo Cain likely to age gracefully

Petriello’s comps:
Garret Anderson
Mike Cameron
Brett Gardner
Curtis Granderson
Torii Hunter
Andruw Jones
Kenny Lofton
Reggie Sanders
Shane Victorino
Randy Winn

Baseball Reference’s most similar players.
Similar Batters through 31
Marlon Byrd (968.0)
Angel Pagan (967.0)
Roy Weatherly (965.0)
Al Zarilla (958.7)
Johnny Grubb (957.3)
Dave Robertson (950.6)
Lee Maye (950.1)
Ira Flagstead (947.8)
Frank Catalanotto (947.1)
Fred Schulte (947.0)

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 06:33 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, lorenzo cain, similarity scores

Rosenthal: Many factors contributing to historically slow free agent market – The Athletic

Ken, Ken, Ken. Teams will spend money. The players will get signed. Maybe, though, the Players Association might want some new leadership. The Luxury Tax system they agreed to gives the big markets good reason to be frugal this year. Smart management is only a problem for agents who depend on emotionally-charged decision-making.

An MLB official dismissed any suggestion of collusion, saying clubs are so secretive, they barely communicate with the commissioner’s office during free agency, much ...

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 06:13 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: free agency, pay site

Monday, January 08, 2018

Atlanta/Southeast BBTF meet up

From the depths of the much maligned, dreaded, and oft times avoided OTP thread has sprung forth the idea that we have a quorum of ATL and ATL-adjacent Primates to justify a meet up. (We can’t field two softball teams yet.) We’re banging around locations in the city for drinks, dinner and shenanigans now. The date will on or around Feb 12.

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-8-2018

Bridgeport Evening Farmer, January 8, 1918:

Branch Rickey, president of the St. Louis club of the National League, joined Jack Hendricks, the new manager of the Cardinals, in a flat statement that Rogers Hornsby, the star infielder of his team, was not on the market and that he would be seen in a St. Louis uniform this year. Mr. Rickey said:

“Once and for all time, and this is final, Hornsby will not be sold or traded to any club in North America. Neither Charley Weeghman of the Cubs nor John ...

Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: January 08, 2018 at 12:22 PM | 18 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

SBNation : After 5-year odyssey, Daniel Bard calls it a career.

Instead, Bard’s tenure with the Red Sox ended two months before the team would win a World Series in 2013, beginning a four-year journey set mostly on the back fields of extended spring training. After being initially claimed by the Cubs in 2013, Bard would be released and signed by a new club on five different occasions, spending time with the Rangers, Cubs (again), Pirates, and Cardinals before landing with the Mets.

Bard would appear in just 13 innings over that four-year span, allowing ...

Random Transaction Generator Posted: January 08, 2018 at 08:47 AM | 23 comment(s)
  Beats: daniel bard, red sox, retirement

OTP 8 January 2018: Lawsuits could change the rules in North Carolina politics, balance of power in Raleigh

Jake Quinn says his main job when he umpires baseball games as a volunteer for North Asheville Little League is to ensure each team is treated fairly.

“Before the first pitch is thrown, the score is 0-0 and the team that scores the most runs during the game wins the game,” he said.

But, he says, “That’s not the way elections work. With gerrymandering, one team starts out in the lead. That’s fundamentally unfair.”


Mellow Mouse, Benevolent Space Tyrant Posted: January 08, 2018 at 07:54 AM | 2393 comment(s)
  Beats: little league, off topic, politics, umpire

Rosenthal: Nats interested in Lance Lynn; Yelich suitors line up; teams calling Red Sox on Swihart; more notes – The Athletic

It’s tough ignoring The Athletic when it employs so many good/great reporters.

— The Marlins declined to entertain trade interest in first baseman Justin Bour at the winter meetings, but rival clubs continue to check on his availability. Bour, like catcher J.T. Realmuto, is under control for three more seasons. projects Bour to earn $3.5 million in arbitration.

The Marlins could really stock up on prospects if they did a full teardown.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 08, 2018 at 06:47 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: notes, pay site

A Different Sort of Debate on WAR - ADAM KAUFMAN

If you are looking to the future tie your system to a projection system. If you are looking to the past, include context. The current WAR systems end up being jack of all trades and masters of none.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 08, 2018 at 06:42 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: war

HOF candidate Larry Walker jack of all trades

Walker had no such flaws. Well, that’s not right: His flaw, if you want to call it that, was a general inability to stay healthy. He played 150 games in a season just once. He was a big ol’ Canadian, someone who had dreamed not of a Major League career but of one in the NHL. His body tended to break down.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 08, 2018 at 05:37 AM | 28 comment(s)
  Beats: hall of fame, larry walker

Sunday, January 07, 2018

Sunday Notes: Brady Aiken’s Career is Nearing a Crossroads | FanGraphs Baseball

I broached the subject of trends — primarily the importance of staying ahead of them — with several executives at this year’s general managers’ meetings. Rick Hahn was among them.

“Trying to get ahead of the next thing is the key for many organizations,” opined the White Sox GM. “We have a lot of smart people back in Chicago who are trying to keep us ahead of the curve on stuff like that. Of course, I’m not going to share too much about what we’re thinking along those ...

Jim Furtado Posted: January 07, 2018 at 04:06 PM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: notes

Saturday, January 06, 2018

The rise, and the shame, of Jung Ho Kang | Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

This isn’t an optimistic piece about his future in MLB.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 06, 2018 at 03:54 PM | 24 comment(s)
  Beats: jung ho kang, pittsburgh

The case for going beyond 5 years for J.D. Martinez | WEEI

No. No. No.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 06, 2018 at 10:25 AM | 39 comment(s)
  Beats: j.d. martinez, red sox

Friday, January 05, 2018

Inside Baseball | Where Top 10 MLB Free Agents Stand In Slow Market

Will teams be able to stay disciplined to their evaluations?

The Red Sox did indeed offer a five-year deal, as Nightengale reported. But word is there are other five-year offers. So while they seem like the logical landing spot, as the richest team in the mix (the Diamondbacks, Blue Jays and perhaps the Giants are the others known to be at least dabbling in the derby), they probably can’t be called the bona-fide favorite unless they go to six years, which might have the ...

Jim Furtado Posted: January 05, 2018 at 07:39 PM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents

Is Eric Hosmer bidding war overblown?

You need two teams to have a bidding war. At least you need one team to believe there are two teams.

The largest contract the Royals have given was the $72 million they gave to Alex Gordon, a stifling contract that—as the Royals head into rebuilding mode—stands as a hard reminder of what can happen when you let your heart guide your decisions.

None of this really stands up to reason. The only explanations I can come up with are:
1. Agent Scott Boras is some sort of James Bond villain ...

Jim Furtado Posted: January 05, 2018 at 07:35 PM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: eric hosmer, free agents

Beyond the Box Score: Scott Rolen does not deserve to be in the Hall of Fame

Rolen seems to be an interesting test. 70 WAR by both Fangraphs and Baseball Reference,  but lacking in both Black and Gray Ink, and only 8518 PAs in 17 years. Good in almost everything, but no dominating abilities in a single skill, or defining moments in postseason play.

Hank G. Posted: January 05, 2018 at 02:09 PM | 129 comment(s)
  Beats: hall of fame, hall of very good, scott rolen

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-5-2018

Topeka State Journal, January 5, 1918:

The Boston Braves were reported to have had a generous slice of that Weeghman bank roll today. It is said to have figured in the deal whereby Larry Doyle and Art Wilson of the Cubs went to the Braves in exchange for George Tyler.

The Braves were reported to have received $15,000 along with the players. This trade was kind of a big deal - the Cubs sent the 1915 NL batting champ, a decent catcher, and a truckload of cash to Boston in exchange for a good but ...

Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: January 05, 2018 at 11:00 AM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

Rosenthal: Boras faces a tough market (or does he?); Darvish can do better; Brewers interested in Cain; more notes – The Athletic

“We’ve got more than 100 employees,” Boras told The Athletic on Wednesday night. “We’re in constant contact with every team every five to seven days. We’ve got over 30 people working on free agency year-round.

“The majority of our work has been completed. This is just a narrowing of negotiations for a number of players in the process. We’ve had this number of free agents and more in past years. And we have over double the number of employees of any agency in baseball.”

Boras ...

Jim Furtado Posted: January 05, 2018 at 08:33 AM | 24 comment(s)
  Beats: free agency, pay site, scott boras

Poll: Execs say Shohei Ohtani MLB top prospect

It’s not just Ohtani getting some prospect love.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 05, 2018 at 08:24 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Dodgers Grab Zach Britton Lite in Three-Team Deal | FanGraphs Baseball

You don’t see three-ways much any more.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 05, 2018 at 08:16 AM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: dodgers, royals, trades, white sox

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