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Amateur Draft Newsbeat

Monday, June 19, 2017

Peter Gammons: Agents, scouts, prospects, changing trends, and the MLB Draft - GammonsDaily.com

Gammons on changes to the draft and the Red Sox approach to pitching prospects.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 19, 2017 at 11:18 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft, red sox

Friday, June 16, 2017

Nowadays, Top Draft Picks Almost Always Sign | BaseballAmerica.com

Data and more info at the link.

There should be few nervous moments for teams, draftees or fans leading up to this year’s July 7 draft signing deadline.

Not long ago, it wasn’t unusual for a team to fail to sign a first-, second- or third-rounder. The Blue Jays, for example, did not sign first-rounders Tyler Beede in 2011 or Phil Bickford in 2013. Now, that almost never happens. Most of the top 10-round draft picks will announce deals in the next week or two, and even the few that wait until near July 7 will likely sign a contract as well.

It makes sense. Teams lose their bonus allotment for any top 10-round pick they fail to sign. So before they pick a player, teams generally have a good idea of whether he’ll sign. The few exceptions usually revolve around a post-draft medical examination that finds something that leads the team to reduce its offer.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 16, 2017 at 06:46 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

Thursday, June 15, 2017

MLB Draft Day 3 | MLB.com

It’s always interesting to see which teams strike it big later in the draft by managing their bonus pool well.

Highly-rated prospects, particularly high school players, frequently drop due to signability concerns. Teams tend to take more chances on players during Day 3 of the Draft, because there is no penalty for failing to sign a player after Round 10. If a team doesn’t sign a player it selects in the first 10 rounds, it loses the bonus pool allotment for that round.

The question for most teams on Day 3 becomes as much “Who can we sign?” as “Who do we like?” An example of a tough sign may be Garrett Mitchell, the outfielder out of Orange Lutheran High in California whom the A’s grabbed in the 14th round (No. 411 overall). He profiles as a star at the college level who could mightily improve his Draft position.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 15, 2017 at 09:26 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

All-Undrafted Team includes many star players | MLB.com

Third base: Toby Harrah was passed over in the 1966 Draft because scouts assumed he was going to go to college. Phillies scout Tony Lucadello, however, found out Harrah was working in a factory and signed him for $500. Harrah wound up playing 17 years in the big leagues—2,155 games, ranking 165th on the all-time list. A five-time All-Star who also saw regular duty at shortstop and second base, Harrah hit .264 with 195 home runs and 918 RBIs.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 15, 2017 at 09:24 AM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft


Tuesday, June 13, 2017



Twins take California high school shortstop Royce Lewis

With the flatter bonus structure, some analysts have said it will be more difficult to use the extra slot money to make an impact. We’ll see how much the Twins will save with this pick and what they can do with it. Boras gets to add another 1st overall pick to his portfolio.

Lewis becomes the 11th first-overall pick advised by powerful agent Scott Boras. That run started in 1983 with small college right-hander Tim Belcher, who didn’t sign with the Twins, and now includes six of the past 12 top overall picks.

The Twins took Joe Mauer in 2001 the only other time they held the No. 1 pick.

Slot value for the No. 1 overall pick this year is $7.77 million, but the Twins aren’t expected to pay that much to steer Lewis away from a University of California, Irvine commitment. The slot value at No. 35 is $1.94 million, while the 37th pick comes with an approved limit of $1.85 million.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 13, 2017 at 06:45 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft, royce lewis, twins

Day 1 of 2017 Draft complete; Rounds 3-10 next | MLB.com

How does he look in jeans?

The top of the 2017 Draft was filled with upside, as the top three picks were all high schoolers for the first time since 1990, when Chipper Jones, Tony Clark and Mike Lieberthal went 1-2-3. The Twins nabbed toolsy shortstop/outfielder Royce Lewis with the No. 1 overall pick, making a last-minute decision to take him over Louisville two-way standout Brendan McKay.

“We see him as an impact player on both sides of the ball,” said Twins vice president of player personnel Mike Radcliff. “He also has a unique ability to impact the clubhouse and the locker room and the community. He’s got that ‘it factor’ that a No. 1 pick needs.”

Jim Furtado Posted: June 13, 2017 at 06:28 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

Monday, June 12, 2017

Explaining the economics behind Twins’ draft indecision

According to Baseball America, a Twins official said signability “will play a significant role.” With Twins general manager Thad Levine already on record as saying there is no “generational talent” in this year’s draft pool — no matter what Sports Illustrated would have you believe about Greene — it stands to reason the Twins will look for value.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 12, 2017 at 06:55 PM | 22 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft, twins

LIVE: 2017 MLB Draft Day 1 | MLB.com

Jim Furtado Posted: June 12, 2017 at 06:54 PM | 55 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

Sunday, June 11, 2017

How the Teams Have Drafted in This Millennium | FanGraphs Baseball

It would be interesting to see a comparison by groups. Are some teams better in particular parts of the draft?

If you have more questions in the comments, I’m saving this spreadsheet, so hopefully I can help. In the meantime, I don’t think I have more to say. We don’t know who’s really drafted the best, independent of all the other factors. But this accounts for how the various draft picks have turned out. Congratulations to the Red Sox, who have identified some awfully good talent. Fewer congratulations to the Mariners. On the plus side for them, Chris Taylor could make this look better right quick. On the downside — yeah.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 11, 2017 at 07:51 AM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

Saturday, June 10, 2017

Prep phenom Hunter Greene could be generational player

Who is calling him a generational talent? His agent?

No player in this year’s draft arrives with as much hype as the 17-year-old Greene. He’s a lanky 6-foot-4 and 197 pounds, but is considered by some to be a generational talent. He carries a first-round grade as a shortstop, but many predict his future will be on the mound after the right-hander fired fastballs up to 102 mph this year.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 10, 2017 at 03:34 PM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft, hunter greene, reds

2017 MLB Draft prospects features and profiles | MLB.com

Top twenty.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 10, 2017 at 08:32 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

2017 Draft Buzz: What Callis, Mayo are hearing | MLB.com

My latest first-round projection is barely 12 hours old, yet I’d already like to take a mulligan on the No. 1 pick for the Twins.

Though the teams selecting behind the Twins think they’re leaning toward Vanderbilt right-hander Kyle Wright, I started hearing whispers Thursday night that Minnesota prefers Louisville two-way star Brendan McKay. That noise is getting louder Friday, and I now believe the Twins will take McKay No. 1, as a left-handed pitcher rather than a first baseman, unless California high school righty Hunter Greene overwhelms them in his visit to Target Field on Friday afternoon.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 10, 2017 at 08:06 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

Peter Gammons: With respect to 1st rounders, winning takes a much wider collective - GammonsDaily.com

Gammons on the draft and team building.

Brendan McKay will be a Twin or Red or Ray Monday night, and eventually make his team a winner. But it won’t be McKay or Hunter Greene or Austin Beck alone; Mike Trout and Harper are generational players who have yet to experience a World Series.

Winning is about depth of talent, makeup and leadership. How all that gets put together is an exceedingly complex process that may begin with the first round of the draft, but cannot be executed without the eyes and the minds and the vision of those who run the business.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 10, 2017 at 07:16 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

Tuesday, June 06, 2017


Monday, June 05, 2017

FanGraphs’ 2017 Mock Draft | FanGraphs Baseball

2. Cincinnati – Hunter Greene, RHP, Notre Dame HS (CA)
The Reds had about a half-dozen scouts at the ACC tournament in Louisville and watched Brendan McKay’s middling start, though I think they prefer him as a bat. He’s a possibility, but Greene is more likely and, in my opinion, the better prospect.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 05, 2017 at 03:10 PM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft, mock drafts

2017 Draft prospects with the best tools | MLB.com

Potentially the next “fastest to get the big leagues” flameout?

Best slider: J.B. Bukauskas, RHP, North Carolina
When it’s on, Bukauskas’ slider may be the most unhittable pitch in the Draft, peaking in the upper 80s with nasty bite. Hitters can’t even try to sit on it because they also have to contend with his mid-90s fastball.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 05, 2017 at 12:03 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

Top 200 Draft Prospects list unveiled | MLB.com

While there’s been a quite a bit of movement up and down the list, the very top of it remains relatively unchanged. Notre Dame High’s (Sherman Oaks, Calif.) Hunter Greene and his electric right arm remain in the top spot, where Greene has been since the initial Draft Top 50 was released in December. Louisville’s two-way star Brendan McKay, who could still be taken in the top five as either a first baseman or left-handed pitcher, is still at No. 2.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 05, 2017 at 06:49 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

Tuesday, May 30, 2017

All-Draft prospects team by position | MLB.com

RHP: Hunter Greene, Notre Dame HS, Sherman Oaks, Calif. (No. 1)
He’s the top guy on our current Top 100, so this is a bit of a no-brainer. He’s only 17 and was hitting triple digits. A first-rounder as a shortstop, his athleticism should allow him to continue to get better on the mound at the next level. Now, if a high school right-hander isn’t your cup of tea, then Vandy’s Kyle Wright (No. 3) would be a very good next choice.

Jim Furtado Posted: May 30, 2017 at 06:40 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

Sunday, May 21, 2017


Thursday, May 18, 2017

Mock MLB Draft 3.0 | BaseballAmerica.com

1. Twins

Minnesota appears to be leaning toward McKay, but considering him as much now as a hitter as on the mound. Some evaluators agree that McKay has more looseness at the plate than he does on the mound, and may have more upside as a hitter, but that he’s a safer bet on the mound.

However, the best combination of upside and modest risk is Vanderbilt righthander Kyle Wright, who is the third player on the Twins’ list in addition to McKay and Greene. The Twins have been in hard on Wright’s last three starts, and in his last five, he’s struck out 51 and walks seven in 39.1 innings while posting a 1.14 ERA. He’s showing up to four plus pitches at times and trending toward being the No. 1 overall pick, as long as the price is right.

Pick: Kyle Wright, rhp, Vanderbilt

Jim Furtado Posted: May 18, 2017 at 11:58 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

Friday, May 12, 2017

Jim Callis mock projection 2017 MLB Draft | MLB.com

1. Twins: Brendan McKay, 1B/LHP, Louisville
Minnesota narrowed its field of contenders to the five players named above, plus Virginia first baseman Pavin Smith and Texas high school right-hander Shane Baz. Most clubs expect the Twins to take McKay, the best two-way prospect in more than four decades, rather than make Greene the first prep righty selected No. 1 overall. Whether they’ll take McKay as a first baseman or lefty starter, or even let him try to do both for a while, is unclear.

2. Reds: Hunter Greene, RHP, Notre Dame HS (Sherman Oaks, Calif.)
Cincinnati is looking at McKay, Greene and Wright, and likely would take them in that order.

Jim Furtado Posted: May 12, 2017 at 12:04 PM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

Friday, April 28, 2017

2017 MLB Draft headlined by Greene, McKay | MLB.com

Wright’s season hasn’t been as spectacular as Greene’s or McKay’s, but he has a higher floor and better breaking stuff than the former and more upside on the mound than the latter. After failing to command his fastball—which can reach 97 mph—or land his curveball and slider for strikes in the early going, he struck out a career-high 13 in a shutout of Florida on April 14 and one-hit Georgia for eight innings on Saturday.

“Last summer, I thought Wright was the best college pitcher,” said a National League scouting director who prefers McKay on the mound. “He got off to a slow start, but he’s been the guy you expected the last two times out. Now you’re hoping he takes this all the way to the Draft.”

Jim Furtado Posted: April 28, 2017 at 08:07 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: amateur draft

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