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Tuesday, November 22, 2016

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 11-22-2016

Pittsburgh Press, November 22, 1916:

Bill Hanna has figured out that such evidence as is found in results obtained from figuring the run producing capabilities of the different National league teams in relation to base stealing and sacrifice hitting as contributory factors shows that sacrificing does more to promote scoring than the base stealing method. The Phillies, more industrious exponents of the sacrifice hit than the Giants, made more runs in proportion to hits than the Giants, who were ...

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Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: November 22, 2016 at 10:24 AM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

Yoenis Cespedes will get extra year he craves — but from Mets? | New York Post

Within the industry, there is a growing sense the star outfielder will command a five-year deal, which would leave the Mets facing a major decision on their immediate future.

As it stands, the Mets are likely committed to signing the 31-year-old if a four-year contract in the $100 million-to-$110 million neighborhood can be hammered out, according to an industry source, but there is less clarity on the matter when an additional year — which could push the value of a deal beyond $130 million ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: November 22, 2016 at 09:35 AM | 8 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, mets, yoenis cespedes

Porcello v. Verlander | Joe Posnanski

When Statcast defensive numbers become available, I expect a real shift in the defensive metrics. Even when that happens, though, the numbers will be better, but they still won’t be perfect. Those who expect perfection, both then and now, have unrealistic exceptions.

What I’m saying here is that while the defensive adjustments seem shaky and unpersuasive, the stark final WAR number — 6.6 to 5.0 WAR — is there in your face. I don’t know how many people voted for Verlander because of ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: November 22, 2016 at 08:17 AM | 58 comment(s)
  Beats: cy young award, sabermetrics

Baseball Hall of Fame ballot unveiled | MLB.com

The full ballot.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 22, 2016 at 08:16 AM | 94 comment(s)
  Beats: hall of fame

An Analytical Look At Minor League Free Agents | BaseballAmerica.com

For many fans, even hardcore Baseball America prospect watchers, those players who hit the minor league free agent market are simply names on a computer screen. So in this piece I will attempt to add context to those names, with a focus on younger free agents. To do this I determined league percentile ranks for major component statistics—where higher is always better—for all 534 minor league free agents in this year’s pool and ranked them accordingly.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 22, 2016 at 08:11 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, minor leaguers

Monday, November 21, 2016



How big a star would Mike Trout be in another market?

Pick a team, any high-profile team — the Nationals, the Red Sox, the Giants, the Cardinals, the Cubs. It’s fun to think about Trout with any of those clubs — unless, of course, you are an Angels fan who relishes watching him every day.

Yet, as long as Trout stays in Anaheim, he will not be fully appreciated by the general public as the modern Mantle. He will not even be as famous as a certain Mickey in his county, the one who resides at Disneyland, last name Mouse.

Trout’s contract ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: November 21, 2016 at 01:53 PM | 78 comment(s)
  Beats: angels, marketability, mike trout

Can Orioles catch lightning in a one-year contract? - BaltimoreBaseball.com

Who will be the catcher in Baltimore?

Jim Furtado Posted: November 21, 2016 at 01:10 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: orioles

BA: 2016 Rule 5 draft preview

The following are players who should rank near the top of teams’ preference lists heading into the Rule 5 draft regardless of position.

Yimmi Brasoban, rhp, Padres: Brasoban ranked 19th in the Padres system a year ago. The Padres’ system is significantly deeper this year, but it is still a surprise that San Diego left the hard-throwing righthander unprotected as he has two major league pitches (a 95-98 mph fastball and an excellent slider) and he has Double-A experience. Brasoban’s ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: November 21, 2016 at 01:07 PM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: rule 5 draft

Albert Belle on Hall of Fame: ‘Sooner or later, people are going to recognize how good my numbers were’

I’m sick and tired of players like Albert Belle and Chris Truby mellowing with age!

Then there’s Belle, who seems to have mellowed considerably with age.

“I just turned 50 this year,” Belle said. “Life changes compared to when I was 25 or 30. ... I don’t have to take on the world and do everything Albert’s way, because now, it’s not about me.”...

He seemingly accomplished everything he did without steroids, once telling an interviewer, “I was just an angry black man.” Part of his ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: November 21, 2016 at 12:57 PM | 36 comment(s)
  Beats: albert belle, hall of fame

Pudge lands on HOF ballot for first time

That day should come in 2017. The ‘17 Hall of Fame ballot was released Monday, and Rodriguez is on there for the first time. There shouldn’t be a second time.
“A no-brainer,” said former Rangers outfielder Rusty Greer, speaking for almost everybody who watched Pudge play over his 21-year career. “It’s not only a no-brainer that he gets in, but a no-brainer that he gets in on the first ballot.”

Former Rangers general manager Tom Grieve said Rodriguez “checks all the boxes” for a Hall of Fame ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: November 21, 2016 at 12:19 PM | 52 comment(s)
  Beats: hall of fame, ivan rodriguez, vladimir guerrero

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 11-21-2016

Pittsburgh Gazette Times, November 21, 1916:

President Weeghman of the Chicago Cubs left [yesterday] on a trip to St. Louis, where he announced he hoped to procure some star members of the St. Louis Nationals for his own club. Rogers Hornsby is the most desired of three players whom the Cub president will attempt to land, although his chances to obtain him, on the surface of reports, would appear very slim.

An astute move by Weeghman, attempting to acquire a 20-year-old who’s already one of the ...

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Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: November 21, 2016 at 11:03 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history, rogers hornsby

Murray Chass: Trout selection raises question

The voters should be congratulated for their diligence, hard work and perceptive thinking in selecting the m.v.p.s and compiling their ballots. I suppose it’s the modern way of performing this onerous chore. Why think when you can just copy names from a list already computed elsewhere?

Why not change the name of the award from m.v.p. to W.A.R. Lord?

The point is there is more to a player’s value to his team than simple statistics. Certainly statistics play a large role in a player’s ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: November 21, 2016 at 09:52 AM | 21 comment(s)
  Beats: mike trout, murray chass, mvp, war

Peter Gammons: Offseason notes, turning to 2017 - GammonsDaily.com

Old school Gammons.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 21, 2016 at 07:08 AM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: notes

Can Tim Raines steal a spot in the Hall in final year on ballot? - NY Daily News

It still shocks me Tim Raines isn’t already in the Hall of Fame.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 21, 2016 at 07:07 AM | 54 comment(s)
  Beats: hall of fame, tim raines

M.L.B.’s Prosperity Comes With Labor Peace, and Only Quiet Complaints - The New York Times

Tyler Kepner with an update.

“Over the last three negotiations, we have found a framework that has served the sport very well in terms of promoting competitive balance, promoting financial stability, allowing our players to continue to earn higher and higher salaries,” he said. “And within that framework, there’s a lot of ways to turn the dials to produce adjustments and change that need to be made. And I think that framework will prove to be durable over time.”

Jim Furtado Posted: November 21, 2016 at 06:53 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: cba

Major League Spending Trends: The Draft Bonus Pool – The Hardball Times

I’m not sure where the problem is. If you set up a rule with a limit and have no penalty for exceeding the limit by a certain amount, the actual limit is the point where you pay no penalty.

The slotting system works. It has limited spending.

Theory 3 appears to be the most plausible, then. Teams are pushing the limits of the current Collective Bargaining Agreement’s bonus slot punishment format. There is simply not a large enough disincentive to prevent organizations from going up to that 5 ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: November 21, 2016 at 06:50 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft, cba

Sunday, November 20, 2016

The Yankees are positioned to make major moves | FOX Sports

The Yankees should wait another year to open the vault.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 20, 2016 at 07:39 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: yankees

Nick Cafardo: These 15 players with big contracts could be on the move this offseason

The middle?

9. Justin Verlander, RHP, Tigers — No doubt that he’s available. He’ll be 34 on Opening Day and has pitched more than 2,300 career innings, but what a competitor to stick in the middle of your rotation. Possible destinations: Cubs, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Yankees, Angels, Astros, Rangers, Braves, Twins, Phillies, Marlins, Pirates, Dodgers.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 20, 2016 at 07:19 AM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: notes

Saturday, November 19, 2016

Chris Sale for Yasiel Puig? The best trades for all 30 teams

The order from the bosses: Make one trade for every team. Done. I had to rewrite this whole thing, though, because I had the Yankees trading Brian McCann to the Astros, and then it really happened. You should have seen some of the deals I had in the original piece.

Chicago White Sox trade LHP Chris Sale and RHP David Robertson to the Los Angeles Dodgers for OF Yasiel Puig, RHP Jose De Leon, RHP Yadier Alvarez, and OF Alex Verdugo.

OK, let’s start with a blockbuster. The White Sox have the ...

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RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: November 19, 2016 at 09:48 PM | 37 comment(s)
  Beats: chris sale, trades, yasiel puig

There’s Nothing Too Weird About Brett Cecil’s New Contract | FanGraphs Baseball

The Cardinals had a few problems last season, and among them was unreliable relief pitching. As a means toward addressing that, they’ve given free-agent lefty Brett Cecil a four-year contract, worth $30.5 million. It also has a full no-trade clause! Very clearly, Cecil didn’t come cheap. A number of teams expressed a willingness to guarantee Cecil three years, so the Cardinals stepped up and went one extra.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 19, 2016 at 03:32 PM | 29 comment(s)
  Beats: brett cecil, free agents

Houston Astros Place INF Jon Singleton On Waivers

So, it appears Jon Singleton didn’t screw himself when he signed that long-term deal. Where does he end up?

Jim Furtado Posted: November 19, 2016 at 03:27 PM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: astros, jon singleton

Pleskoff Scouting Report - Yoan Moncada

All about Moncada.

CONCLUSIONS
I totally believe Yoan Moncada will realize his offensive upside. He has the tools and the physicality to bust open a ball game with one swing of the bat.

I believe his defense will continue to improve, and it remains possible a full-time defensive position will be determined. However, the Red Sox have the luxury of using Moncada as a designated hitter. With the departure of David Ortiz, Moncada could slip nicely into that role. It may not happen when the team ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: November 19, 2016 at 03:06 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: red sox, scouting reports, yoan moncada

CTBNL - Good News Bad News On Roster Size Shakeup

Steven Goldman talks about roster sizes.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 19, 2016 at 12:26 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: cba

It’s The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2017! – The Hardball Times

I buy the book every year and have never been disappointed. If you aren’t a Kindle buyer, you can buy the book today.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 19, 2016 at 12:20 PM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: books

Left-hander Stephen Gonsalves, shortstop Nick Gordon lead Minnesota Twins Organization All-Stars | MiLB.com News | The Official Site of Minor League Baseball

Has Gonsalves really moved ahead of Berrios?

Left-handed starting pitcher—Stephen Gonsalves, Fort Myers (11 games, 11 starts), Chattanooga (13 games, 13 starts): The 6-foot-5 southpaw followed a breakout season with an equally impressive 2016, holding opponents to a .179 average over 140 innings across two levels and going 13-5 with a 2.06 ERA.

“I think he’s progressing,” said Lookouts pitching coach Ivan Arteaga, who also worked with Gonsalves at Cedar Rapids in 2014 and Fort Myers in 2015 and ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: November 19, 2016 at 08:58 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects, twins

MLB Catchers’ Workloads Keep Decreasing | BaseballAmerica.com

Rewind to the 1960s and 1970s and ironmen such Randy Hundley and Ted Simmons would regularly catch 150-plus games in a season. Hundley even caught a hard-to-comprehend, MLB-record 160 games in 1968. By the 1980s and 1990s, it was more common to see Jason Kendall or other league leaders top 140 games, although Todd Hundley (son of Randy) did live up to his lineage with 150 games caught in 1996 and Brad Ausmus caught 150 in 2000.

That 150 games caught in the final year of the 20th century did ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: November 19, 2016 at 08:56 AM | 33 comment(s)
  Beats: catching, prospects

Astros’ deal with Josh Reddick makes Nori Aoki a non-tender candidate - Houston Chronicle

If the Astros are ramping up, $6.8 million isn’t a lot to pay for Aoki as a depth option.

Thursday’s four-year, $52 million agreement with free agent corner outfielder Josh Reddick makes it less of a certainty the team tenders Aoki a contract in arbitration before the Dec. 2 deadline. The 34-year-old from Japan stands to make about $6.8 million through the arbitration process, according to MLB Trade Rumors’ projection, a lot for a player who now most likely projects as a fourth outfielder.

...
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Jim Furtado Posted: November 19, 2016 at 08:35 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: astros, josh reddick, nori aoki

Mariners trade for Shaffer, Motter, Pazos | MLB.com

Mariners prospecting for gold.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 19, 2016 at 08:33 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: mariners, trades

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